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Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd (8139) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$40.3M

ZC Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd 8139 · HK
PriceHK$1.28
Fair ValueHK$3.78
Upside+195.3%
Quality36/100
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Strengths

Trades 66% below our fair value of HK$3.78

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.0 %/yr)
Loss-making · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$1.79 – HK$5.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +4.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, trading 66% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$1.79 to HK$5.77). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.39 HK$0.8200 Fair Value HK$3.78 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.8200 – HK$2.39 · fair‑value band HK$1.79 – HK$5.77 · the HK$1.28 price screens below the HK$3.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd (8139) currently trades at HK$1.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.78, implying the stock looks roughly 195.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$207M. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.1%. Net debt stands at HK$160M. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.79 (bear case) to HK$5.77 (bull case); at HK$1.28, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at 195%, 8139 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder HK$2.10 HK$2.26 HK$2.39 72
EPV HK$2.10 HK$2.26 HK$2.39 59
EV/EBITDA HK$5.90 HK$7.61 HK$9.32 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$2.10 HK$2.26 HK$2.39 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$2.95 HK$3.67 HK$4.40 53
EV/EBITDA HK$5.90 HK$7.61 HK$9.32 54
EV/Revenue HK$2.66 HK$3.47 HK$4.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.55 HK$2.07 HK$3.09 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$2.10 HK$2.26 HK$2.39 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$3.67) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.07). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.19 TTM
Net margin 0.0% TTM
Return on equity -0.1% TTM
Return on assets 0.5% TTM
Operating margin 1.3% TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0800
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$207M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5% 3y avg +11.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -67.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$9.3M FY2025
Net debt HK$160M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, research, develops, produces, and sells bentonite fine chemicals in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, research, develops, produces, and sells bentonite fine chemicals in the People's Republic of China. The company uses bentonite to manufacture paper chemicals, bentonite for metallurgy pellet, calcium-bentonite, organic bentonite, and other products; inorganic gel; putty powder; dry strength agent; and other chemicals, such as flocculating agents primarily used in sewage purification. The company's products are used in paint coatings, water treatment, and oil fields. It is also involved in clay mining and processing; and wholesale and retail of chemicals and equipment. The company was formerly known as Changxing Renheng Fine Bentonite Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology Co., Ltd. in December 2008. Zhejiang Chang'an Renheng Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Changxing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$207M in FY2025 versus HK$144M in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$76.4K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 42/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$207M
Latest YoY
+6.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY21 HK$144M
FY22 HK$151M
FY23 HK$162M
FY24 HK$195M
FY25 HK$207M
Net income
FY21 HK$7.4M
FY22 HK$1.4M
FY23 HK$2.3M
FY24 HK$1.3M
FY25 −HK$76.4K
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −14.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.2 pp

of which total revenue +9.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.5 pp

EBIT margin −12.0 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −9.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8139

Peer Group

Chemicals · 337 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +195% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE28 · sector 24
PAST0 · sector 20
HEALTH96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd (8139) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.78 versus a price of HK$1.28, about +195% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8139?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd is HK$3.78 (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.28.
What is the quality score of 8139?
Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd (8139)?
Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$207M (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8139?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang ChangAn Renheng Technology Co Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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