HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited (8343) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited HK$0.92, price HK$0.30, upside +211.9%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2390 – HK$8.51 · fair‑value band HK$0.5700 – HK$1.20 · the HK$0.2950 price screens below the HK$0.9200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells light-emitting diode (LED) beads and LED lighting products in the People's Republic of China. The company offers candle, flood, bulb, spot, down, oyster, and panel lights, as well as tube and torch.
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HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells light-emitting diode (LED) beads and LED lighting products in the People's Republic of China. The company offers candle, flood, bulb, spot, down, oyster, and panel lights, as well as tube and torch. It serves manufacturers of backlight LED modules/panels, LCD panels, and other electronic products, as well as a trading company. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Zhuhai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited (8343) currently trades at HK$0.2950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9200, implying the stock looks roughly 67.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.8600 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.2950 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1000, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.5700 (bear) to HK$1.20 (bull), the price of HK$0.2950 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Other sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited reported revenue of HK$204M in FY2018 versus HK$119M in FY2015, a compound +19.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$23.9M in FY2018, compounding +45.6%/yr from FY2015.
Key figures
Market cap HK$312M (≈ $39.8M) · Net margin 11.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 212%, 8343 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.5700Fair Value HK$0.9200Bull HK$1.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+74.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.7%
’15
’16
’17
’18
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
14.7% (2015) → 14.2% (2018)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Compare HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)11.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8343
Frequently asked questions
Is HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited (8343) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.9200 versus a price of HK$0.2950, about +212% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8343?
Our model-based fair value for HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited is HK$0.9200 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2950.
What is the quality score of 8343?
HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited (8343)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.9200 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.5700, optimistic scenario HK$1.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.9200, about +212% upside versus a price of HK$0.2950 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.5700, optimistic scenario HK$1.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited (8343)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited it is HK$0.9200 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2950. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 8343 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2950, fair value HK$0.9200, a gap of about +212% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8343?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2950); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.9200). For HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited the two are HK$0.6250 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited worth?
The market values HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited at about HK$312M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2950; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.9200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8343?
Our models span a range for HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited: cautious scenario HK$0.5700, base HK$0.9200, optimistic HK$1.20 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price HK$0.2950). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 8343 from its 52-week high?
HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited trades at HK$0.2950, about 57% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6800 and 23% above the low of HK$0.2390 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.9200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited?
From the same area (Other) we also value 542772, 590024, Indiabulls Real Estate Limited, 542851, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price HK$0.2950, calculated fair value HK$0.9200 (+212%), Quality Score 77/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8343 calculated?
We run HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.9200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited currently trades 68 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited (8343)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.2950. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.9200, about +212% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.5700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.5700 to HK$1.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited (8343)?
The market capitalisation of HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited is HK$312M (≈ $39.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the net margin of HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited (8343)?
The net margin of HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited is 11.7% (fiscal year 2018). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited (8343)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HongGuang Lighting Holdings Company Limited is 13.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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