Geotrans SA (GTS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Geotrans SA PLN 0.57, price PLN 4.42, upside -87.1%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value 0.5700 PLN · Strongly overvalued (−87%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y −16.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.1% net margin (FY2025)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(1/7)
!Moderate moat49/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.32 PLN – 16.18 PLN · fair‑value band 0.4300 PLN – 0.7200 PLN · the 4.42 PLN price screens above the 0.5700 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Geotrans SA (GTS) currently trades at 4.42 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5700 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 675.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.9100 PLN per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the 4.42 PLN price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.4500 PLN, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.4300 PLN (bear) to 0.7200 PLN (bull), the price of 4.42 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Geotrans SA reported revenue of 19.2M PLN in FY2025 versus 21.4M PLN in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 598K PLN in FY2025, compounding −23.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 103M PLN (≈ $26.8M) · P/E ratio 7.0 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) 2.96 PLN · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity 11,162% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0% · Free cash flow −6.6M PLN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at −87%, GTS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.1200 PLN to 1.64 PLN). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 0.4300 PLNFair Value 0.5700 PLNBull 0.7200 PLN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.18 PLN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.13/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.3% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−40.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−40.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2015 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 8%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Professional & Commercial Services · 15 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−87% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 98
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 100
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Geotrans SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GTS
Frequently asked questions
Is Geotrans SA (GTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5700 PLN versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of 4.42 PLN, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GTS?
Our model-based fair value for Geotrans SA is 0.5700 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): 4.42 PLN.
What is the quality score of GTS?
Geotrans SA has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Geotrans SA (GTS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.5700 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.4300 PLN, optimistic scenario 0.7200 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Geotrans SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.5700 PLN, about −87% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of 4.42 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.4300 PLN, optimistic scenario 0.7200 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Geotrans SA it is 0.5700 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 4.42 PLN. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Geotrans SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GTS trades above its calculated fair value: price 4.42 PLN, fair value 0.5700 PLN, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GTS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.42 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.5700 PLN). For Geotrans SA the two are 3.85 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Geotrans SA worth?
The market values Geotrans SA at about 103M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 4.42 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 0.5700 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GTS?
Our models span a range for Geotrans SA: cautious scenario 0.4300 PLN, base 0.5700 PLN, optimistic 0.7200 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 4.42 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GTS?
Geotrans SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.5700 PLN is built from several models across several years.
How far is GTS from its 52-week high?
Geotrans SA trades at 4.42 PLN, about 29% below its 52-week high of 6.20 PLN and 2% above the low of 4.32 PLN (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.5700 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Geotrans SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Fischer Chemic Limited, e-Credible Co, KG Mobilians Co, INSUN Environmental New Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Geotrans SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 4.42 PLN, calculated fair value 0.5700 PLN (−87%), Quality Score 49/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GTS calculated?
We run Geotrans SA through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.5700 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Geotrans SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at 4.42 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 0.5700 PLN, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Geotrans SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.7200 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Geotrans SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The market capitalisation of Geotrans SA is 103M PLN (≈ $26.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Geotrans SA is 0.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
Earnings per share at Geotrans SA are 2.96 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The net margin of Geotrans SA is 3.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Geotrans SA is 11,162% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Geotrans SA is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Geotrans SA (GTS) generate?
The free cash flow of Geotrans SA is −6.6M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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