9530 Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · Market cap 383M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −10.0% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (14.25 SAR to 31.10 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 18.07 SAR – 36.00 SAR · fair‑value band 14.25 SAR – 31.10 SAR · the 19.17 SAR price screens below the 20.01 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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9530 (9530) currently trades at 19.17 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.01 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 4.4% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, 9530 generated revenue of 842M SAR at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 27.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at 332M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 14.25 SAR (bear case) to 31.10 SAR (bull case); at 19.17 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 4%, 9530 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
9530 reported revenue of 842M SAR in FY2025 versus 619M SAR in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was 23.8M SAR in FY2025, compounding −26.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc H1CA34 | R$97.60 | R$115.75 | +19% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €41.73 | €32.15 | -23% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 235.00 SAR | 112.37 SAR | -52% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F | 2.76 SGD | 1.28 SGD | -54% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $162.06 | $282.55 | +74% |
| Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 | R$33.83 | R$46.94 | +39% |
| DaVita Inc DVAI34 | R$1,030 | R$1,096 | +7% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,489 | ₹2,128 | -75% |
| Fresenius Medical Care AG FMSC34 | R$112.00 | R$164.60 | +47% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥8.25 | ¥6.73 | -18% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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