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Arima Communications Corp (8101) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Arima Communications Corp TWD 2.94, price TWD 10.95, upside -73.1%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · TW · ISIN TW0008101007

AC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Arima Communications Corp

8101 · TW

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 2.94 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−73%)
!Quality 44/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −33.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -27.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

32.25 TWD 1.90 TWD Fair Value 2.94 TWD Dec 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.90 TWD – 32.25 TWD · fair‑value band 2.19 TWD – 4.39 TWD · the 10.95 TWD price screens above the 2.94 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Arima Communications Corp. engages in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of mobile phones, electronic components and related products in Taiwan. The company offers enterprise display platform, mobile devices, and smart sensing and parking solutions.

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Arima Communications Corp. engages in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of mobile phones, electronic components and related products in Taiwan. The company offers enterprise display platform, mobile devices, and smart sensing and parking solutions. In addition, it is involved in provision of marketing, international trade, and product design services; and manufacture of communication and machinery equipment. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Arima Communications Corp (8101) currently trades at 10.95 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.94 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 272.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 2.19 TWD (bear) to 4.39 TWD (bull), the price of 10.95 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Arima Communications Corp reported revenue of 391M TWD in FY2025 versus 738M TWD in FY2021, a compound −14.7%/yr. Reported net income was −111M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 638M TWD (≈ $20.1M) · P/S ratio 1.60 · EPS (TTM) −3.15 TWD · Net margin −28.4% · Return on equity −48.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −16.7% · Operating margin −46.1% · Revenue (TTM) 398M TWD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −73%, 8101 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.19 TWD Fair Value 2.94 TWD Bull 4.39 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 2.60 TWD 3.48 TWD 5.20 TWD 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.60 TWD 3.48 TWD 5.20 TWD 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+166.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −32.7% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−20.5% (2020) → −23.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

8101 screens 272% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 316 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −10% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −27% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −46% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)42 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $106.97 $117.67 +10%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥61.00 ¥13.99 −77%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥895.86 ¥342.18 −62%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥455.00 ¥329.86 −28%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.63 $3.71 −65%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $460.44 $248.10 −46%
Ciena Corporation CIEN $368.56 $48.80 −87%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥275.84 ¥87.34 −68%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 6869 HK$190.50 HK$32.70 −83%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 1,895 TWD 2,085 TWD +10%

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Arima Communications Corp · Fair Value
2.94 TWD −272%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arima Communications Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8101

Frequently asked questions

Is Arima Communications Corp (8101) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.94 TWD versus a price of 10.95 TWD, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8101?
Our model-based fair value for Arima Communications Corp is 2.94 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 10.95 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8101?
Arima Communications Corp has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.94 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.19 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.39 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arima Communications Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.94 TWD, about −73% upside versus a price of 10.95 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.19 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.39 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
Arima Communications Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 398M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arima Communications Corp it is 2.94 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 10.95 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arima Communications Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 8101 trades above its calculated fair value: price 10.95 TWD, fair value 2.94 TWD, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8101?
No. The price is what the market pays today (10.95 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.94 TWD). For Arima Communications Corp the two are 8.01 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arima Communications Corp worth?
The market values Arima Communications Corp at about 638M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 10.95 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 2.94 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8101?
Our models span a range for Arima Communications Corp: cautious scenario 2.19 TWD, base 2.94 TWD, optimistic 4.39 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 10.95 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arima Communications Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −48.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8101 from its 52-week high?
Arima Communications Corp trades at 10.95 TWD, about 40% below its 52-week high of 18.40 TWD and 10% above the low of 10.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.94 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arima Communications Corp?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arima Communications Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 10.95 TWD, calculated fair value 2.94 TWD (−73%), Quality Score 44/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8101 calculated?
We run Arima Communications Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.94 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Arima Communications Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 10.95 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 2.94 TWD, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arima Communications Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.39 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.19 TWD to 4.39 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Arima Communications Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
The market capitalisation of Arima Communications Corp is 638M TWD (≈ $20.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arima Communications Corp is 1.60 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
Earnings per share at Arima Communications Corp are −3.15 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
The net margin of Arima Communications Corp is −28.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arima Communications Corp is −48.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arima Communications Corp is −16.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
The operating margin of Arima Communications Corp is −46.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
Revenue at Arima Communications Corp is growing +8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arima Communications Corp (8101)?
Earnings per share at Arima Communications Corp are growing −60.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Arima Communications Corp (8101) generate?
The free cash flow of Arima Communications Corp is −75.7M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Arima Communications Corp (8101) hold?
Arima Communications Corp holds more cash than debt, 29.2M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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