Kingspan Group (KRX) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IE · Market cap €15.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +18.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (€33.20 to €96.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €42.97 – €102.04 · fair‑value band €33.20 – €96.23 · the €87.30 price screens above the €70.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Kingspan Group (KRX) currently trades at €87.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €70.76, implying the stock looks roughly 19.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kingspan Group generated revenue of €9.2B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at €1.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €33.20 (bear case) to €96.23 (bull case); at €87.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -19%, KRX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€76.85) versus Asset-Based (€16.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kingspan Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides insulation and building envelope solutions in Western and Southern Europe, Central and Northern Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Insulated Building Envelopes, and Advnsys.
Full company description
Kingspan Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides insulation and building envelope solutions in Western and Southern Europe, Central and Northern Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Insulated Building Envelopes, and Advnsys. The Insulated Building Envelopes segment provides advanced energy-saving solutions for roofs, walls, and floors, delivering building solutions for energy efficiency in both new build and renovation applications across all building types. The Advnsys segment designs and manufactures bespoke critical infrastructure solutions, primarily focused on data centres, ventilation, and daylighting, offering high-performance systems that deliver energy efficient lighting, airflow, cooling, and ventilation for both new build and renovation projects in data centres and commercial buildings. The company offers a comprehensive suite of products, including insulated panels, insulation boards, roofing and waterproofing solutions, structural steel products and system, facades, ceiling systems, raised access floors, daylighting solutions, and water management technologies. It also provides solutions such as PowerPanel integrated solar roofing, QuadCore LEC insulated panels, Kooltherm insulation boards, and a range of lower embodied carbon and bio-based materials. Additionally, the company is involved in developing circular economy solutions, including product takeback and recycling schemes, and offers digital infrastructure, smoke management, and ventilation systems. Kingspan Group plc was founded in 1965 and is based in Kingscourt, Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kingspan Group reported revenue of €9.2B in FY2025 versus €6.5B in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was €671M in FY2025, compounding +4.9%/yr from FY2021.
KRX screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
| Rockwool A/S ROCKA | kr 216.00 | kr 61.77 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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