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Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Athena Bitcoin Global $0.00, price $0.00, upside +1.5%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · US · ISIN US0468391067

AB Athena Bitcoin Global logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Athena Bitcoin Global

ABIT · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $0.0020 · Fairly valued (+1.5%)
!Quality 46/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +27.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.6% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$33.00 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0020 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $33.00 · fair‑value band $0.0020 – $0.0021 · the $0.0020 price screens below the $0.0020 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Athena Bitcoin Global provides various crypto asset transaction platforms in the United States, El Salvador, Argentina, Colombia, and Mexico. The company purchases and sells crypto assets through its Bitcoin automated teller machines (ATMs).

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Athena Bitcoin Global provides various crypto asset transaction platforms in the United States, El Salvador, Argentina, Colombia, and Mexico. The company purchases and sells crypto assets through its Bitcoin automated teller machines (ATMs). It also offers Athena Plus for buying and selling crypto assets; white-label operations, such as operating ATMs on behalf of customers; and Athena Pay that offers payment services comprising POS devices, web POS, API integration, and bitcoin lightning. In addition, the company sells intellectual property, including the XPay Wallet and XPay POS software; and provides software maintenance services. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Miami, Florida.

Stock analysis

Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT) currently trades at $0.0020, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0020, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.5%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 14 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0020 (bear) to $0.0021 (bull), the price of $0.0020 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Athena Bitcoin Global reported revenue of $235M in FY2025 versus $81.7M in FY2021, a compound +30.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $16.4M · P/S ratio 0.08 · Net margin −2.6% · Return on equity −47.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.7% · Operating margin −0.8% · Revenue (TTM) $199M · Revenue growth (YoY) −48.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 94% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 2%, ABIT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0020 Fair Value $0.0020 Bull $0.0021
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0500 $0.0800 $0.1500 70
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0700 66
Owner Earnings $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0500 63
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0500 63
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0500 $0.0800 $0.1500 70
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0700 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+47.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+118.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.4% (2020) → 2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Athena Bitcoin Global with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 459 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +1.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −4.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −0.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −48.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 0.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)35 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $188.08 $314.07 +67%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $900.36 $766.86 −15%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $97.74 $118.07 +21%
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $89.24 $23.12 −74%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $116.22 $47.77 −59%
Macquarie Group MQG A$239.53 A$80.51 −66%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥26.29 ¥18.35 −30%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.21 ¥19.35 +12%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.28 ¥4.94 −73%
Nomura Holdings NMR $9.91 $10.19 +3%

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Athena Bitcoin Global · Fair Value
$0.0020 +1%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Athena Bitcoin Global Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABIT

Frequently asked questions

Is Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0020 versus a price of $0.0020, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ABIT?
Our model-based fair value for Athena Bitcoin Global is $0.0020 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0020.
What is the quality score of ABIT?
Athena Bitcoin Global has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0020 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0020, optimistic scenario $0.0021. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Athena Bitcoin Global stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0020, about +2% upside versus a price of $0.0020 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0020, optimistic scenario $0.0021. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
Athena Bitcoin Global reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $199M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Athena Bitcoin Global it is $0.0020 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.0020. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Athena Bitcoin Global stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ABIT trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0020, fair value $0.0020, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABIT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0020); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0020). For Athena Bitcoin Global the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Athena Bitcoin Global worth?
The market values Athena Bitcoin Global at about $16.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.0020; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0020 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABIT?
Our models span a range for Athena Bitcoin Global: cautious scenario $0.0020, base $0.0020, optimistic $0.0021 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.0020). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Athena Bitcoin Global (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −47.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABIT from its 52-week high?
Athena Bitcoin Global trades at $0.0020, about 94% below its 52-week high of $0.0350 and at the low of $0.0020 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0020 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Athena Bitcoin Global?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Athena Bitcoin Global stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.0020, calculated fair value $0.0020 (+2%), Quality Score 46/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABIT calculated?
We run Athena Bitcoin Global through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0020, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Athena Bitcoin Global currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was $0.0020. Our model-based fair value is $0.0020, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Athena Bitcoin Global right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0020 to $0.0021), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Athena Bitcoin Global

How large is the market capitalisation of Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
The market capitalisation of Athena Bitcoin Global is $16.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Athena Bitcoin Global is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
The net margin of Athena Bitcoin Global is −2.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Athena Bitcoin Global is −47.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Athena Bitcoin Global is 23.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
The operating margin of Athena Bitcoin Global is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
Revenue at Athena Bitcoin Global is growing −48.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +47.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT)?
Earnings per share at Athena Bitcoin Global are growing −62.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT) generate?
The free cash flow of Athena Bitcoin Global is $11.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Athena Bitcoin Global (ABIT) carry?
The net debt of Athena Bitcoin Global is $22.1M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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