Geotrans SA (GTS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Geotrans SA stock PLN 3.64, price PLN 3.08, upside +18.2%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.90 PLN – 14.66 PLN · fair‑value band 3.24 PLN – 3.99 PLN · the 3.08 PLN price screens below the 3.64 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Geotrans S.A. provides waste management and environmental protection services in Poland. It engages in the collection, transport, and management of post-process waste, including stabilized municipal sewage sludge, combustion by-products, and non-standard compost.
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The company serves municipal water and sewage companies, as well as companies from the energy and waste management sectors. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Wroclaw, Poland.
Stock analysis
Geotrans SA (GTS) currently trades at 3.08 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.64 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 15% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 5.20 PLN per share, and 7 of the 13 models we run sit above the 3.08 PLN price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 2.09 PLN, and 6 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 3.24 PLN (bear) to 3.99 PLN (bull), the price of 3.08 PLN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Geotrans SA reported revenue of 19.2M PLN in FY2025 versus 21.4M PLN in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 598K PLN in FY2025, compounding −23.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 15.2M PLN (≈ $3.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) −0.2600 PLN · Net margin −9.2% · Return on equity −4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −45.9% · Revenue (TTM) 15.2M PLN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 18%, GTS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear3.24 PLNFair Value 3.64 PLNBull3.99 PLN
Price 3.08 PLN · Upside +18.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.8/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.3% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−39.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−39.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2015 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 8%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside+18.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−9.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−45.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−51.3% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Geotrans SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GTS
Frequently asked questions
Is Geotrans SA (GTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.64 PLN versus a price of 3.08 PLN, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GTS?
Our model-based fair value for Geotrans SA is 3.64 PLN (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.08 PLN.
What is the quality score of GTS?
Geotrans SA has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Geotrans SA (GTS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.64 PLN (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.24 PLN, optimistic scenario 3.99 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Geotrans SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.64 PLN, about +18% upside versus a price of 3.08 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 3.24 PLN, optimistic scenario 3.99 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
Geotrans SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.2M PLN (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Geotrans SA it is 3.64 PLN per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 3.08 PLN. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Geotrans SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, GTS trades below its calculated fair value: price 3.08 PLN, fair value 3.64 PLN, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GTS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3.08 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.64 PLN). For Geotrans SA the two are 0.5600 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Geotrans SA worth?
The market values Geotrans SA at about 15.2M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 3.08 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 3.64 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GTS?
Our models span a range for Geotrans SA: cautious scenario 3.24 PLN, base 3.64 PLN, optimistic 3.99 PLN per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 3.08 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Geotrans SA (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −4.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GTS from its 52-week high?
Geotrans SA trades at 3.08 PLN, about 50% below its 52-week high of 6.20 PLN and 6% above the low of 2.90 PLN (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.64 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Geotrans SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Geotrans SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 3.08 PLN, calculated fair value 3.64 PLN (+18%), Quality Score 43/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GTS calculated?
We run Geotrans SA through 13 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 3.64 PLN builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Geotrans SA currently trades 15% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 3.08 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 3.64 PLN, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Geotrans SA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (3.24 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Geotrans SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The market capitalisation of Geotrans SA is 15.2M PLN (≈ $3.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Geotrans SA is 1.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
Earnings per share at Geotrans SA are −0.2600 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The net margin of Geotrans SA is −9.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Geotrans SA is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Geotrans SA is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Geotrans SA (GTS)?
The operating margin of Geotrans SA is −45.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Geotrans SA (GTS)?
Revenue at Geotrans SA is growing −51.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Geotrans SA (GTS) generate?
The free cash flow of Geotrans SA is −6.6M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026