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9541 Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Market cap 896M SAR

9 9541 9541 · SR
Price6.68 SAR
Fair Value3.77 SAR
Upside-43.6%
Quality44/100
Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.67% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Wide moat 65/100
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Evidence: High Range 2.64 SAR – 5.85 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price −4.6% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.85 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (2.64 SAR to 5.85 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

7.76 SAR 5.11 SAR Fair Value 3.77 SAR May 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 5.11 SAR – 7.76 SAR · fair‑value band 2.64 SAR – 5.85 SAR · the 6.68 SAR price screens above the 3.77 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

9541 (9541) currently trades at 6.68 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.77 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 43.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 9541 generated revenue of 172M SAR at a net margin of 17.3%. Revenue grew 26.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at 164M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.64 SAR (bear case) to 5.85 SAR (bull case); at 6.68 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -44%, 9541 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 172M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.9%
Net margin 17.3%
Return on equity 16.7%
Free cash flow −17.1M SAR FY2024
P/E ratio 44.3
More key figures
Operating margin 21.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.1500 SAR
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.1%
Net debt 164M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100
Profitability 56
Quality Growth 70
Cashflow 18
Fin. Strength 69
Investment 9
Low Volatility 61
Momentum 42
52W Momentum 55
Net Issuance 0

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

9541 reported revenue of 172M SAR in FY2025 versus 42.3M SAR in FY2021, a compound +42.1%/yr. Reported net income was 29.8M SAR in FY2025, compounding +16.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +42.1%/yr
FY21 42.3M SAR
FY22 62.9M SAR
FY23 92.9M SAR
FY24 127M SAR
FY25 172M SAR
Net income +16.5%/yr
FY21 16.2M SAR
FY22 21.4M SAR
FY23 28.7M SAR
FY24 19.7M SAR
FY25 29.8M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "9541 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9541

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 36
FUTURE 100 / 22
PAST 67 / 17
HEALTH 89 / 95
DIVIDEND 13 / 67

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 894.16 MXN -7%
TAL Education Group T1AL34 R$4.89 R$0.9200 -81%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.49 $39.86 +9%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹130.16 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $152.57 $112.68 -26%
Covista Inc CVSA $130.25 $150.42 +15%
Stride, Inc LRN $97.91 $139.18 +42%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.02 $21.26 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $35.22 $61.71 +75%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $81.52 $99.13 +22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 9541 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.77 SAR versus a price of 6.68 SAR, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9541?
Our model-based fair value for 9541 is 3.77 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 6.68 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9541?
9541 has a Quality Score of 44/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 9541?
9541 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 172M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9541?
The net profit margin of 9541 is about 17.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 9541 pay a dividend?
9541 currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.67% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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