Paper Home Company (9576) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 207M SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 1, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −11.2% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (20.16 SAR to 50.84 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 34.42 SAR – 47.40 SAR · fair‑value band 20.16 SAR – 50.84 SAR · the 34.42 SAR price screens above the 33.44 SAR fair value. As of Aug 1, 2026.
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Paper Home Company (9576) currently trades at 34.42 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.44 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 2.9% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Paper Home Company generated revenue of 97.6M SAR at a net margin of 18.2%. Revenue grew 12.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.3%. Net debt stands at 2.2M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 20.16 SAR (bear case) to 50.84 SAR (bull case); at 34.42 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -3%, 9576 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Paper Home Company engages in manufacture and sale of corrugated cardboard products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers point-of-sale displays, die cut boxes, wrap-around boxes, trays, regular slotted containers, jumbo boxes, half slotted containers, mill run sheers, and dividers and pads; as well as C, B, E, BC, and BE corrugated flutes.
Full company description
Paper Home Company engages in manufacture and sale of corrugated cardboard products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers point-of-sale displays, die cut boxes, wrap-around boxes, trays, regular slotted containers, jumbo boxes, half slotted containers, mill run sheers, and dividers and pads; as well as C, B, E, BC, and BE corrugated flutes. It also manufactures folded or single cartons, paper bags, plates and cups, molds, sheets, and filter paper from paper pulp. Paper Home Company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Paper Home Company reported revenue of 97.6M SAR in FY2025 versus 62.5M SAR in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was 17.8M SAR in FY2025, compounding +17.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF | $44.20 | $30.87 | -30% |
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $38.95 | $62.16 | +60% |
| Amcor plc AMC | A$58.69 | A$18.33 | -69% |
| Packaging Corporation P1KG34 | R$554.04 | R$342.14 | -38% |
| International Paper Company I1PC34 | R$170.51 | R$346.20 | +103% |
| Ball Corporation B1LL34 | R$141.68 | R$104.18 | -26% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation A1VY34 | R$405.00 | R$217.71 | -46% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥33.57 | ¥20.88 | -38% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 25.00 THB | 12.30 THB | -51% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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