Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc $8.97, price $5.90, upside +52.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.95 – $12.92 · fair‑value band $6.77 – $11.87 · the $5.90 price screens below the $8.97 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Aboitiz Equity Ventures, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in power, banking and financial services, food, infrastructure, land, and data science and artificial intelligence businesses in the Philippines and rest of Asia.
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Aboitiz Equity Ventures, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in power, banking and financial services, food, infrastructure, land, and data science and artificial intelligence businesses in the Philippines and rest of Asia. It is involved in distribution and retail of electricity generated through baseload coal and geothermal, hydropower, solar, battery energy storage, and oil-based power plants; manufacture and sale of hard and soft wheat, and specialty flours under Sun Moon Star, Sunshine, Glowing Sun, Kutitap, Gold Star, Mega Star, and Wooden Spoon brand names; animal nutrition and feed products, including swine, poultry, rabbit, and pet food, as well as aqua feed products; animal healthcare products; operation of farms and feed mill plants for hogs and eggs; and wholesale of food products, beverages, and agricultural and forestry raw materials. The company also engages in the development and rental of real estate projects comprising residential communities, integrated industrial townships, and commercial hubs; provision of property management services; development of infrastructure projects, including water supply, water distribution, wastewater treatment, water-related infrastructure, regional airports, communication towers, and data centers; manufacture, development, exploitation, and sale of cement, concrete, marble, and other building materials; quarrying, crushing, mixing, processing, sale, and dealing in limestone; and provision of aviation and insurance services. In addition, it offers digital and banking; management services; data analytics; and engages in electric vehicle operation. Aboitiz Equity Ventures, Inc. was formerly known as Cebu Pan Asian Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Aboitiz Equity Ventures, Inc. in December 1993. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Makati City, the Philippines.
Stock analysis
Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR (ABTZY) currently trades at $5.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.97, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $16.94 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the $5.90 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3.72, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.77 (bear) to $11.87 (bull), the price of $5.90 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR reported revenue of 313B PHP in FY2025 versus 224B PHP in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was 18.3B PHP in FY2025, compounding −8.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.3B · P/E ratio 9.4 · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) $0.6300 · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 52%, ABTZY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.77Fair Value $8.97Bull $11.87
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.83/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.9% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.4% vs −0.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 16%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in PHP, Philippines: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 3.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.9% a year for the price.
Compare Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Above median
Fair Value upside−42.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.1% · Below median
Return on assets3.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth27.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
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Is Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.97 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $5.90, about +52% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ABTZY?
Our model-based fair value for Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR is $8.97 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $5.90.
What is the quality score of ABTZY?
Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.97 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.77, optimistic scenario $11.87. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.97, about +52% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $5.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.77, optimistic scenario $11.87. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 332B PHP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR pay a dividend?
Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +7.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ABTZY use?
Our models discount Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR that is +7.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR grew +10.9 % a year. The price currently implies +7.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR (+7.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.11 %: that much free cash flow Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR it is $8.97 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $5.90. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ABTZY trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.90, fair value $8.97, a gap of about +52% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABTZY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.97). For Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR the two are $3.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR worth?
The market values Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR at about $3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $5.90; our models calculate a fair value of $8.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABTZY?
Our models span a range for Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR: cautious scenario $6.77, base $8.97, optimistic $11.87 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $5.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ABTZY?
Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.97 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.1%, debt of 1.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $5.90, calculated fair value $8.97 (+52%), Quality Score 49/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABTZY calculated?
We run Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR currently trades 34 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $5.90. Our model-based fair value is $8.97, about +52% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.77). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY) come from?
Earnings per share at Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR grew +0.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.8 %, EBIT margin −5.0 %, tax rate −2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
The market capitalisation of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR is $3.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR is 0.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
Earnings per share at Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR are $0.6300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
The dividend yield of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR is 3.9% (payout 36.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
The net margin of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
The operating margin of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR is 15.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
Revenue at Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR is growing +27.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY)?
Earnings per share at Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR are growing +99.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc (ABTZY) carry?
The net debt of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc ADR is 406B PHP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026