Smart Globe Holdings (8485) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$320M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −3.2% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.6000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3100 to HK$0.6000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1830 – HK$3.07 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$0.6000 · the HK$1.50 price screens above the HK$0.4500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Smart Globe Holdings (8485) currently trades at HK$1.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4500, implying the stock looks roughly 70.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Smart Globe Holdings generated revenue of HK$125M at a net margin of 14.8%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$40.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3100 (bear case) to HK$0.6000 (bull case); at HK$1.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 216% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 107% fair-value upside, at -70%, 8485 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.4500) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Smart Globe Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces, distributes, and prints books, novelty, and packaging products in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Australia, the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally.
Full company description
Smart Globe Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces, distributes, and prints books, novelty, and packaging products in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Australia, the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It provides a range of services, such as pre-press, printing, and finishing services, as well as custom-made and value added printing products. The company also offers box products, children books and pop-ups, journals and book products, stationery and photo albums, leather products, and oversized books. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in North Point, Hong Kong. Smart Globe Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Master Sage Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2015 – FY2019 · reported fiscal years
Smart Globe Holdings reported revenue of HK$132M in FY2019 versus HK$68.0M in FY2015, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$23.1M in FY2019, compounding +33.7%/yr from FY2015.
8485 screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Fischer Chemic Limited →
Peer Group
Industrials · 5372 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Professional & Commercial Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Professional & Commercial Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fischer Chemic Limited FISCHER | ₹37.75 | ₹8.06 | -79% |
| e-Credible Co 092130 | 14,480 KRW | 21,145 KRW | +46% |
| KG Mobilians Co 046440 | 4,160 KRW | 9,321 KRW | +124% |
| INSUN Environmental New Technology Co 060150 | 3,210 KRW | 6,658 KRW | +107% |
| Y-Entec Co 067900 | 6,100 KRW | 24,390 KRW | +300% |
| NICE Total Cash Management Co 063570 | 3,325 KRW | 4,300 KRW | +29% |
| Nice D&B Co 130580 | 5,470 KRW | 17,622 KRW | +222% |
| CCID Consulting Company 8235 | HK$0.4900 | HK$0.8700 | +78% |
| Yangjisa Co 030960 | 4,675 KRW | 471.99 KRW | -90% |
| Sigong Tech Co 020710 | 3,750 KRW | 14,246 KRW | +280% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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