ABAS Protect AB (ABAS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 51.2M SEK
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price +23.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 29% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 7.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range kr 6.30 – kr 13.00 · fair‑value band kr 6.05 – kr 7.90 · the kr 8.95 price screens above the kr 6.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
ABAS Protect AB (ABAS) currently trades at kr 8.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 6.94, implying the stock looks roughly 22.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, ABAS Protect AB generated revenue of 87.4M SEK at a net margin of -4.1%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.1%. Net debt stands at 28.9M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 6.05 (bear case) to kr 7.90 (bull case); at kr 8.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -22%, ABAS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (kr 6.13) versus Asset-Based (kr 3.57). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
ABAS Protect AB manufactures and sells gates and fence products in Sweden. It also offers sliding, folding, swing, personal, mobile sliding and folding gates; turnstiles; pickets; and fences and gates for preschool. The company was founded in 1925 and is based in Tranemo, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ABAS Protect AB reported revenue of kr 88.4M in FY2025 versus kr 67.3M in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 3.4M in FY2025.
ABAS screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 249 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $480.20 | $208.50 | -57% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $152.79 | $44.75 | -71% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $59.97 | $16.85 | -72% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €81.20 | €97.97 | +21% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 546.40 | CHF 307.66 | -44% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $420.91 | $363.09 | -14% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €66.79 | -23% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $74.64 | $53.22 | -29% |
| Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL | $382.61 | $340.70 | -11% |
| BELIMO Holding BEAN | CHF 855.50 | CHF 227.18 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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