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Millennium Pacific Group (8147) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$149M

MP Millennium Pacific Group 8147 · HK
PriceHK$0.3500
Fair ValueHK$0.0400
Upside-88.6%
Quality23/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -8.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0300 – HK$0.0500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −51.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.38 HK$0.1220 Fair Value HK$0.0400 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1220 – HK$1.38 · fair‑value band HK$0.0300 – HK$0.0500 · the HK$0.3500 price screens above the HK$0.0400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Millennium Pacific Group (8147) currently trades at HK$0.3500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0400, implying the stock looks roughly 88.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Millennium Pacific Group generated revenue of HK$106M at a net margin of -8.5%. Revenue grew 69.2% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$1.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0300 (bear case) to HK$0.0500 (bull case); at HK$0.3500, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -89%, 8147 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$106M
Revenue growth (YoY) +69.2%
Net margin -8.5%
Return on equity -138%
Free cash flow −HK$7.1M FY2025
Operating margin -10.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100
Net debt HK$1.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 21 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Millennium Pacific Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of electronic devices in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company is involved in the trading of electronic devices; and development and sale of software applications.

Full company description

Millennium Pacific Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of electronic devices in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company is involved in the trading of electronic devices; and development and sale of software applications. It also provides design, prototyping/sampling, manufacturing, assembling, and packaging and marketing services to customers' products. In addition, the company engages in the sale and distribution of milk products and healthy food products; trading of cigars; operation of cigar lounges; and provision of online information and digital marketing services. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Millennium Pacific Group reported revenue of HK$106M in FY2025 versus HK$82.5M in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$9.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$106M
Latest YoY
+58.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
−6.6%
Revenue +6.6%/yr
FY21 HK$82.5M
FY22 HK$65.7M
FY23 HK$61.5M
FY24 HK$67.4M
FY25 HK$106M
Net income
FY21 −HK$22.6M
FY22 −HK$18.4M
FY23 −HK$17.3M
FY24 HK$2.9M
FY25 −HK$9.0M

8147 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Apple Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Millennium Pacific Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8147.HK

Peer Group

Consumer Electronics · 130 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 69% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.04× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.18× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 100 · sector 13
PAST 0 · sector 12
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Apple Inc AAPL $314.86 $122.91 -61%
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 255,000 KRW 138,019 KRW -46%
Sony Group SONYN 366.00 MXN 468.94 MXN +28%
Xiaomi Corporation 1810 HK$26.88 HK$39.84 +48%
LG Electronics Inc 066570 179,000 KRW 101,531 KRW -43%
Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 ¥277.96 ¥35.89 -87%
Huaqin Co 603296 ¥78.20 ¥65.69 -16%
Goertek Inc 002241 ¥22.25 ¥18.86 -15%
LG Corp 003550 102,400 KRW 93,881 KRW -8%
Anker Innovations Limited 300866 ¥105.92 ¥78.52 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Millennium Pacific Group (8147) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0400 versus a price of HK$0.3500, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8147?
Our model-based fair value for Millennium Pacific Group is HK$0.0400 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3500.
What is the quality score of 8147?
Millennium Pacific Group has a Quality Score of 23/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Millennium Pacific Group (8147)?
Millennium Pacific Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$106M (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8147?
The net profit margin of Millennium Pacific Group is about -8.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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