Pop Mart International Group (9992) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$203B
Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −3.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$139.33 – HK$329.56 · fair‑value band HK$127.88 – HK$476.54 · the HK$168.10 price screens below the HK$237.11 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.
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Pop Mart International Group (9992) currently trades at HK$168.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$237.11, implying the stock looks roughly 41.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Pop Mart International Group generated revenue of HK$37.1B at a net margin of 34.4%. Revenue grew 174.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 77.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$10.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$127.88 (bear case) to HK$476.54 (bull case); at HK$168.10, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 41%, 9992 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Pop Mart International Group Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, and sells pop toys in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers blind boxes. It sells its products through a network of retail stores and roboshops; online channels, including Tmall flagship store, DouYin, Pop Draw, and other online channels; and wholesale channels and others. The company also provides internet technology, customer, and technology development services; and operates playgrounds, as well as engages in investment and exhibition activities. Pop Mart International Group Limited was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Pop Mart International Group reported revenue of HK$36.2B in FY2025 versus HK$4.5B in FY2021, a compound +68.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$12.4B in FY2025, compounding +95.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- LABUBU Takes Over NYC, POP MART Celebrates THE MONSTERS With 10th Anniversary Exhibition
- British folding bike maker Brompton sells stake to Decathlon
- HIRONO: Four Stores Across Shanghai, Bangkok, London, and Seoul
- Pop Mart Defends Overseas Growth After $28 Billion Market Value Wipeout
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $33.76 | $19.60 | -42% |
| BANDAI NAMCO Holdings NCBDY | $11.23 | $15.86 | +41% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $84.39 | $83.11 | -2% |
| Games Workshop Group GWKSY | $29.20 | $15.62 | -47% |
| Shimano Inc SMNNY | $10.52 | $7.74 | -26% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $33.40 | $16.15 | -52% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$17.78 | HK$24.20 | +36% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $108.06 | $36.97 | -66% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.