Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $16.4M
Athena Bitcoin Global
ABIT · US
Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 15, 2026, revised from $0.0028 to $0.0036 (+29.8%) since Jul 31, 2026. Share price +20.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The models converge in a tight band ($0.0035 to $0.0039), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0023 – $33.00 · fair‑value band $0.0035 – $0.0039 · the $0.0036 price screens below the $0.0036 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
Analysis
Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT) currently trades at $0.0036, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0036, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Athena Bitcoin Global generated revenue of $199M at a net margin of -4.6%. Revenue declined 48.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -47.0%. Net debt stands at $22.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0035 (bear case) to $0.0039 (bull case); at $0.0036, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 0%, ABIT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($0.0300) versus DCF Models ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 4
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Athena Bitcoin Global provides various crypto asset transaction platforms in the United States, El Salvador, Argentina, Colombia, and Mexico. The company purchases and sells crypto assets through its Bitcoin automated teller machines (ATMs).
Full company description
Athena Bitcoin Global provides various crypto asset transaction platforms in the United States, El Salvador, Argentina, Colombia, and Mexico. The company purchases and sells crypto assets through its Bitcoin automated teller machines (ATMs). It also offers Athena Plus for buying and selling crypto assets; white-label operations, such as operating ATMs on behalf of customers; and Athena Pay that offers payment services comprising POS devices, web POS, API integration, and bitcoin lightning. In addition, the company sells intellectual property, including the XPay Wallet and XPay POS software; and provides software maintenance services. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Miami, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Athena Bitcoin Global reported revenue of $235M in FY2025 versus $81.7M in FY2021, a compound +30.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.0M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Capital Markets · 425 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,050 KRW | 18,009 KRW | -53% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 118,600 KRW | 52,717 KRW | -56% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 200,500 KRW | 189,335 KRW | -6% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 28,550 KRW | 22,396 KRW | -22% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 93,100 KRW | 75,573 KRW | -19% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 299,000 KRW | 214,812 KRW | -28% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 25,300 VND | 17,375 VND | -31% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 294.30 ARS | -6% |
| Daishin Securities Co 003540 | 26,950 KRW | 48,790 KRW | +81% |
| SK Securities Co 001515 | 4,285 KRW | 1,395 KRW | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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