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Strategic Education, Inc (STRA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.9B

SE Strategic Education, Inc logo Strategic Education, Inc STRA · US
Price$84.88
Fair Value$105.48
Upside+24.3%
Quality77/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.87% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range $76.76 – $131.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $123.18 to $105.48 (−14.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.5% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 24% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $76.76 (bear) to $131.50 (bull), base $105.48. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 77/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$115.64 $43.61 Fair Value $105.48 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $43.61 – $115.64 · fair‑value band $76.76 – $131.50 · the $84.88 price screens below the $105.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Strategic Education, Inc (STRA) currently trades at $84.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $105.48, implying the stock looks roughly 24.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Strategic Education, Inc generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $31.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $76.76 (bear case) to $131.50 (bull case); at $84.88, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at 24%, STRA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $70.69 $104.23 $149.71 80
Residual Income $56.52 $58.79 $60.66 76
Rev-Margin DCF $57.31 $87.73 $124.81 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $70.91 $107.29 $158.89 38
Owner Earnings $39.57 $59.03 $86.63 31
5Y Revenue Exit $57.31 $87.51 $126.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $72.45 $117.06 $170.38 41
5Y P/E Exit $80.32 $132.41 $189.07 38
10Y Revenue Exit $60.71 $88.70 $127.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $70.95 $107.89 $159.25 37
10Y P/E Exit $75.61 $117.86 $172.81 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $38.07 $144.31 $195.35 54
Lynch FV $35.00 $50.00 $65.00 50
PEG = 1.0 $35.00 $50.00 $65.00 46
EPV $54.94 $61.95 $67.79 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $92.39 $123.18 $153.98 63
P/S Multiple $50.48 $67.30 $84.13 58
P/B Multiple $71.39 $95.19 $118.98 55
EV/EBIT $120.61 $159.64 $198.67 53
EV/EBITDA $81.57 $107.59 $133.61 54
EV/Revenue $50.62 $70.81 $91.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $36.40 $48.78 $72.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $70.69 $104.23 $149.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF $57.31 $87.73 $124.81 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $56.52 $58.79 $60.66 76
ROIC Compounder $54.94 $61.95 $67.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $65.85 $94.07 $122.30 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($107.29) versus Asset-Based ($48.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.8%
Net margin 10.2%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow $154M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.9
More key figures
Operating margin 14.1%
EPS (TTM) $5.65
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +19.4%
Net cash $31.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Strategic Education, Inc. provides education services through campus-based and online post-secondary education, and programs to develop job-ready skills. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Higher Education, Australia/New Zealand, and Education Technology Services.

Full company description

Strategic Education, Inc. provides education services through campus-based and online post-secondary education, and programs to develop job-ready skills. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Higher Education, Australia/New Zealand, and Education Technology Services. It operates Strayer University that offers undergraduate and graduate degree programs in business, criminal justice, education, health services, information technology, and public administration at physical campuses located in the eastern United States, as well as through online; non-degree web and mobile application development courses through Hackbright Academy and Devmountain; and MBA online through its Jack Welch Management Institute. In addition, the company operates Capella University, an online accredited institution of higher education; Torrens University, which offers undergraduate, graduate, higher degree by research, and specialized degree courses in business, design and creative technology, health, hospitality, and education fields through online and on physical campuses located in Australia; Think Education, a vocational training organization and higher education provider; and Media Design School, which provides industry-endorsed courses in 3D animation and visual effects, game art and programming, graphic and motion design, digital media, artificial intelligence, and creative advertising. It offers Workforce Edge, an administration platform that enables employers to manage and streamline their education benefits programs; and Sophia Learning, which offers low-cost online general education-level courses. Strategic Education, Inc. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Herndon, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Strategic Education, Inc reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was $127M in FY2025, compounding +23.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+12.2%
Revenue +2.9%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.3B
Net income +23.1%/yr
FY21 $55.1M
FY22 $46.7M
FY23 $69.8M
FY24 $113M
FY25 $127M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Strategic Education, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STRA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +24% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.16× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.51× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.75× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 66 · sector 37
FUTURE 4 · sector 24
PAST 32 · sector 18
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 57 · sector 66

Insider activity: 78/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 897.37 MXN -7%
TAL Education Group TAL $10.24 $15.60 +52%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.45 $41.45 +14%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹131.59 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $149.00 $152.01 +2%
Covista Inc CVSA $116.22 $135.45 +17%
Stride, Inc LRN $83.39 $139.45 +67%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.33 $21.35 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.66 $41.45 +31%
McGraw Hill, Inc MH $9.70 $4.06 -58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Strategic Education, Inc (STRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $105.48 versus a price of $84.88, about +24% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STRA?
Our model-based fair value for Strategic Education, Inc is $105.48 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $84.88.
What is the quality score of STRA?
Strategic Education, Inc has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Strategic Education, Inc (STRA)?
Strategic Education, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STRA?
The net profit margin of Strategic Education, Inc is about 10.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Strategic Education, Inc pay a dividend?
Strategic Education, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.98% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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