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Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Aboitiz Power Corp $15.13, price $11.77, upside +28.6%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · US · ADR · Home Philippines · ISIN US0037301084

AP Aboitiz Power Corp logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Aboitiz Power Corp

ABZPY · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $15.13 · Undervalued (+28.6%)
!Quality 48/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.0 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.9% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Moderate moat 57/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$15.55 $7.02 Fair Value $15.13 Jul 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.02 – $15.55 · fair‑value band $10.59 – $19.66 · the $11.77 price screens below the $15.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Aboitiz Power Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the power generation and distribution, and electricity retail businesses in the Philippines. It operates through Power Generation, Power Distribution, and Retail Electricity Supply, and Parent and Others segments.

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Aboitiz Power Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the power generation and distribution, and electricity retail businesses in the Philippines. It operates through Power Generation, Power Distribution, and Retail Electricity Supply, and Parent and Others segments. The company operates hydropower, geothermal, solar, coal, and oil-based power plants. It supplies its electricity through power supply contracts, ancillary service procurement agreements, and trading in the wholesale electricity spot market; and distributes electricity to power generation businesses, retail electricity supply businesses, and power distribution utility customers, including industrial, residential, commercial, and other customers through nine distribution utilities that supply electricity to franchise areas covering 18 cities and municipalities and five economic zones in Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao. In addition, the company is involved in retail electricity services, including energy solutions, such as customized, hybrid, and smart metering/IoT solutions; technical services, such as electrical thermography, power quality analysis, and dissolved gas analysis; and distributed energy solutions, such as after-the-meter solar power installations to various industries, including property development, meat processing, semiconductors, steel, and cement. It also develops and operates distributed energy resources and facilities that include behind-the-meter solar power ventures. As of March 4, 2025, it had a total of 6,079 MW net sellable capacity. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Makati City, the Philippines. Aboitiz Power Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Aboitiz Equity Ventures, Inc.

Stock analysis

Aboitiz Power Corp ADR (ABZPY) currently trades at $11.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.13, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $21.48 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the $11.77 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.96, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $10.59 (bear) to $19.66 (bull), the price of $11.77 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Aboitiz Power Corp ADR reported revenue of 203B PHP in FY2025 versus 134B PHP in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was 19.9B PHP in FY2025, compounding +1.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $5.6B · P/E ratio 13.4 · P/S ratio 1.31 · EPS (TTM) $0.8800 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 9.8% · Return on equity 12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 29%, ABZPY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $10.59 Fair Value $15.13 Bull $19.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $12.75 $27.46 $51.83 76
Residual Income $7.76 $8.53 $10.08 76
Growth DCF $12.59 $26.00 $47.40 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $12.75 $27.46 $51.83 76
Owner Earnings $4.17 $12.46 $26.18 70
5Y Revenue Exit $9.80 $21.57 $37.37 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.23 $22.44 $37.54 72
5Y P/E Exit $6.96 $15.74 $25.55 68
10Y Revenue Exit $10.15 $21.48 $38.49 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.93 $22.10 $38.62 65
10Y P/E Exit $8.81 $17.32 $28.88 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.00 $27.15 $37.23 64
Lynch FV $7.09 $10.13 $13.18 61
PEG = 1.0 $7.09 $10.13 $13.18 57
EPV $5.84 $7.85 $9.59 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.73 $13.41 $20.31 67
DDM Multi-Stage $6.73 $11.59 $14.16 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.91 $15.88 $19.85 63
P/S Multiple $11.25 $15.00 $18.74 58
P/B Multiple $11.25 $15.00 $18.74 55
EV/EBIT $12.24 $18.62 $25.00 65
EV/EBITDA $10.39 $16.15 $21.90 66
EV/Revenue $8.58 $15.22 $21.85 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.45 $5.96 $8.90 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.59 $26.00 $47.40 75
Rev-Margin DCF $9.80 $21.36 $36.18 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.76 $8.53 $10.08 76
ROIC Compounder $5.84 $7.85 $10.54 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.58 $15.11 $19.64 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 98/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+41.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+38.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.87.9% vs 36.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 19%
2025 sits 1,120% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside +58.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12.6% · Above median
Return on assets 4.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 21.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 16.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.75× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.71× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 16.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.41× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)82 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)51 · sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)45 · sector 52
DIVIDEND (yield)57 · sector 65

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $75.74 $29.97 −60%
The Southern Company SO $82.89 $57.57 −31%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $113.41 $74.88 −34%
American Electric Power Company AEP $118.64 $100.03 −16%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $60.76 $37.84 −38%
Entergy Corporation ETR $98.10 $37.37 −62%
Xcel Energy Inc XEL $69.39 $54.92 −21%
Exelon Corporation EXC $40.32 $36.01 −11%
Consolidated Edison, Inc ED $103.33 $47.76 −54%
PG&E Corporation PCG $12.34 $17.85 +45%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aboitiz Power Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABZPY

Frequently asked questions

Is Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.13 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $11.77, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ABZPY?
Our model-based fair value for Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is $15.13 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $11.77.
What is the quality score of ABZPY?
Aboitiz Power Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $15.13 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.59, optimistic scenario $19.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aboitiz Power Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $15.13, about +29% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $11.77 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.59, optimistic scenario $19.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
Aboitiz Power Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 205B PHP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Aboitiz Power Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Aboitiz Power Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aboitiz Power Corp ADR it is $15.13 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $11.77. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aboitiz Power Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ABZPY trades below its calculated fair value: price $11.77, fair value $15.13, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABZPY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($15.13). For Aboitiz Power Corp ADR the two are $3.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aboitiz Power Corp ADR worth?
The market values Aboitiz Power Corp ADR at about $5.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $11.77; our models calculate a fair value of $15.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABZPY?
Our models span a range for Aboitiz Power Corp ADR: cautious scenario $10.59, base $15.13, optimistic $19.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $11.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ABZPY?
Aboitiz Power Corp ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $15.13 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 1.8, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 9.5.
What is the PEG ratio of ABZPY?
The PEG ratio of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is 1.41 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aboitiz Power Corp ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.6%, debt of 1.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABZPY from its 52-week high?
Aboitiz Power Corp ADR trades at $11.77, about 24% below its 52-week high of $15.55 and at the low of $11.77 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $15.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aboitiz Power Corp ADR?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aboitiz Power Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $11.77, calculated fair value $15.13 (+29%), Quality Score 48/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABZPY calculated?
We run Aboitiz Power Corp ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $15.13, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aboitiz Power Corp ADR currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $11.77. Our model-based fair value is $15.13, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aboitiz Power Corp ADR right now?
Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($10.59 to $19.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY) come from?
Earnings per share at Aboitiz Power Corp ADR grew +10.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.7 %, EBIT margin −6.0 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR

How large is the market capitalisation of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
The market capitalisation of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is $5.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is 1.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
Earnings per share at Aboitiz Power Corp ADR are $0.8800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
The dividend yield of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is 2.9% (payout 38.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
The net margin of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is 9.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
The operating margin of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is 21.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
Revenue at Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is growing +16.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY)?
Earnings per share at Aboitiz Power Corp ADR are growing +71.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY) generate?
The free cash flow of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is 21.4B PHP (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Aboitiz Power Corp (ABZPY) carry?
The net debt of Aboitiz Power Corp ADR is 267B PHP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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