Arabia Insurance Cooperative Co (8160) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · SA · Market cap 430M SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Below-average quality, screening 93% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (11.75 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.02 SAR – 39.06 SAR · fair‑value band 11.75 SAR – 20.72 SAR · the 8.41 SAR price screens below the 16.24 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Arabia Insurance Cooperative Co (8160) currently trades at 8.41 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.24 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 93.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Arabia Insurance Cooperative Co generated revenue of 744M SAR at a net margin of -8.7%. Revenue grew 65.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 134M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 11.75 SAR (bear case) to 20.72 SAR (bull case); at 8.41 SAR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 93%, 8160 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (51.16 SAR) versus Asset-Based (7.22 SAR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Arabia Insurance Cooperative Company engages in the provision of insurance products and services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through six segments: Medical Insurance, Motor Insurance, Fire, Engineering, Marine, and Other.
Full company description
Arabia Insurance Cooperative Company engages in the provision of insurance products and services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through six segments: Medical Insurance, Motor Insurance, Fire, Engineering, Marine, and Other. It offers medical insurance, which covers medical costs, medicines, and other medical services and supplies; motor insurance; fire insurance; engineering insurance, which provides coverage for builder's risks, construction, mechanical, electrical, electronic work, and machinery disruption; marine insurance, which provides coverage for goods in transit and the vehicles of transportation on main roads; and other insurances. Arabia Insurance Cooperative Company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Arabia Insurance Cooperative Co reported revenue of 884M SAR in FY2025 versus 307M SAR in FY2021, a compound +30.2%/yr. Reported net income was −45.2M SAR in FY2025.
of which total revenue +6.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 8160: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Insurance - Property & Casualty · 118 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $207.37 | $160.25 | -23% |
| Chubb Limited CB | $343.33 | $234.73 | -32% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $370.16 | $274.42 | -26% |
| The Allstate Corporation ALL | $255.84 | $316.11 | +24% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥6.98 | ¥11.61 | +66% |
| PICC Property and Casualty Company 2328 | HK$15.52 | HK$22.28 | +44% |
| Intact Financial Corporation IFC | C$274.14 | C$167.46 | -39% |
| Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH | C$2,293 | C$2,291 | -0% |
| Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 | 628,000 KRW | 698,407 KRW | +11% |
| Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU | 72.14 PLN | 73.80 PLN | +2% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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