Masco Corporation (MAS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Masco Corporation stock $56.97, price $83.83, that is 32.0% below the price, quality 73 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $39.82 – $86.82 · fair‑value band $36.99 – $81.83 · the $83.83 price screens above the $56.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Masco Corporation provides home improvement and building products in North America, Europe, and internationally.
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The company's Plumbing Products segment offers faucets, showerheads, handheld showers, valves, bath hardware and accessories, bathing units, shower bases and enclosures, shower drains, steam shower systems, water filtration systems, and sinks and kitchen accessories; acrylic tubs, bath and shower enclosures, and shower bases and trays; spas, exercise pools, and aquatic fitness systems and saunas; brass, copper, and composite plumbing system component and other non-decorative plumbing products; water products; and thermoplastic products, extruded plastic profiles, and specialized fabrication products, as well as PEX tubing products.
This segment provides its products under the DELTA, BRIZO, PEERLESS, HANSGROHE, AXOR, KRAUS, NEWPORT BRASS, GINGER, WALTEC, BRISTAN, HERITAGE, MIROLIN, HOT SPRING, CALDERA, FREEFLOW SPAS, FANTASY SPAS, AQUATERRA, LIFESMART, ENDLESS POOLS, TYLO, FINNLEO, HELO, BRASSCRAFT, PLUMBSHOP, and MASTER PLUMBER brands, as well as under private label to home center and online retailers, mass merchandisers, wholesalers and distributors, plumbers, building contractors, remodelers, smaller retailers, and consumers and homebuilders.
Its Decorative Architectural Products segment offers paints, primers, specialty coatings, stains, and waterproofing products, as well as paint applicators and accessories; cabinet and door hardware, functional hardware, hook and hook rail products, and outdoor living hardware; and decorative bath hardware, shower accessories, and shower doors.
This segment provides its products under the BEHR, KILZ, WHIZZ, LIBERTY, and FRANKLIN BRASS brands to home center and other retailers, mass and online retailers, other specialty retailers, and original equipment manufacturers and wholesalers.
The company was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Livonia, Michigan.
Stock analysis
Masco Corporation (MAS) currently trades at $83.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $56.97, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $79.47 per share, and 2 of the 22 models we run sit above the $83.83 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $14.95, and 20 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $36.99 (bear) to $81.83 (bull), the price of $83.83 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2015: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2015.
Masco Corporation reported revenue of $7.6B in FY2025 versus $8.4B in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $810M in FY2025, compounding +18.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $16.7B Large · P/E ratio 19.3 · P/S ratio 2.19 · EPS (TTM) $4.34 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 58.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 24.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 72 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −32%, MAS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$36.99Fair Value $56.97Bull$81.83
Price $83.83 · Downside -32.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.62 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $2.8M and none bought.
SaleKenneth G. ColeVP, General Counsel and Sec.2× since Feb 12, 2026: 86,370 shares, avg. $78.47$6.8MOct 30, 2026
SaleLisa A PayneDirector16,735 shares at $63.66$1.1MMar 7, 2026
SaleHeath M EismanVP, Controller and CAO747 shares at $71.92$53,724Feb 26, 2026
Plus 10 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2015: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2015.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+26.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
From 2014 to 2025, about 51% of the growth in earnings per share came from share buybacks, and equity is negative: the buybacks are partly paid with debt. That cannot be repeated indefinitely.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Per share before 2015divided by the spin-off factor 1.138
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.0% vs 10.1%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 17%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.1% a year for the price and −0.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Masco benefits from steady revenue in repair and remodel work that supports stable margins, yet shows few durable moat signals and carries high leverage relative to its equity base.
Main risk: Chinese OEMs, value-tier online entrants and private-label products from retailers could exert downward pressure on entry-level margins in plumbing and paint categories.
Bull case: By deepening its exclusive partnership with Home Depot and accelerating shifts away from tariff-exposed sourcing, Masco could strengthen its position and capture more pro-channel share through innovation.
Bear case: If relations with Home Depot deteriorate or low-cost imports and smart-home alternatives gain significant share, Masco could face sustained margin compression and reduced demand for its traditional products.
Masco generates most of its revenue from repair and remodel work rather than new home construction. This exposure supports steadier results even as housing markets stay volatile, though our models see the stock as overvalued. Will its established brands and operational focus generate more durable cash flows than shifting consumer priorities allow, or will macro pressures dominate?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 254 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−32.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets15.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)11.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)23.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−2.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)19.3× · Cheaper than median
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)2.19× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow19.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA12.6× · Pricier than median
PEG1.72× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)30· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Masco Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MAS
Frequently asked questions
Is Masco Corporation (MAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $56.97 versus a price of $83.83, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MAS?
Our model-based fair value for Masco Corporation is $56.97 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $83.83.
What is the quality score of MAS?
Masco Corporation has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Masco Corporation (MAS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $56.97 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $36.99, optimistic scenario $81.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Masco Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $56.97, about 32% lower versus a price of $83.83 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $36.99, optimistic scenario $81.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
Masco Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Masco Corporation pay a dividend?
Masco Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 1.50% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Masco Corporation (MAS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Masco Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +11.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.0 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MAS use?
Our models discount Masco Corporation at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.29, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Masco Corporation that is +11.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Masco Corporation (MAS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Masco Corporation grew +1.0 % a year. The price currently implies +11.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Masco Corporation (MAS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Masco Corporation (+11.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.20 %: that much free cash flow Masco Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Masco Corporation it is $56.97 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $83.83. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Masco Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, MAS trades above its calculated fair value: price $83.83, fair value $56.97, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MAS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($83.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($56.97). For Masco Corporation the two are $26.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Masco Corporation worth?
The market values Masco Corporation at about $16.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $83.83; our models calculate a fair value of $56.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MAS?
Our models span a range for Masco Corporation: cautious scenario $36.99, base $56.97, optimistic $81.83 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $83.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MAS?
Masco Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.3 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $56.97 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 9 of the years ex one-offs: 18.1. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 12.6.
What is the PEG ratio of MAS?
The PEG ratio of Masco Corporation is 1.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Masco Corporation (as of Nov 3, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MAS from its 52-week high?
Masco Corporation trades at $83.83, about 3% below its 52-week high of $86.82 and 44% above the low of $58.07 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $56.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Masco Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Johnson Controls International plc, Trane Technologies plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Masco Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $83.83, calculated fair value $56.97 (−32%), Quality Score 73/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MAS calculated?
We run Masco Corporation through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $56.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Masco Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $83.83. Our model-based fair value is $56.97, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Masco Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($81.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (73/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($36.99 to $81.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Masco Corporation (MAS) come from?
Earnings per share at Masco Corporation grew +10.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.3 %, EBIT margin +2.4 %, tax rate −1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Masco Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
The market capitalisation of Masco Corporation is $16.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Masco Corporation is 2.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
Earnings per share at Masco Corporation are $4.34 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
The dividend yield of Masco Corporation is 1.5% (payout 29.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
The net margin of Masco Corporation is 11.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Masco Corporation is 58.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Masco Corporation is 24.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Masco Corporation (MAS)?
The operating margin of Masco Corporation is 23.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Masco Corporation (MAS)?
Revenue at Masco Corporation is growing −2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Masco Corporation (MAS)?
Earnings per share at Masco Corporation are growing +24.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Masco Corporation (MAS) carry?
The net debt of Masco Corporation is $2.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 3, 2026