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Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd (8250) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · HK · Market cap HK$37.9M (≈ $4.8M) · ISIN KYG8133P1000

What is Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd really worth?

SR Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd 8250 · HK
PriceHK$0.0940
Fair ValueHK$0.0735
Upside−21.8%
Quality54/100

A solid business, but trading 28% above our fair value of HK$0.0735.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd is HK$0.0735 per share against a price of HK$0.0940, so the fair value sits 22% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +82.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.6% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0522 – HK$0.0896

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0734 to HK$0.0735 (+0.1%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +2.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0896). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.5200 HK$0.0760 Fair Value HK$0.0735 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0760 – HK$0.5200 · fair‑value band HK$0.0522 – HK$0.0896 · the HK$0.0940 price screens above the HK$0.0735 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd (8250) currently trades at HK$0.0940, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0735, implying the stock looks roughly 27.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$5.3B at a net margin of −0.6%. Revenue declined 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$52.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0522 (bear case) to HK$0.0896 (bull case); at HK$0.0940, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −22%, 8250 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence HK$0.4700 HK$0.6300 HK$0.9400 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence HK$0.4700 HK$0.6300 HK$0.9400 54

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0400
Net margin −0.2% FY2025
Return on equity −8.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −3.5% avg 5y
Operating margin −0.2% TTM
Revenue (TTM) HK$5.3B TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) −3.5% 3y avg +96.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +78.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$12.9M FY2025
Net cash HK$52.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Du Du Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading activities in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company trades in of fruit and agricultural products and involved in the general trading activities.

Full company description

Du Du Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading activities in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company trades in of fruit and agricultural products and involved in the general trading activities. It processes and sells of processes meat products; and provides money lending services, as well as offers heating supply services. The company was formerly known as Silk Road Energy Services Group Limited and changed its name to Du Du Holdings Limited in February 2025. Du Du Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$5.4B in FY2025 versus HK$131M in FY2021, a compound +153.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$13.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$5.4B
Latest YoY
−8.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+96.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+82.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+45.8%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.3% (2020) → −0.3% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +153.0%/yr
FY21 HK$131M
FY22 HK$705M
FY23 HK$5.0B
FY24 HK$5.8B
FY25 HK$5.4B
Net income
FY21 −HK$29.9M
FY22 −HK$9.0M
FY23 HK$1.5M
FY24 −HK$18.5M
FY25 −HK$13.1M

8250 screens 28% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8250.HK

Peer Group

Thermal Coal · 99 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −4% · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 8
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 21
HEALTH100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 ¥48.05 ¥34.97 −27%
PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN 15,325 IDR 3,542 IDR −77%
Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT ₹2,965 ₹891.11 −70%
Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 ¥25.08 ¥23.90 −5%
Yankuang Energy Group 600188 ¥21.60 ¥13.24 −39%
Coal India Limited COALINDIA ₹417.85 ₹464.01 +11%
533278 533278 ₹406.50 ₹660.78 +63%
China Coal Energy Company 601898 ¥13.93 ¥13.91 +0%
PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, DSSA 1,145 IDR 352.75 IDR −69%
Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 ¥26.48 ¥20.72 −22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd (8250) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0735 versus a price of HK$0.0940, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8250?
Our model-based fair value for Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd is HK$0.0735 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0940.
What is the quality score of 8250?
Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd (8250)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0735 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0522, optimistic scenario HK$0.0896. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0735, about −22% upside versus a price of HK$0.0940 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0522, optimistic scenario HK$0.0896. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd (8250)?
Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$5.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8250?
The net profit margin of Silk Road Energy Services Group Ltd is about −0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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