Abits Group Inc. (ABTS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Abits Group Inc. $2.58, price $1.26, upside +104.8%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.8140 – $439.05 · fair‑value band $1.87 – $3.29 · the $1.26 price screens below the $2.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Abits Group Inc., through its subsidiary, operates in the bitcoin mining business in the United States. It owns and operates mining facilities that provides mining operations and colocation hosting services. The company was formerly known as Moxian (BVI) Inc and changed its name to Abits Group Inc. in November 2023. Abits Group Inc.
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Abits Group Inc., through its subsidiary, operates in the bitcoin mining business in the United States. It owns and operates mining facilities that provides mining operations and colocation hosting services. The company was formerly known as Moxian (BVI) Inc and changed its name to Abits Group Inc. in November 2023. Abits Group Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Abits Group Inc. (ABTS) currently trades at $1.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.58, implying the stock looks roughly 51.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $1.87 (bear) to $3.29 (bull), the price of $1.26 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Abits Group Inc. reported revenue of $5.6M in FY2025 versus $219K in FY2021, a compound +124.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$642K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $3.9M · P/S ratio 0.43 · EPS (TTM) $−1.21 · Net margin −11.5% · Return on equity −31.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −37.0% · Operating margin −34.6% · Revenue (TTM) $9.1M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 88% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 105%, ABTS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.87Fair Value $2.58Bull $3.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+224.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +52.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+52.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.7% (2020) → −22.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 460 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside+103% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−13% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−31% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−35% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth69% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Abits Group Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABTS
Frequently asked questions
Is Abits Group Inc. (ABTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.58 versus a price of $1.26, about +105% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ABTS?
Our model-based fair value for Abits Group Inc. is $2.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.26.
What is the quality score of ABTS?
Abits Group Inc. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.87, optimistic scenario $3.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Abits Group Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.58, about +105% upside versus a price of $1.26 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.87, optimistic scenario $3.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
Abits Group Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Abits Group Inc. it is $2.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.26. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Abits Group Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ABTS trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.26, fair value $2.58, a gap of about +105% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABTS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.58). For Abits Group Inc. the two are $1.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Abits Group Inc. worth?
The market values Abits Group Inc. at about $3.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.26; our models calculate a fair value of $2.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABTS?
Our models span a range for Abits Group Inc.: cautious scenario $1.87, base $2.58, optimistic $3.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Abits Group Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −31.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABTS from its 52-week high?
Abits Group Inc. trades at $1.26, about 88% below its 52-week high of $10.27 and 55% above the low of $0.8140 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Abits Group Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Abits Group Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.26, calculated fair value $2.58 (+105%), Quality Score 39/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABTS calculated?
We run Abits Group Inc. through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Abits Group Inc. currently trades 105 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $1.26. Our model-based fair value is $2.58, about +105% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Abits Group Inc. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.87). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Abits Group Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
The market capitalisation of Abits Group Inc. is $3.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Abits Group Inc. is 0.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
Earnings per share at Abits Group Inc. are $−1.21. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
The net margin of Abits Group Inc. is −11.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Abits Group Inc. is −31.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Abits Group Inc. is −37.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
The operating margin of Abits Group Inc. is −34.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Abits Group Inc. (ABTS)?
Revenue at Abits Group Inc. is growing +68.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +224%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Abits Group Inc. (ABTS) generate?
The free cash flow of Abits Group Inc. is −$2.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Abits Group Inc. (ABTS) carry?
The net debt of Abits Group Inc. is $2.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026