Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $40.1B
Public Service Enterprise Group
PEG · US
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $40.23 to $40.26 (+0.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($40.26 to $75.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $47.11 – $89.43 · fair‑value band $40.26 – $75.47 · the $75.04 price screens above the $40.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) currently trades at $75.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.26, implying the stock looks roughly 46.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Public Service Enterprise Group generated revenue of $12.8B at a net margin of 17.7%. Revenue grew 19.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. Net debt stands at $24.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $40.26 (bear case) to $75.47 (bull case); at $75.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -46%, PEG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($64.22) versus Growth DCF ($1.80). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, operates in electric and gas utility, and nuclear generation businesses in the United States. It operates through PSE&G and PSEG Power segments.
Full company description
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, operates in electric and gas utility, and nuclear generation businesses in the United States. It operates through PSE&G and PSEG Power segments. The PSE&G segment transmits electricity; distributes electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers; and appliance services and repairs to customers through its service territory, as well as invests in solar generation projects, and energy efficiency and related programs. The PSEG Power segment engages in nuclear generation businesses; and supplies power and natural gas to nuclear power plants. As of December 31, 2025, it had electric transmission and distribution system of 25,000 circuit miles and 871,000 poles; 58 switching stations with an installed capacity of 40,000 megavolt-amperes (MVA), and 238 substations with an installed capacity of 10,890 MVA; four electric distribution headquarters and five electric sub-headquarters; 18,000 miles of gas mains, 12 gas distribution headquarters, two sub-headquarters, and two meter shop, as well as 54 natural gas metering and regulating stations; and 158 MegaWatts defined conditions of installed PV solar capacity. The company was founded in 1903 and is based in Newark, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Public Service Enterprise Group reported revenue of $12.2B in FY2025 versus $9.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.1B in FY2025.
PEG screens 46% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- PSEG (PEG) Stock Looks Reasonable On Dividends But Richer On Earnings
- Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) Could Be 15% Undervalued Following ESOP Share Filing
- Public Service Enterprise Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (PEG) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Reaffirms ...
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $88.80 | $32.94 | -63% |
| The Southern Company SO | $95.61 | $61.06 | -36% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $126.11 | $97.11 | -23% |
| National Grid plc NGG | 61,175 ARS | 44,377 ARS | -27% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $132.50 | $79.33 | -40% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $70.08 | $46.92 | -33% |
| NTPC Limited NTPC | ₹341.85 | ₹377.16 | +10% |
| CEZ, a. s. CEZ | 232.40 PLN | 159.33 PLN | -31% |
| Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID | ₹283.55 | ₹252.77 | -11% |
| China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 | ¥8.91 | ¥7.69 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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