Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Aavas Financiers Limited ₹614, price ₹1,268, upside -51.6%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Aavas Financiers Limited for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1,074 – ₹3,196 · fair‑value band ₹561.65 – ₹1,078 · the ₹1,268 price screens above the ₹613.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Aavas Financiers in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Aavas Financiers is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Aavas Financiers Limited provides housing finance services to low- and middle-income customers in semi-urban and rural areas in India.
Show more
Aavas Financiers Limited provides housing finance services to low- and middle-income customers in semi-urban and rural areas in India. The company offers home loans for flats, houses, and bungalows; home construction loans for self-construction of residential houses; resale property purchase loans, and home improvement loans, including loans for tiling or flooring, plaster or painting, etc. It also provides loans against property; micro, small, and medium enterprise loans; and home loan balance transfer, as well as cash salaried plus loans and small ticket size loans. The company was formerly known as AU Housing Finance Limited and changed its name to Aavas Financiers Limited in May 2017. Aavas Financiers Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Jaipur, India.
Stock analysis
Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS) currently trades at ₹1,268, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹613.70, implying the stock looks roughly 106.6% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹2,293 per share, and 2 of the 10 models we run sit above the ₹1,268 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹301.60, and 8 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹561.65 (bear) to ₹1,078 (bull), the price of ₹1,268 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Aavas Financiers Limited reported revenue of ₹26.8B in FY2026 versus ₹11.1B in FY2022, a compound +24.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.5B in FY2026, compounding +16.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹118B (≈ $1.2B) · P/E ratio 15.4 · P/S ratio 3.77 · EPS (TTM) ₹82.09 · Net margin 24.4% · Return on equity 13.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% · Operating margin 53.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at −52%, AAVAS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹561.65Fair Value ₹613.70Bull ₹1,078
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹40.48 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+35.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +30.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.4%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+17.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17.8% vs 33.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 33%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.6% a year for the price and −0.5% for the forecasts.
Compare Aavas Financiers Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Mortgage Finance · 92 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−51.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.9% · Above median
Return on assets3.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)42.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)53.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth19.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.09× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)15.4× · Pricier than median
P/B2.34× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)7.61× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA29.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)96· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)56· sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 25
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹613.70 versus a price of ₹1,268, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AAVAS?
Our model-based fair value for Aavas Financiers Limited is ₹613.70 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,268.
What is the quality score of AAVAS?
Aavas Financiers Limited has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹613.70 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹561.65, optimistic scenario ₹1,078. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aavas Financiers Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹613.70, about −52% upside versus a price of ₹1,268 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹561.65, optimistic scenario ₹1,078. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
Aavas Financiers Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹15.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aavas Financiers Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +26.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +23.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AAVAS use?
Our models discount Aavas Financiers Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.54, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aavas Financiers Limited that is +26.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aavas Financiers Limited grew +23.5 % a year. The price currently implies +26.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aavas Financiers Limited (+26.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.56 %: that much free cash flow Aavas Financiers Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aavas Financiers Limited it is ₹613.70 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹1,268. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aavas Financiers Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AAVAS trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,268, fair value ₹613.70, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AAVAS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,268); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹613.70). For Aavas Financiers Limited the two are ₹654.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aavas Financiers Limited worth?
The market values Aavas Financiers Limited at about ₹118B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,268; our models calculate a fair value of ₹613.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AAVAS?
Our models span a range for Aavas Financiers Limited: cautious scenario ₹561.65, base ₹613.70, optimistic ₹1,078 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹1,268). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AAVAS?
Aavas Financiers Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.4 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹613.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 7.6, EV/EBITDA 29.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aavas Financiers Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 13.9%, debt of 3.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AAVAS from its 52-week high?
Aavas Financiers Limited trades at ₹1,268, about 27% below its 52-week high of ₹1,736 and 18% above the low of ₹1,074 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹613.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aavas Financiers Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, Rocket Companies, Inc, Federal National Mortgage Association, Bajaj Housing Finance Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aavas Financiers Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹1,268, calculated fair value ₹613.70 (−52%), Quality Score 62/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AAVAS calculated?
We run Aavas Financiers Limited through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹613.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Aavas Financiers Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹1,268. Our model-based fair value is ₹613.70, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aavas Financiers Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,078). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹561.65 to ₹1,078) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS) come from?
Earnings per share at Aavas Financiers Limited grew +34.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +28.8 %, EBIT margin −1.1 %, tax rate +2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Aavas Financiers Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
The market capitalisation of Aavas Financiers Limited is ₹118B (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aavas Financiers Limited is 3.77 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
Earnings per share at Aavas Financiers Limited are ₹82.09 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
The net margin of Aavas Financiers Limited is 24.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aavas Financiers Limited is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aavas Financiers Limited is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
The operating margin of Aavas Financiers Limited is 53.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
Revenue at Aavas Financiers Limited is growing +19.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS)?
Earnings per share at Aavas Financiers Limited are growing +18.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aavas Financiers Limited (AAVAS) carry?
The net debt of Aavas Financiers Limited is ₹138B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 18.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Aavas Financiers Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Aavas Financiers Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
