Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd TWD 8.38, price TWD 23.10, upside -63.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Super Dragon Technology Co., Ltd. engages in sales and OEM refinement of precious metals of gold, silver, and platinum in Taiwan.
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Super Dragon Technology Co., Ltd. engages in sales and OEM refinement of precious metals of gold, silver, and platinum in Taiwan. It provides mixed waste hardware services for copper powder, aluminum powder, iron and tin; solid and liquid hazardous industrial waste disposal and treatment services; complete destruction and treatment services for high-end packaging and highly confidential products; gold for industrial purposes; semiconductor industry tools and parts cleaning; circular ad recycling of eco-friendly products and recycled material applications; circular economic disposal and treatment complete solutions; solar power generation and energy storage services; and green internet data center leasing and management services. The company was formerly known as Super Dragon Engineering Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Super Dragon Technology Co., Ltd. in November 1999. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955) currently trades at 23.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.38 TWD, 63.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 9.14 TWD per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 23.10 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 4.47 TWD, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 6.85 TWD (bear) to 9.07 TWD (bull), the price of 23.10 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 56.1M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B TWD (≈ $75.0M) · P/E ratio 42.8 · P/S ratio 1.59 · EPS (TTM) 0.5400 TWD · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.8% · Operating margin 5.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −64%, 9955 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 6.85 TWDFair Value 8.38 TWDBull 9.07 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4054 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.2% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+40.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+40.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.40.5% vs 4.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → −1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.4%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Pollution & Treatment Controls · 88 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9955
Frequently asked questions
Is Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.38 TWD versus a price of 23.10 TWD, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9955?
Our model-based fair value for Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd is 8.38 TWD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 23.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 9955?
Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.38 TWD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.85 TWD, optimistic scenario 9.07 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.38 TWD, about −64% upside versus a price of 23.10 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.85 TWD, optimistic scenario 9.07 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd it is 8.38 TWD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 23.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 9955 trades above its calculated fair value: price 23.10 TWD, fair value 8.38 TWD, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9955?
No. The price is what the market pays today (23.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.38 TWD). For Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd the two are 14.72 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd at about 2.4B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 23.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 8.38 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9955?
Our models span a range for Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario 6.85 TWD, base 8.38 TWD, optimistic 9.07 TWD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 23.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9955?
Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 42.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 8.38 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 46.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
Balance-sheet figures for Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.1%, debt of 1.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9955 from its 52-week high?
Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd trades at 23.10 TWD, about 43% below its 52-week high of 40.55 TWD and 3% above the low of 22.45 TWD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.38 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Veralto Corporation, Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation, CECO Environmental Corp, Fujian Longking Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 23.10 TWD, calculated fair value 8.38 TWD (−64%), Quality Score 52/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9955 calculated?
We run Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 8.38 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 23.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 8.38 TWD, about −64% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (9.07 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
The market capitalisation of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd is 2.4B TWD (≈ $75.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd is 1.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
Earnings per share at Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd are 0.5400 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
The net margin of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd is −2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
The operating margin of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
Revenue at Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd is growing +62.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955)?
Earnings per share at Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd are growing +171% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955) generate?
The free cash flow of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd is −172M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd (9955) carry?
The net debt of Super Dragon Technology Co Ltd is 1.4B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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