Shimano Inc (SMNNY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $9.0B
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +3.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $9.28 – $14.36 · fair‑value band $6.46 – $9.01 · the $10.52 price screens above the $7.74 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Shimano Inc (SMNNY) currently trades at $10.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.74 — implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shimano Inc generated revenue of $470B at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $474B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.46 (bear case) to $9.01 (bull case); at $10.52, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside — at -26%, SMNNY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Shimano Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and distributes bicycle components, fishing tackle, and rowing equipment in Japan, North America, Europe, the rest of Asia, and internationally. It offers gear shifters, brakes, and other bicycle parts; reels, rods, and fishing gear; and rowing-related products. The company was formerly known as Shimano Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shimano Inc. in 1991. Shimano Inc. was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Sakai, Japan.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shimano Inc reported revenue of $489B in FY2025 versus $547B in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was $35.6B in FY2025, compounding −25.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Life Time UNBOUND Gravel Marks 20 Years of Endurance, Community and Global Impact
- [Latest] Global Cycling Power Meter Market Size/Share Worth USD 683 Million by 2034 at a 5.1% CAGR: Custom Market Insights (Analysis, Outloo
- Shimano (TSE:7309) Valuation: Does the Recent Sentiment Shift Signal an Opportunity?
- SMNNY Stock Earnings: Shimano Reported Results for Q2 2024
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.