EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China CBM Group Co Ltd HK$0.10, price HK$0.29, upside -64.9%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · HK · ISIN BMG2152N1048

CC Thin data Sep 27, 2026

China CBM Group Co Ltd

8270 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.1000 · Strongly overvalued (−64.9%)
!Quality 25/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -127.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch China CBM Group Co Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.17 HK$0.1733 Fair Value HK$0.1000 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1733 – HK$1.17 · fair‑value band HK$0.0800 – HK$0.1500 · the HK$0.2850 price screens above the HK$0.1000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

Follow China CBM Group Co in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether China CBM Group Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

China CBM Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploitation, liquefaction production, and sale of natural gas and coalbed gas in the People's Republic of China.

Show more

China CBM Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploitation, liquefaction production, and sale of natural gas and coalbed gas in the People's Republic of China. The company provides liquefied coalbed gas logistics services; explores for, develops, produces, and sells coalbed methane; distributes gas; and manufactures and sells polyethylene gas pipelines. It serves industrial, and commercial customers. The company was formerly known as China Leason CBM & Shale Gas Group Company Limited and changed its name to China CBM Group Company Limited in June 2014. China CBM Group Company Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270) currently trades at HK$0.2850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1000, 64.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0800 (bear) to HK$0.1500 (bull), the price of HK$0.2850 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

China CBM Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 47.1M CNY in FY2025 versus 215M CNY in FY2021, a compound −31.6%/yr. Reported net income was −60.0M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$160M (≈ $20.4M) · P/S ratio 3.40 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0300 · Net margin −127% · Return on equity −50.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.8% · Operating margin −64.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$47.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −65%, 8270 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0800 Fair Value HK$0.1000 Bull HK$0.1500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2000 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.2000 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when 8270 reaches fair value

Put 8270 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 6
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−80.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−47.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −17.7% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15.6% (2020) → −62.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

8270 screens overvalued: fair value 65% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Oil Company →

Compare China CBM Group Co Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 47 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −127.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −64.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −52.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.30× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 93
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 51
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 70

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 25.78 SAR 20.14 SAR −22%
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM $160.59 $90.40 −44%
Chevron Corporation CVX $204.38 $92.05 −55%
PetroChina Company 601857 ¥10.95 ¥15.47 +41%
TotalEnergies SE TTE €79.99 €72.59 −9%
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PBR $20.37 $28.71 +41%
Equinor ASA EQNR kr 398.40 kr 345.87 −13%
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 ¥5.32 ¥3.74 −30%
Suncor Energy Inc SU $68.19 $70.17 +3%
Imperial Oil Limited IMO $122.34 $94.61 −23%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Energy stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

China CBM Group Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.1000 −65%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China CBM Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8270

Frequently asked questions

Is China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1000 versus a price of HK$0.2850, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8270?
Our model-based fair value for China CBM Group Co Ltd is HK$0.1000 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2850.
What is the quality score of 8270?
China CBM Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1000 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0800, optimistic scenario HK$0.1500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China CBM Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1000, about −65% upside versus a price of HK$0.2850 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0800, optimistic scenario HK$0.1500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
China CBM Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$47.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China CBM Group Co Ltd it is HK$0.1000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2850. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China CBM Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8270 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2850, fair value HK$0.1000, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8270?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1000). For China CBM Group Co Ltd the two are HK$0.1850 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China CBM Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values China CBM Group Co Ltd at about HK$160M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2850; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8270?
Our models span a range for China CBM Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0800, base HK$0.1000, optimistic HK$0.1500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
Balance-sheet figures for China CBM Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −50.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8270 from its 52-week high?
China CBM Group Co Ltd trades at HK$0.2850, about 45% below its 52-week high of HK$0.5200 and 12% above the low of HK$0.2550 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China CBM Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China CBM Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2850, calculated fair value HK$0.1000 (−65%), Quality Score 25/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8270 calculated?
We run China CBM Group Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. China CBM Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2850. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1000, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China CBM Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0800 to HK$0.1500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of China CBM Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
The market capitalisation of China CBM Group Co Ltd is HK$160M (≈ $20.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China CBM Group Co Ltd is 3.40 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
Earnings per share at China CBM Group Co Ltd are HK$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
The net margin of China CBM Group Co Ltd is −127% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China CBM Group Co Ltd is −50.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China CBM Group Co Ltd is −5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
The operating margin of China CBM Group Co Ltd is −64.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
Revenue at China CBM Group Co Ltd is growing −52.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −47.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270)?
Earnings per share at China CBM Group Co Ltd are growing −67.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270) generate?
The free cash flow of China CBM Group Co Ltd is −HK$4.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China CBM Group Co Ltd (8270) hold?
China CBM Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$39.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch China CBM Group Co Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts China CBM Group Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.