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Shimano Inc (SMNNY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $9.0B

SI Shimano Inc logo Shimano Inc SMNNY · US
Price$10.52
Fair Value$7.74
Upside-26.4%
Quality55/100
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Evidence: High Range $6.46 – $9.01

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +3.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$14.36 $9.28 Fair Value $7.74 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $9.28 – $14.36 · fair‑value band $6.46 – $9.01 · the $10.52 price screens above the $7.74 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Shimano Inc (SMNNY) currently trades at $10.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.74 — implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shimano Inc generated revenue of $470B at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $474B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.46 (bear case) to $9.01 (bull case); at $10.52, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside — at -26%, SMNNY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $470B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net margin 7.9%
Return on equity 4.4%
Free cash flow $29.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 43.8
More key figures
Operating margin 8.8%
EPS (TTM) $0.2400
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +34.7%
Net cash $474B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Shimano Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and distributes bicycle components, fishing tackle, and rowing equipment in Japan, North America, Europe, the rest of Asia, and internationally. It offers gear shifters, brakes, and other bicycle parts; reels, rods, and fishing gear; and rowing-related products. The company was formerly known as Shimano Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shimano Inc. in 1991. Shimano Inc. was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Sakai, Japan.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shimano Inc reported revenue of $489B in FY2025 versus $547B in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was $35.6B in FY2025, compounding −25.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −2.7%/yr
FY21 $547B
FY22 $629B
FY23 $474B
FY24 $451B
FY25 $489B
Net income −25.5%/yr
FY21 $116B
FY22 $128B
FY23 $61.1B
FY24 $76.3B
FY25 $35.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shimano Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMNNY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shimano Inc (SMNNY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.74 versus a price of $10.52 — about −26% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SMNNY?
Our model-based fair value for Shimano Inc is $7.74 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.52.
What is the quality score of SMNNY?
Shimano Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Shimano Inc (SMNNY)?
Shimano Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $470B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SMNNY?
The net profit margin of Shimano Inc is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shimano Inc pay a dividend?
Shimano Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.