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Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹73.0B

AB Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited ABFRL · NSE
Price₹57.16
Fair Value₹17.68
Upside-69.1%
Quality21/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -9.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range ₹3.54 – ₹32.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹32.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (₹3.54 to ₹32.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹130.50 ₹53.89 Fair Value ₹17.68 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹53.89 – ₹130.50 · fair‑value band ₹3.54 – ₹32.07 · the ₹57.16 price screens above the ₹17.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL) currently trades at ₹57.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹17.68, implying the stock looks roughly 69.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited generated revenue of ₹81.8B at a net margin of -9.5%. Revenue grew 15.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.7%. Net debt stands at ₹57.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹3.54 (bear case) to ₹32.07 (bull case); at ₹57.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -69%, ABFRL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ₹35.51 ₹73.84 ₹117.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹35.51 ₹62.27 ₹77.50 61
EV/EBITDA ₹45.77 ₹62.70 ₹79.63 54
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹2.05 ₹11.06 ₹29.99 31
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹35.51 ₹73.84 ₹117.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹35.51 ₹62.27 ₹77.50 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ₹45.77 ₹62.70 ₹79.63 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹23.99 ₹32.15 ₹47.99 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹62.70) versus DCF Models (₹11.06). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹81.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.7%
Net margin -9.5%
Return on equity -12.7%
Free cash flow −₹4.8B FY2026
Operating margin -7.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-6.38
EPS growth (YoY) -92.1%
Net debt ₹57.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited manufactures, distributes, and retails fashion apparel and accessories in India and internationally. It operates in Pantaloons and Ethnic & Others segments.

Full company description

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited manufactures, distributes, and retails fashion apparel and accessories in India and internationally. It operates in Pantaloons and Ethnic & Others segments. The company offers shirts, trousers, denims, t-shirts, dresses, suits and blazers, casuals, ceremonial, and party wear; shorts, joggers, track pants, sweatshirts, jackets, polos, chinos, kurtas and bottom wear, occasion wear, festive ensembles, classic shirts, logo T-shirts, casual pants, lehengas and kurta sets, innerwear, athleisure wear, workwear, tops, sleepwear, crops tops, skirts, jeans, and sportswear; and accessories, as well as footwear, handbags, bed linen, towels, smart table linen, dressy cushion covers, and others. It markets its products under the Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solly, and Peter England brands, as well as The Collective, Ralph Lauren, Hackett London, Ted Baker, and Fred Perry luxury brands; and ethnic wear products under the Sabyasachi, S&N' by Shantnu & Nikhil, Tasva, Tarun Tahiliani, House of Masaba, and Jaypore brands, as well as operates fashion store under the Pantaloons brand name. The company was formerly known as Pantaloons Fashion & Retail Limited and changed its name to Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited in January 2016. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited reported revenue of ₹81.8B in FY2026 versus ₹81.4B in FY2022, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −₹7.8B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 33/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹81.8B
Latest YoY
+10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+77.8%
Revenue +0.1%/yr
FY22 ₹81.4B
FY23 ₹124B
FY24 ₹64.4B
FY25 ₹73.8B
FY26 ₹81.8B
Net income
FY22 −₹1.1B
FY23 −₹360M
FY24 −₹6.3B
FY25 −₹3.8B
FY26 −₹7.8B

ABFRL screens 69% overvalued. Compare with H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABFRL

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 214 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.19× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 79 · sector 4
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 91 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 163.45 kr 165.47 +1%
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $374.08 $224.21 -40%
Gildan Activewear Inc GIL C$73.17 C$32.85 -55%
LPP SA LPP 19,380 PLN 17,754 PLN -8%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.88 HK$5.92 +21%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.57 ¥5.59 -26%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹39,900 ₹12,395 -69%
Hla Group 600398 ¥6.05 ¥9.92 +64%
Eclat Textile Co 1476 333.50 TWD 357.81 TWD +7%
Youngone Corporation 111770 87,600 KRW 196,629 KRW +124%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹17.68 versus a price of ₹57.16, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABFRL?
Our model-based fair value for Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited is ₹17.68 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹57.16.
What is the quality score of ABFRL?
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL)?
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹81.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ABFRL?
The net profit margin of Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited is about -9.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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