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Hasbro, Inc (HAS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $11.5B

HI Hasbro, Inc logo Hasbro, Inc HAS · US
Price$91.69
Fair Value$83.38
Upside-9.1%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -4.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.41% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $53.60 – $111.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $83.11 to $83.38 (+0.3%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +19.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($53.60 to $111.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$104.36 $38.76 Fair Value $83.38 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $38.76 – $104.36 · fair‑value band $53.60 – $111.77 · the $91.69 price screens above the $83.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Hasbro, Inc (HAS) currently trades at $91.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $83.38, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hasbro, Inc generated revenue of $4.8B at a net margin of -4.6%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -23.3%. Net debt stands at $2.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $53.60 (bear case) to $111.77 (bull case); at $91.69, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -9%, HAS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $48.74 $71.58 $104.46 80
Rev-Margin DCF $42.49 $70.10 $100.33 74
ROIC Compounder $44.02 $55.51 $66.89 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $46.63 $70.57 $106.75 38
5Y Revenue Exit $42.49 $69.20 $103.18 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $54.75 $90.50 $131.73 41
10Y Revenue Exit $41.90 $65.75 $93.96 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $51.12 $79.98 $113.99 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $42.59 $52.03 $60.30 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $25.47 $36.37 $47.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage $25.47 $35.80 $47.79 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $86.87 $120.52 $154.17 53
EV/EBITDA $70.64 $98.87 $127.11 54
EV/Revenue $44.07 $68.99 $93.91 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.90 $2.55 $3.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $48.74 $71.58 $104.46 80
Rev-Margin DCF $42.49 $70.10 $100.33 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $44.02 $55.51 $66.89 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($98.87) versus Asset-Based ($2.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.7%
Net margin -4.6%
Return on equity -23.3%
Free cash flow $830M FY2025
Operating margin 27.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.61
Dividend yield 3.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +98.6%
Net debt $2.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hasbro, Inc. operates as a toy and game company in the United States, Europe, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, Australia, China, and Hong Kong.

Full company description

Hasbro, Inc. operates as a toy and game company in the United States, Europe, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, Australia, China, and Hong Kong. The company offers trading cards and collectibles, action figures, arts and crafts and creative play products, dolls, play sets, preschool toys, plush products, vehicles and toy-related specialty products, sports action products and accessories, and other consumer products; and licensed products, such as apparel, publishing products, home goods and electronics, and toy products. It also engages in the sourcing, marketing, and sale of toy and game products; and promotes its brands through the out-licensing of trademarks, characters, and other brand and intellectual property rights to third parties through the sale of branded consumer products, such as toys and apparel. In addition, the company is involved in the promotion of its brands through the development of trading cards, role-playing, and digital game experiences based on Hasbro and Wizards of the Coast games; and license certain brands to other third-party digital game developers who transform Hasbro brand-based characters and other intellectual properties, into digital gaming experiences. Further, it develops and produces of Hasbro-branded entertainment content, including film, television, children's programming, digital content, and live entertainment. The company sells its products to retailers, distributors, wholesalers, discount stores, specialty hobby stores, drug stores, mail order houses, catalog stores, department stores, and other traditional retailers, as well as ecommerce retailers under the MAGIC: THE GATHERING, MONOPOLY, HASBRO GAMES, PLAY-DOH, TRANSFORMERS, DUNGEONS & DRAGONS, NERF, and PEPPA PIG, as well as LUCASFILMS' STAR WARS, BEYBLADE, Final Fantasy, The Lord of the Rings, Fallout, SPIDER-MAN, and THE AVENGERS brands. Hasbro, Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Pawtucket, Rhode Island.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hasbro, Inc reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2025 versus $6.4B in FY2021, a compound −7.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$322M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.7B
Latest YoY
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+3.4%
Revenue −7.5%/yr
FY21 $6.4B
FY22 $5.9B
FY23 $5.0B
FY24 $4.1B
FY25 $4.7B
Net income
FY21 $429M
FY22 $204M
FY23 −$1.5B
FY24 $386M
FY25 −$322M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hasbro, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HAS

Peer Group

Leisure · 194 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 5.14× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 21.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.76× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 21 · sector 14
FUTURE 64 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 68 · sector 51

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hasbro, Inc (HAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $83.38 versus a price of $91.69, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HAS?
Our model-based fair value for Hasbro, Inc is $83.38 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $91.69.
What is the quality score of HAS?
Hasbro, Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hasbro, Inc (HAS)?
Hasbro, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HAS?
The net profit margin of Hasbro, Inc is about -4.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hasbro, Inc pay a dividend?
Hasbro, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.29% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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