Hephaestus Holdings Ltd (8173) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$22.2M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0651 to HK$0.0650 (−0.2%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +20.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0930). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0346 to HK$0.0930). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0920 – HK$0.9400 · fair‑value band HK$0.0346 – HK$0.0930 · the HK$0.1220 price screens above the HK$0.0650 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hephaestus Holdings Ltd (8173) currently trades at HK$0.1220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0650, implying the stock looks roughly 46.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hephaestus Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$40.2M at a net margin of -18.8%. Revenue grew 134.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$8.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0346 (bear case) to HK$0.0930 (bull case); at HK$0.1220, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -47%, 8173 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.5600) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0700). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hephaestus Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of interior design and execution services in Hong Kong, Thailand, Macau, and Mainland China. It offers its services to private residences, corporate offices, service apartments, hotels, residential clubhouses, show flats, and sales galleries.
Full company description
Hephaestus Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the provision of interior design and execution services in Hong Kong, Thailand, Macau, and Mainland China. It offers its services to private residences, corporate offices, service apartments, hotels, residential clubhouses, show flats, and sales galleries. The company also provides colour-rendering, provides interior design and execution services and property investment, construction engineering, and handling services. The company was formerly known as Union Asia Enterprise Holdings Limited and changed its name to Hephaestus Holdings Limited in September 2021. Hephaestus Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Hephaestus Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Hong Kong Jun Tai Ting Investment Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Hephaestus Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$40.2M in FY2026 versus HK$51.7M in FY2022, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$7.5M in FY2026.
8173 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Verisk Analytics, Inc →
Peer Group
Consulting Services · 85 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verisk Analytics, Inc VRSK | $180.97 | $145.58 | -20% |
| SGS SA SGSN | CHF 94.20 | CHF 68.96 | -27% |
| Equifax Inc EFX | $180.46 | $100.04 | -45% |
| Bureau Veritas SA BVI | €27.74 | €27.81 | +0% |
| ALS Limited ALQ | A$23.42 | A$11.02 | -53% |
| Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH | $78.40 | $146.45 | +87% |
| DKSH Holding DKSH | CHF 68.40 | CHF 64.81 | -5% |
| FTI Consulting, Inc FCN | $152.68 | $168.44 | +10% |
| Centre Testing International Group 300012 | ¥14.10 | ¥11.90 | -16% |
| GRG Metrology & Test Group 002967 | ¥17.66 | ¥11.69 | -34% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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