Life Time Group (LTH) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $9.4B
Life Time Group
LTH · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +5.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($25.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range $9.22 – $45.70 · fair‑value band $16.15 – $25.97 · the $43.81 price screens above the $16.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Life Time Group (LTH) currently trades at $43.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.15, implying the stock looks roughly 63.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Life Time Group generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.0%. Net debt stands at $6.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $16.15 (bear case) to $25.97 (bull case); at $43.81, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at -63%, LTH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($41.99) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Life Time Group Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides health, fitness, and wellness experiences to a community of individual members in the United States and Canada.
Full company description
Life Time Group Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides health, fitness, and wellness experiences to a community of individual members in the United States and Canada. The company offers fitness floors with equipment, locker rooms, group fitness studios, cycle, yoga, pilates studios, bar and lounge, free weight and resistance equipment, cardiovascular equipment, steam room and sauna, cold plunges, racquetball and squash spaces, recovery spaces, indoor and outdoor pools and bistros, indoor and outdoor tennis and pickleball courts, basketball, volleyball courts, LifeSpa, LifeCafe, and childcare and kids academy learning spaces. It also provides dynamic personal training, dynamic stretch, small group training, weight loss coaching, nutrition coaching, medi-spa, physical therapy and chiropractic, assessments and lab testing, sport specific coaching, endurance coaching, swim lessons and team coaching, towel and locker service, experience life, and ARORA and MIORA community services. In addition, the company engages in athletic leagues and tournaments, athletic events, LT Games, social events, outdoor group runs, outdoor group cycle rides, and charity events; organizing kids' birthday parties, parents night out, summer and vacation camps for kids, sports training camps, swim meets, charity events; and providing nutritional supplements and apparels, as well as designing, building, and operating of sports and athletic, professional fitness, family recreation, and spa centers in a resort-like environment in suburban and urban locations of metropolitan areas. Further, its digital platform provides live streaming fitness classes, remote goal-based personal training, nutrition and weight loss support, curated award-winning health, and fitness and wellness content. The company was formerly known as LTF Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. in June 21, 2021. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Chanhassen, Minnesota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Life Time Group reported revenue of $3.0B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +22.8%/yr. Reported net income was $374M in FY2025.
LTH screens 63% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Life Time Health, Core To The K-Shaped Economy, Is Near A Buy Point
- Earnings Estimates Rising for Life Time Group Holdings (LTH): Will It Gain?
- Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH) is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?
Peer Group
Leisure · 192 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
| Smartfit Escola de Ginástica e Dança S.A SMFT3 | R$20.97 | R$22.90 | +9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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