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Linklogis Inc (9959) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$3.5B

LI Linklogis Inc 9959 · HK
PriceHK$2.31
Fair ValueHK$3.50
Upside+51.5%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -44.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.24% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$3.21 – HK$3.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +27.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 52% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.21). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$20.37 HK$0.9812 Fair Value HK$3.50 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.9812 – HK$20.37 · fair‑value band HK$3.21 – HK$3.79 · the HK$2.31 price screens below the HK$3.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Linklogis Inc (9959) currently trades at HK$2.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.50, implying the stock looks roughly 51.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Linklogis Inc generated revenue of HK$983M at a net margin of -44.7%. Revenue declined 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$4.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$3.21 (bear case) to HK$3.79 (bull case); at HK$2.31, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 52%, 9959 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$3.24 HK$3.45 HK$3.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.17 HK$3.43 HK$3.74 74
Gordon GGM HK$0.2900 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4700 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$3.22 HK$3.43 HK$3.79 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.17 HK$3.42 HK$3.77 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.17 HK$3.39 HK$3.64 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.2900 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4700 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.2900 HK$0.4000 HK$0.5100 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$3.18 HK$3.43 HK$3.68 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.99 HK$2.67 HK$3.98 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$3.24 HK$3.45 HK$3.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.17 HK$3.43 HK$3.74 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$3.43) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.3800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$983M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.6%
Net margin -44.7%
Return on equity -6.0%
Free cash flow HK$111M FY2025
Operating margin -5.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1900
Dividend yield 3.2%
Net cash HK$4.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 14
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Linklogis Inc., an investment holding company, provides supply chain finance technology and data-driven emerging solutions in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

Full company description

Linklogis Inc., an investment holding company, provides supply chain finance technology and data-driven emerging solutions in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates in four segments: Supply Chain Finance Technology Solutions - Anchor Cloud; Supply Chain Finance Technology Solutions - FI Cloud; Emerging Solutions - Cross-border Cloud; and Emerging Solutions - SME Credit Tech Solutions. The Anchor Cloud segment includes AMS Cloud, Linklogis supply chain multi-tier transfer cloud, and supply chain asset securitization solutions. Its FI Cloud segment offers solutions that digitalize, automate, and streamline financial institutions supply chain financing services, including eChain Cloud and ABS Cloud. The Cross-border Cloud segment provides solutions that help corporates and financial institutions engaging in cross-border trade activities. Its SME Credit Tech Solutions segment, comprises data-driven risk analytics solutions, including AI solutions for supply chain finance; BeeTrust blockchain cloud-based platform; and a full stack cloud native solution for supply chain finance. In addition, the company provides investment and assets management services. Linklogis Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Linklogis Inc reported revenue of HK$983M in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$439M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 26/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$983M
Latest YoY
−4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.4%
Revenue −4.8%/yr
FY21 HK$1.2B
FY22 HK$924M
FY23 HK$868M
FY24 HK$1.0B
FY25 HK$983M
Net income
FY21 −HK$13.0B
FY22 −HK$13.5M
FY23 −HK$441M
FY24 −HK$835M
FY25 −HK$439M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Linklogis Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9959

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +52% · Top 25%
Return on assets -3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -45% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Below median
Revenue growth -2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 48
PAST 0 · sector 14
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 65 · sector 29

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $506.06 $365.74 -28%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$7.22 C$2.34 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.84 $61.46 -62%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €358.00 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$111.01 A$70.69 -36%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥67.70 ¥30.89 -54%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,679 ₹6,897 -41%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.58 ¥1.05 -89%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,610 ₹241.68 -85%
PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk GOTO 50.00 IDR 20.41 IDR -59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Linklogis Inc (9959) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.50 versus a price of HK$2.31, about +52% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9959?
Our model-based fair value for Linklogis Inc is HK$3.50 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.31.
What is the quality score of 9959?
Linklogis Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
Linklogis Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$983M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9959?
The net profit margin of Linklogis Inc is about -44.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Linklogis Inc pay a dividend?
Linklogis Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.24% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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