Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd stock HK$0.42, price HK$3.85, that is 89.2% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3500 – HK$15.00 · fair‑value band HK$0.3485 – HK$0.4845 · the HK$3.85 price screens above the HK$0.4165 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Qingda Oriental Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells firefighting equipment and pressure vessel products in the People's Republic of China, the European Union, and internationally.
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It operates through six segments: Fire-Fighting Equipment, Aquarium Products, Marine Fire-Fighting Equipment, Inspection Services, Property Investment, and Trading.
The company provides fire technology inspection services; sells, installs, and inspects marine fire-fighting equipment; invests in and leases office buildings and industrial properties; manufactures and sells aquarium products; and trades in various products.
The company was formerly known as Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Qingda Oriental Group Co., Ltd. in March 2026. The company is based in North Point, Hong Kong.
Qingda Oriental Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Liancheng Fire-Fighting Group Company Limited.
Stock analysis
Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115) currently trades at HK$3.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4165, 89% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.5050 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the HK$3.85 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0800, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.3485 (bear) to HK$0.4845 (bull), the price of HK$3.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd reported revenue of 90.0M CNY in FY2025 versus 72.8M CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was −4.0M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$829M (≈ $106M) Micro · P/S ratio 4.97 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200 · Net margin −4.4% · Return on equity −370% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 10.9% · Revenue (TTM) 162M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 31% fair-value upside, at −89%, 8115 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.3485Fair Value HK$0.4165BullHK$0.4845
Price HK$3.85 · Downside -89.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0171 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFHK$0.4200HK$0.5000HK$0.600082
Growth DCFHK$0.4200HK$0.4900HK$0.570080
5Y EBITDA ExitHK$0.3100HK$0.3300HK$0.350077
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFHK$0.4200HK$0.5000HK$0.600082
5Y Revenue ExitHK$0.4100HK$0.5200HK$0.660074
5Y EBITDA ExitHK$0.3100HK$0.3300HK$0.350077
10Y Revenue ExitHK$0.4100HK$0.5000HK$0.620068
10Y EBITDA ExitHK$0.3500HK$0.3800HK$0.410070
Multiples
EV/EBITDAHK$0.2300HK$0.2300HK$0.240067
EV/RevenueHK$0.4200HK$0.5100HK$0.600054
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)HK$0.0600HK$0.0800HK$0.110054
Growth DCF
Growth DCFHK$0.4200HK$0.4900HK$0.570080
Rev-Margin DCFHK$0.4100HK$0.5200HK$0.650074
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.3% (2020) → −1.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+57.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +55.0% a year for the price.
Compare Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−4.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)10.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)105.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8115
Frequently asked questions
Is Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4165 versus a price of HK$3.85, about 89% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8115?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd is HK$0.4165 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.85.
What is the quality score of 8115?
Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4165 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3485, optimistic scenario HK$0.4845. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4165, about 89% lower versus a price of HK$3.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3485, optimistic scenario HK$0.4845. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 162M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +57.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.4 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8115 use?
Our models discount Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd that is +57.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd grew +4.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +57.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (+57.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.61 %: that much free cash flow Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd it is HK$0.4165 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of HK$3.85. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 8115 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$3.85, fair value HK$0.4165, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8115?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4165). For Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd the two are HK$3.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd at about HK$829M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.85; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4165 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8115?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3485, base HK$0.4165, optimistic HK$0.4845 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price HK$3.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −369.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8115 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd trades at HK$3.85, about 74% below its 52-week high of HK$15.00 and 10% above the low of HK$3.51 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4165 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, Physicswallah Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price HK$3.85, calculated fair value HK$0.4165 (−89%), Quality Score 42/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8115 calculated?
We run Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd through 10 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.4165 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$3.85. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4165, about 89% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4845). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115) come from?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd grew +6.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.2 %, EBIT margin +19.5 %, tax rate +3.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −12.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd is HK$829M (≈ $106M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd is 4.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd are HK$0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
The net margin of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd is −4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd is −370% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd is 10.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
Revenue at Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd is growing +105% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd are growing +359% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd (8115) hold?
Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 37.4M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 4, 2026