Al Mohafaza Company for Educati (9598) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · SA · Market cap 206M SAR
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Share price −5.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 156% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11.91 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
29‑month range 17.33 SAR – 28.68 SAR · fair‑value band 7.58 SAR – 11.91 SAR · the 24.94 SAR price screens above the 9.74 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Al Mohafaza Company for Educati (9598) currently trades at 24.94 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.74 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Al Mohafaza Company for Educati generated revenue of 28.2M SAR at a net margin of 17.5%. Revenue grew 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 10.2M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.58 SAR (bear case) to 11.91 SAR (bull case); at 24.94 SAR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at -61%, 9598 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (11.72 SAR) versus Dividend Discount (4.33 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Al Mohafaza Company for Education provides education services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers preschool education, kindergarten, and primary education, as well as mixed primary education, including community schools, secondary education, and intermediate education.
Full company description
Al Mohafaza Company for Education provides education services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers preschool education, kindergarten, and primary education, as well as mixed primary education, including community schools, secondary education, and intermediate education. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Hafar Al Batin, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Al Mohafaza Company for Educati reported revenue of 27.6M SAR in FY2025 versus 20.1M SAR in FY2022, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was 5.9M SAR in FY2025, compounding +28.6%/yr from FY2022.
9598 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 150 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDU | $53.34 | $48.37 | -9% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $11.87 | $15.60 | +31% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $38.36 | $41.45 | +8% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹123.90 | ₹14.81 | -88% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $142.06 | $152.01 | +7% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $128.22 | $135.45 | +6% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $78.59 | $139.45 | +77% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $25.64 | $20.98 | -18% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $32.66 | $40.65 | +24% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $80.69 | $105.48 | +31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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