ABAS Protect AB (ABAS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of ABAS Protect AB SEK 3.27, price SEK 8.80, upside -62.8%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
ABAS Protect AB manufactures and sells gates and fence products in Sweden. It also offers sliding, folding, swing, personal, mobile sliding and folding gates; turnstiles; pickets; and fences and gates for preschool. The company was founded in 1925 and is based in Tranemo, Sweden.
Stock analysis
ABAS Protect AB (ABAS) currently trades at kr 8.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 3.27, 62.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: kr 2.44 (bear) to kr 4.88 (bull), the price of kr 8.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
ABAS Protect AB reported revenue of 88.4M SEK in FY2025 versus 67.3M SEK in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −3.4M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 62.9M SEK (≈ $6.3M) · P/S ratio 0.68 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.2400 · Net margin −3.8% · Return on equity −4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% · Operating margin 8.7% · Revenue (TTM) 91.9M SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −63%, ABAS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 2.44Fair Value kr 3.27Bull kr 4.88
Price kr 8.80 · Upside -62.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.8% (2019) → −2.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−62.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−1.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)8.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth24.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.70× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.17× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.07× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA13.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)65· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ABAS Protect AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABAS
Frequently asked questions
Is ABAS Protect AB (ABAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 3.27 versus a price of kr 8.80, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABAS?
Our model-based fair value for ABAS Protect AB is kr 3.27 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 8.80.
What is the quality score of ABAS?
ABAS Protect AB has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 3.27 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 2.44, optimistic scenario kr 4.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ABAS Protect AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 3.27, about −63% upside versus a price of kr 8.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 2.44, optimistic scenario kr 4.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
ABAS Protect AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 91.9M SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ABAS Protect AB it is kr 3.27 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of kr 8.80. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ABAS Protect AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, ABAS trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 8.80, fair value kr 3.27, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABAS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 8.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 3.27). For ABAS Protect AB the two are kr 5.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ABAS Protect AB worth?
The market values ABAS Protect AB at about 62.9M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is kr 8.80; our models calculate a fair value of kr 3.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABAS?
Our models span a range for ABAS Protect AB: cautious scenario kr 2.44, base kr 3.27, optimistic kr 4.88 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price kr 8.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
Balance-sheet figures for ABAS Protect AB (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −4.2%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABAS from its 52-week high?
ABAS Protect AB trades at kr 8.80, about 15% below its 52-week high of kr 10.30 and 40% above the low of kr 6.30 (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 3.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ABAS Protect AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ABAS Protect AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price kr 8.80, calculated fair value kr 3.27 (−63%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABAS calculated?
We run ABAS Protect AB through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 3.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.6 % above its aggregate fair value. ABAS Protect AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was kr 8.80. Our model-based fair value is kr 3.27, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ABAS Protect AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 4.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (kr 2.44 to kr 4.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of ABAS Protect AB
How large is the market capitalisation of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
The market capitalisation of ABAS Protect AB is 62.9M SEK (≈ $6.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ABAS Protect AB is 0.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
Earnings per share at ABAS Protect AB are kr −0.2400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
The net margin of ABAS Protect AB is −3.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ABAS Protect AB is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ABAS Protect AB is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
The operating margin of ABAS Protect AB is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
Revenue at ABAS Protect AB is growing +24.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ABAS Protect AB (ABAS)?
Earnings per share at ABAS Protect AB are growing −64.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ABAS Protect AB (ABAS) generate?
The free cash flow of ABAS Protect AB is −3.7M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ABAS Protect AB (ABAS) carry?
The net debt of ABAS Protect AB is 28.9M SEK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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