Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Tidehold Development Co Ltd TWD 20.41, price TWD 13.20, upside +54.6%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.83 TWD – 24.25 TWD · fair‑value band 12.52 TWD – 24.04 TWD · the 13.20 TWD price screens below the 20.41 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Tidehold Development Co., Ltd. engages in the international trading business primarily in Taiwan. The company is also involved in the development, leasing, and sale of residential and buildings; and general investment and leasing businesses.
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Tidehold Development Co., Ltd. engages in the international trading business primarily in Taiwan. The company is also involved in the development, leasing, and sale of residential and buildings; and general investment and leasing businesses. In addition, it offers electric and fuel-powered garbage truck services; and sells imported vehicles, environmental sanitation and cleaning vehicles, and construction materials. The company was formerly known as Tidehold co., ltd. and changed its name to Tidehold Development Co., Ltd. in 1998. Tidehold Development Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1940 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902) currently trades at 13.20 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.41 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 35.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 20.10 TWD per share, and 4 of the 9 models we run sit above the 13.20 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 4.54 TWD, and 5 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 12.52 TWD (bear) to 24.04 TWD (bull), the price of 13.20 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Tidehold Development Co Ltd reported revenue of 379M TWD in FY2025 versus 424M TWD in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −46.0M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.3B TWD (≈ $40.6M) · P/S ratio 3.97 · EPS (TTM) −0.4700 TWD · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin −12.2% · Return on equity −2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.7% · Operating margin 2.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 55%, 9902 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 12.52 TWDFair Value 20.41 TWDBull 24.04 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+56.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.8% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.7% (2020) → −1.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.9% a year for the price.
Compare Tidehold Development Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 547 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+55% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−64% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tidehold Development Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9902
Frequently asked questions
Is Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 20.41 TWD versus a price of 13.20 TWD, about +55% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9902?
Our model-based fair value for Tidehold Development Co Ltd is 20.41 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 13.20 TWD.
What is the quality score of 9902?
Tidehold Development Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 20.41 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12.52 TWD, optimistic scenario 24.04 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tidehold Development Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 20.41 TWD, about +55% upside versus a price of 13.20 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 12.52 TWD, optimistic scenario 24.04 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
Tidehold Development Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 338M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Tidehold Development Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Tidehold Development Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tidehold Development Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -8.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9902 use?
Our models discount Tidehold Development Co Ltd at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tidehold Development Co Ltd that is -8.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tidehold Development Co Ltd grew -2.6 % a year. The price currently implies -8.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tidehold Development Co Ltd (-8.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.00 %: that much free cash flow Tidehold Development Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tidehold Development Co Ltd it is 20.41 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 13.20 TWD. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tidehold Development Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 9902 trades below its calculated fair value: price 13.20 TWD, fair value 20.41 TWD, a gap of about +55% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9902?
No. The price is what the market pays today (13.20 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (20.41 TWD). For Tidehold Development Co Ltd the two are 7.21 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tidehold Development Co Ltd worth?
The market values Tidehold Development Co Ltd at about 1.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 13.20 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 20.41 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9902?
Our models span a range for Tidehold Development Co Ltd: cautious scenario 12.52 TWD, base 20.41 TWD, optimistic 24.04 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 13.20 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tidehold Development Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9902 from its 52-week high?
Tidehold Development Co Ltd trades at 13.20 TWD, about 26% below its 52-week high of 17.95 TWD and at the low of 13.15 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 20.41 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tidehold Development Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tidehold Development Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 13.20 TWD, calculated fair value 20.41 TWD (+55%), Quality Score 66/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9902 calculated?
We run Tidehold Development Co Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 20.41 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Tidehold Development Co Ltd currently trades 55 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 13.20 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 20.41 TWD, about +55% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tidehold Development Co Ltd right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (12.52 TWD to 24.04 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Tidehold Development Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
The market capitalisation of Tidehold Development Co Ltd is 1.3B TWD (≈ $40.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tidehold Development Co Ltd is 3.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
Earnings per share at Tidehold Development Co Ltd are −0.4700 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
The dividend yield of Tidehold Development Co Ltd is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
The net margin of Tidehold Development Co Ltd is −12.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tidehold Development Co Ltd is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tidehold Development Co Ltd is −0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
The operating margin of Tidehold Development Co Ltd is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
Revenue at Tidehold Development Co Ltd is growing −64.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902)?
Earnings per share at Tidehold Development Co Ltd are growing +143% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Tidehold Development Co Ltd (9902) hold?
Tidehold Development Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 231M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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