Royal Century Resources Holdings Ltd (8125) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$102M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +37.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4505). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1955 to HK$0.4505) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2300 – HK$26.96 · fair‑value band HK$0.1955 – HK$0.4505 · the HK$0.6600 price screens above the HK$0.3400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Royal Century Resources Holdings Ltd (8125) currently trades at HK$0.6600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 48.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Royal Century Resources Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$190M at a net margin of -13.4%. Revenue grew 84.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -31.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$43.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1955 (bear case) to HK$0.4505 (bull case); at HK$0.6600, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 164% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at -48%, 8125 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.3500) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.2000). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China New Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, fitting out and engineering, and procurement of furnishings and related products services in Hong Kong and Macau.
Full company description
China New Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, fitting out and engineering, and procurement of furnishings and related products services in Hong Kong and Macau. The company operates through four segments: Design, Fitting Out and Engineering Services; Leasing of Construction Equipment; Wines Merchandising; and Financial Services Business. It also engages in the lease of construction equipment and provision of related installation services; sourcing and merchandising of wines; and securities advisory, securities dealing and brokerage, and asset management services, as well as money lending activities. In addition, the company offers property investment, waterproofing works, maintenance services and intelligent software development and digital marketing services. The company has strategic cooperation agreement with Chanli (Shanghai) Wine Industry Co., Ltd. for the development, sales and marketing of Chanli Liquor. The company was formerly known as Royal Century Resources Holdings Limited and changed its name to China New Holdings Limited in February 2025. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Hung Hom, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Royal Century Resources Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$165M in FY2025 versus HK$66.8M in FY2021, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$21.7M in FY2025.
8125 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →
Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 318 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥84.34 | ¥99.66 | +18% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥40.23 | ¥86.91 | +116% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.79 | ¥36.04 | +65% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 12,500 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -85% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥173.26 | ¥38.83 | -78% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥27.69 | ¥50.62 | +83% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥57.74 | ¥54.14 | -6% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥41.68 | ¥44.84 | +8% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 97,200 KRW | 103,928 KRW | +7% |
| Voltas Limited VOLTAS | ₹1,290 | ₹152.27 | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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