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Waja Company (9560) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 4, 2026: fair value of Waja Company SAR 1.46, price SAR 6.25, upside -76.6%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · SA · ISIN SA15P1D4LC16

WC Some data Oct 4, 2026

Waja Company

9560 · SR

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +36.0 %/yr in SAR)
Thin margins · 0.7% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Fair value 1.46 SAR · Strongly overvalued (−76.6%)
Quality 33/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/12)
Narrow moat 20/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

8.50 SAR 5.58 SAR Fair Value 1.46 SAR Mar 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

42‑month range 5.58 SAR – 8.50 SAR · fair‑value band 0.7500 SAR – 2.07 SAR · the 6.25 SAR price screens above the 1.46 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Waja Company engages in the construction business. It undertakes general construction works for residential and non-residential buildings, such as schools, hospitals, hotels, and other projects.

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Waja Company engages in the construction business. It undertakes general construction works for residential and non-residential buildings, such as schools, hospitals, hotels, and other projects. The company is also involved in the construction and repair of water distribution stations and main lines; complete systems, systems analysis, custom software design and programming; artificial intelligence technologies; advertising agencies and establishments; building maintenance services activities; and repair, restoration, and installation of home furnishings including office furniture. Waja Company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Waja Company (9560) currently trades at 6.25 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.46 SAR, 76.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 2.56 SAR per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 6.25 SAR price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 0.7900 SAR, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 0.7500 SAR (bear) to 2.07 SAR (bull), the price of 6.25 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Waja Company reported revenue of 139M SAR in FY2025 versus 79.0M SAR in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was 5.1M SAR in FY2025, compounding −26.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 458M SAR (≈ $122M) · P/E ratio 625.0 · P/S ratio 23.2 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 SAR · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.0% · Operating margin −10.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −77%, 9560 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.7500 SAR Fair Value 1.46 SAR Bull 2.07 SAR
Price 6.25 SAR · Upside -76.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0076 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 0.7100 SAR 0.7900 SAR 0.8600 SAR 74
Owner Earnings 1.29 SAR 2.56 SAR 4.77 SAR 73
ROIC Compounder 0.7100 SAR 0.7900 SAR 0.8600 SAR 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 1.29 SAR 2.56 SAR 4.77 SAR 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.5000 SAR 3.48 SAR 4.88 SAR 63
Lynch FV 1.11 SAR 1.59 SAR 2.07 SAR 61
PEG = 1.0 1.11 SAR 1.59 SAR 2.07 SAR 57
EPV 0.7100 SAR 0.7900 SAR 0.8600 SAR 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.16 SAR 1.54 SAR 1.93 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 0.9400 SAR 1.25 SAR 1.56 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 0.9400 SAR 1.25 SAR 1.56 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 1.80 SAR 2.40 SAR 3.01 SAR 66
EV/EBITDA 1.51 SAR 2.02 SAR 2.53 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 1.28 SAR 1.83 SAR 2.39 SAR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.7500 SAR 1.01 SAR 1.51 SAR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.03 SAR 1.00 SAR 1.02 SAR 71
ROIC Compounder 0.7100 SAR 0.7900 SAR 0.8600 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.49 SAR 2.12 SAR 2.76 SAR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−23.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.36% → 7%

9560 screens overvalued: fair value 77% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 799 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Return on assets 1.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −10.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −11.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 625.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.38× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 3.41× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 74.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $642.51 $162.77 −75%
Vinci SA DG €105.60 €186.22 +76%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,728 $1,116 −35%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €407.40 €203.86 −50%
EMCOR Group EME $769.03 $525.05 −32%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €95.00 €62.20 −35%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Waja Company · Fair Value
1.46 SAR −77%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Waja Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9560

Frequently asked questions

Is Waja Company (9560) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.46 SAR versus a price of 6.25 SAR, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9560?
Our model-based fair value for Waja Company is 1.46 SAR (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6.25 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9560?
Waja Company has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Waja Company (9560)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.46 SAR (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.7500 SAR, optimistic scenario 2.07 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Waja Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.46 SAR, about −77% upside versus a price of 6.25 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.7500 SAR, optimistic scenario 2.07 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Waja Company (9560)?
Waja Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 135M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Waja Company (9560)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Waja Company it is 1.46 SAR per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 6.25 SAR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Waja Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 9560 trades above its calculated fair value: price 6.25 SAR, fair value 1.46 SAR, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9560?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6.25 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.46 SAR). For Waja Company the two are 4.79 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Waja Company worth?
The market values Waja Company at about 458M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 6.25 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 1.46 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9560?
Our models span a range for Waja Company: cautious scenario 0.7500 SAR, base 1.46 SAR, optimistic 2.07 SAR per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 6.25 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Waja Company (9560)?
Balance-sheet figures for Waja Company (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9560 from its 52-week high?
Waja Company trades at 6.25 SAR, about 26% below its 52-week high of 8.50 SAR and 6% above the low of 5.91 SAR (as of Oct 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.46 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Waja Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Waja Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 6.25 SAR, calculated fair value 1.46 SAR (−77%), Quality Score 33/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9560 calculated?
We run Waja Company through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.46 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Waja Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Waja Company (9560)?
The closing price on Oct 4, 2026 was 6.25 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 1.46 SAR, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Waja Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.07 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (0.7500 SAR to 2.07 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Waja Company

How large is the market capitalisation of Waja Company (9560)?
The market capitalisation of Waja Company is 458M SAR (≈ $122M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Waja Company (9560)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Waja Company is 625.0. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Waja Company (9560)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Waja Company is 23.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Waja Company (9560)?
Earnings per share at Waja Company are 0.0100 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 625.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Waja Company (9560)?
The net margin of Waja Company is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Waja Company (9560)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Waja Company is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Waja Company (9560)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Waja Company is 15.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Waja Company (9560)?
The operating margin of Waja Company is −10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Waja Company (9560)?
Revenue at Waja Company is growing −11.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Waja Company (9560)?
Earnings per share at Waja Company are growing +45.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Waja Company (9560) generate?
The free cash flow of Waja Company is −43.0M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Waja Company (9560) carry?
The net debt of Waja Company is 32.1M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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