Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arabian United Float Glass Company stock SAR 41.35, price SAR 23.00, upside +79.8%, quality 68 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range 23.00 SAR – 43.51 SAR · fair‑value band 30.29 SAR – 54.57 SAR · the 23.00 SAR price screens below the 41.35 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Arabian United Float Glass Company manufactures and sells glass products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers float and pattern glass products, as well as mirrors. The company also exports its products.
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Arabian United Float Glass Company was founded in 2005 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611) currently trades at 23.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 41.35 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 44.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 50.36 SAR per share, and 20 of the 25 models we run sit above the 23.00 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 8.79 SAR, and 5 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 30.29 SAR (bear) to 54.57 SAR (bull), the price of 23.00 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Arabian United Float Glass Company reported revenue of 297M SAR in FY2025 versus 276M SAR in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was 60.4M SAR in FY2025, compounding −11.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 391M SAR (≈ $104M) Micro · P/E ratio 8.2 · P/S ratio 1.38 · EPS (TTM) 2.81 SAR · Dividend yield 6.5% · Net margin 17.6% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 80%, 9611 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear30.29 SARFair Value 41.35 SARBull54.57 SAR
Price 23.00 SAR · Upside +79.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.09 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.5%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.5%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.41% → 23%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.2% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 254 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+79.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)17.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)22.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)6.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arabian United Float Glass Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9611
Frequently asked questions
Is Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 41.35 SAR versus a price of 23.00 SAR, about +80% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9611?
Our model-based fair value for Arabian United Float Glass Company is 41.35 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 23.00 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9611?
Arabian United Float Glass Company has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 41.35 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 30.29 SAR, optimistic scenario 54.57 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arabian United Float Glass Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 41.35 SAR, about +80% upside versus a price of 23.00 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 30.29 SAR, optimistic scenario 54.57 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
Arabian United Float Glass Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 284M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Arabian United Float Glass Company pay a dividend?
Arabian United Float Glass Company currently shows a dividend yield of 6.52% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arabian United Float Glass Company would have to grow free cash flow by -3.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +1.8 % per year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9611 use?
Our models discount Arabian United Float Glass Company at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arabian United Float Glass Company that is -3.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Arabian United Float Glass Company grew +1.8 % a year. The price currently implies -3.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arabian United Float Glass Company (-3.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.52 %: that much free cash flow Arabian United Float Glass Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arabian United Float Glass Company it is 41.35 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 23.00 SAR. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arabian United Float Glass Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 9611 trades below its calculated fair value: price 23.00 SAR, fair value 41.35 SAR, a gap of about +80% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9611?
No. The price is what the market pays today (23.00 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (41.35 SAR). For Arabian United Float Glass Company the two are 18.35 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arabian United Float Glass Company worth?
The market values Arabian United Float Glass Company at about 391M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 23.00 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 41.35 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9611?
Our models span a range for Arabian United Float Glass Company: cautious scenario 30.29 SAR, base 41.35 SAR, optimistic 54.57 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 23.00 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9611?
Arabian United Float Glass Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.2 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 41.35 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 5.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arabian United Float Glass Company (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 10.7%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9611 from its 52-week high?
Arabian United Float Glass Company trades at 23.00 SAR, about 36% below its 52-week high of 35.75 SAR and at the low of 23.00 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 41.35 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arabian United Float Glass Company?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arabian United Float Glass Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 23.00 SAR, calculated fair value 41.35 SAR (+80%), Quality Score 68/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9611 calculated?
We run Arabian United Float Glass Company through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 41.35 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Arabian United Float Glass Company currently trades 44 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 23.00 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 41.35 SAR, about +80% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arabian United Float Glass Company right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (30.29 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (30.29 SAR to 54.57 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Arabian United Float Glass Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
The market capitalisation of Arabian United Float Glass Company is 391M SAR (≈ $104M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arabian United Float Glass Company is 1.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
Earnings per share at Arabian United Float Glass Company are 2.81 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
The dividend yield of Arabian United Float Glass Company is 6.5% (payout 53.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
The net margin of Arabian United Float Glass Company is 17.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arabian United Float Glass Company is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arabian United Float Glass Company is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
The operating margin of Arabian United Float Glass Company is 22.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
Revenue at Arabian United Float Glass Company is growing +6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611)?
Earnings per share at Arabian United Float Glass Company are growing −3.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Arabian United Float Glass Company (9611) carry?
The net debt of Arabian United Float Glass Company is 55.4M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 29, 2026