Kingspan Group plc (KRX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Kingspan Group plc €68.89, price €96.25, upside -28.4%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €42.97 – €105.30 · fair‑value band €33.32 – €96.23 · the €96.25 price screens above the €68.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kingspan Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides insulation and building envelope solutions in Western and Southern Europe, Central and Northern Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Insulated Building Envelopes, and Advnsys.
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Kingspan Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides insulation and building envelope solutions in Western and Southern Europe, Central and Northern Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Insulated Building Envelopes, and Advnsys. The Insulated Building Envelopes segment provides advanced energy-saving solutions for roofs, walls, and floors, delivering building solutions for energy efficiency in both new build and renovation applications across all building types. The Advnsys segment designs and manufactures bespoke critical infrastructure solutions, primarily focused on data centres, ventilation, and daylighting, offering high-performance systems that deliver energy efficient lighting, airflow, cooling, and ventilation for both new build and renovation projects in data centres and commercial buildings. The company offers a comprehensive suite of products, including insulated panels, insulation boards, roofing and waterproofing solutions, structural steel products and system, facades, ceiling systems, raised access floors, daylighting solutions, and water management technologies. It also provides solutions such as PowerPanel integrated solar roofing, QuadCore LEC insulated panels, Kooltherm insulation boards, and a range of lower embodied carbon and bio-based materials. Additionally, the company is involved in developing circular economy solutions, including product takeback and recycling schemes, and offers digital infrastructure, smoke management, and ventilation systems. Kingspan Group plc was founded in 1965 and is based in Kingscourt, Ireland.
Stock analysis
Kingspan Group plc (KRX) currently trades at €96.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €68.89, implying the stock looks roughly 39.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €78.21 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the €96.25 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €16.69, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €33.32 (bear) to €96.23 (bull), the price of €96.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Kingspan Group plc reported revenue of €9.2B in FY2025 versus €6.5B in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was €671M in FY2025, compounding +4.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €17.4B · P/E ratio 26.1 · P/S ratio 1.90 · EPS (TTM) €3.67 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity 15.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −28%, KRX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €33.32Fair Value €68.89Bull €96.23
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€2.28 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.7% a year
Revenue growth 37 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13% vs 14%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.2% a year for the price and +4.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (37 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 253 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−28% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.47× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)26.1× · Pricier than median
P/B4.42× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.15× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF43.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA18.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.76× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)27· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)61· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)77· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)12· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kingspan Group plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRX
Frequently asked questions
Is Kingspan Group plc (KRX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €68.89 versus a price of €96.25, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KRX?
Our model-based fair value for Kingspan Group plc is €68.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €96.25.
What is the quality score of KRX?
Kingspan Group plc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €68.89 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €33.32, optimistic scenario €96.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kingspan Group plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €68.89, about −28% upside versus a price of €96.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €33.32, optimistic scenario €96.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
Kingspan Group plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €9.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kingspan Group plc pay a dividend?
Kingspan Group plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kingspan Group plc would have to grow free cash flow by +25.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KRX use?
Our models discount Kingspan Group plc at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.28, country premium for Ireland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kingspan Group plc that is +25.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kingspan Group plc (KRX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kingspan Group plc grew +15.0 % a year. The price currently implies +25.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kingspan Group plc (KRX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kingspan Group plc (+25.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.61 %: that much free cash flow Kingspan Group plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kingspan Group plc it is €68.89 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €96.25. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kingspan Group plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KRX trades above its calculated fair value: price €96.25, fair value €68.89, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KRX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€96.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€68.89). For Kingspan Group plc the two are €27.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kingspan Group plc worth?
The market values Kingspan Group plc at about €17.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €96.25; our models calculate a fair value of €68.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KRX?
Our models span a range for Kingspan Group plc: cautious scenario €33.32, base €68.89, optimistic €96.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €96.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KRX?
Kingspan Group plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €68.89 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.8, P/B 4.4, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 18.6.
What is the PEG ratio of KRX?
The PEG ratio of Kingspan Group plc is 1.76 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kingspan Group plc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.4%, debt of 0.47 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KRX from its 52-week high?
Kingspan Group plc trades at €96.25, about 9% below its 52-week high of €105.30 and 54% above the low of €62.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €68.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kingspan Group plc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kingspan Group plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €96.25, calculated fair value €68.89 (−28%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KRX calculated?
We run Kingspan Group plc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €68.89, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kingspan Group plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €96.25. Our model-based fair value is €68.89, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kingspan Group plc right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€33.32 to €96.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Kingspan Group plc (KRX) come from?
Earnings per share at Kingspan Group plc grew +23.0 % a year from 2011 to 2022. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.6 %, EBIT margin +5.7 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kingspan Group plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
The market capitalisation of Kingspan Group plc is €17.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kingspan Group plc is 1.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
Earnings per share at Kingspan Group plc are €3.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
The dividend yield of Kingspan Group plc is 0.6% (payout 15.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
The net margin of Kingspan Group plc is 7.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kingspan Group plc is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kingspan Group plc is 10.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
The operating margin of Kingspan Group plc is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
Revenue at Kingspan Group plc is growing +5.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kingspan Group plc (KRX)?
Earnings per share at Kingspan Group plc are growing −0.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kingspan Group plc (KRX) carry?
The net debt of Kingspan Group plc is €1.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026