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Linklogis Inc (9959) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Linklogis Inc HK$3.77, price HK$2.30, upside +64.3%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · HK · ISIN KYG5571R1011

LI Linklogis Inc logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Linklogis Inc

9959 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$3.77 · Strongly undervalued (+64.3%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -44.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.6% dividend yield · Cash covered
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$16.46 HK$0.9812 Fair Value HK$3.77 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.9812 – HK$16.46 · fair‑value band HK$3.59 – HK$3.98 · the HK$2.30 price screens below the HK$3.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Linklogis Inc., an investment holding company, provides supply chain finance technology and data-driven emerging solutions in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

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Linklogis Inc., an investment holding company, provides supply chain finance technology and data-driven emerging solutions in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates in four segments: Supply Chain Finance Technology Solutions - Anchor Cloud; Supply Chain Finance Technology Solutions - FI Cloud; Emerging Solutions - Cross-border Cloud; and Emerging Solutions - SME Credit Tech Solutions. The Anchor Cloud segment includes AMS Cloud, Linklogis supply chain multi-tier transfer cloud, and supply chain asset securitization solutions. Its FI Cloud segment offers solutions that digitalize, automate, and streamline financial institutions supply chain financing services, including eChain Cloud and ABS Cloud. The Cross-border Cloud segment provides solutions that help corporates and financial institutions engaging in cross-border trade activities. Its SME Credit Tech Solutions segment, comprises data-driven risk analytics solutions, including AI solutions for supply chain finance; BeeTrust blockchain cloud-based platform; and a full stack cloud native solution for supply chain finance. In addition, the company provides investment and assets management services. Linklogis Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Linklogis Inc (9959) currently trades at HK$2.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.77, implying the stock looks roughly 39.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$4.01 per share, and 7 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$2.30 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.3800, and 2 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$3.59 (bear) to HK$3.98 (bull), the price of HK$2.30 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Linklogis Inc reported revenue of 983M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −439M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$4.5B (≈ $570M) · P/S ratio 3.58 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1900 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin −44.7% · Return on equity −6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.4% · Operating margin −5.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 64%, 9959 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$3.59 Fair Value HK$3.77 Bull HK$3.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$3.69 HK$3.88 HK$4.17 82
Growth DCF HK$3.71 HK$3.88 HK$4.14 80
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.68 HK$3.95 HK$4.33 74
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$3.69 HK$3.88 HK$4.17 82
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.68 HK$3.95 HK$4.33 74
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.66 HK$3.89 HK$4.15 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3000 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4500 69
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3000 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$3.72 HK$4.01 HK$4.30 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.33 HK$3.12 HK$4.65 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$3.71 HK$3.88 HK$4.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.68 HK$3.97 HK$4.31 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
31.1% (2020) → −35.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 365 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +64.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −44.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −5.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.58× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 5.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 53
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)52 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Block, Inc XYZ $76.42 $76.95 +1%
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Okta, Inc OKTA $202.18 $142.12 −30%

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Linklogis Inc · Fair Value
HK$3.77 +39%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Linklogis Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9959

Frequently asked questions

Is Linklogis Inc (9959) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.77 versus a price of HK$2.30, about +64% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9959?
Our model-based fair value for Linklogis Inc is HK$3.77 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.30.
What is the quality score of 9959?
Linklogis Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Linklogis Inc (9959)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$3.77 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$3.59, optimistic scenario HK$3.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Linklogis Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$3.77, about +64% upside versus a price of HK$2.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$3.59, optimistic scenario HK$3.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
Linklogis Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 983M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Linklogis Inc pay a dividend?
Linklogis Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.61% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Linklogis Inc (9959)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Linklogis Inc would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.9 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9959 use?
Our models discount Linklogis Inc at 13.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.56, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Linklogis Inc that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Linklogis Inc (9959) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Linklogis Inc grew -0.9 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Linklogis Inc (9959) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Linklogis Inc (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.89 %: that much free cash flow Linklogis Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Linklogis Inc it is HK$3.77 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$2.30. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Linklogis Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 9959 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$2.30, fair value HK$3.77, a gap of about +64% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9959?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$3.77). For Linklogis Inc the two are HK$1.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Linklogis Inc worth?
The market values Linklogis Inc at about HK$4.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.30; our models calculate a fair value of HK$3.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9959?
Our models span a range for Linklogis Inc: cautious scenario HK$3.59, base HK$3.77, optimistic HK$3.98 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$2.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
Balance-sheet figures for Linklogis Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −6.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9959 from its 52-week high?
Linklogis Inc trades at HK$2.30, about 34% below its 52-week high of HK$3.46 and 37% above the low of HK$1.68 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$3.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Linklogis Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Linklogis Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$2.30, calculated fair value HK$3.77 (+64%), Quality Score 59/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9959 calculated?
We run Linklogis Inc through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$3.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Linklogis Inc currently trades 39 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$2.30. Our model-based fair value is HK$3.77, about +64% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Linklogis Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band (HK$3.59 to HK$3.98), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Linklogis Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
The market capitalisation of Linklogis Inc is HK$4.5B (≈ $570M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Linklogis Inc is 3.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
Earnings per share at Linklogis Inc are HK$−0.1900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
The dividend yield of Linklogis Inc is 2.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
The net margin of Linklogis Inc is −44.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Linklogis Inc is −6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Linklogis Inc is −2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Linklogis Inc (9959)?
The operating margin of Linklogis Inc is −5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Linklogis Inc (9959)?
Revenue at Linklogis Inc is growing −1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Linklogis Inc (9959) hold?
Linklogis Inc holds more cash than debt, 4.4B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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