Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna S.p.A (ADB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IT · Market cap €339M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 23% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€8.60 to €15.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €6.17 – €11.50 · fair‑value band €8.60 – €15.98 · the €9.98 price screens below the €12.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna S.p.A (ADB) currently trades at €9.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.29, implying the stock looks roughly 23.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna S.p.A generated revenue of €185M at a net margin of 13.2%. Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at €20.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €8.60 (bear case) to €15.98 (bull case); at €9.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at 23%, ADB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€12.29) versus Asset-Based (€4.24). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manages, and maintains an airport in Italy and internationally. The company operates through Aviation, Non-Aviation, and Other segments.
Full company description
Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manages, and maintains an airport in Italy and internationally. The company operates through Aviation, Non-Aviation, and Other segments. It manages and develops the airport infrastructure, including terminal, baggage sorting, car parking, traffic, and cargo storage, as well as aircraft runways and aprons. The company also provides security services and services to passengers with reduced mobility; information to the public and airport users; operates in the general aviation business that handles and manages related infrastructure; develops, revamps, and expands airport infrastructure, such as installations and equipment; and handles cargo and mail at the airport. In addition, it offers self-hire and parking management services; retail sub-concessions; advertising space; and services for passengers, as well as manages real estate properties. Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna S.p.A. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Bologna, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna S.p.A reported revenue of €179M in FY2025 versus €57.8M in FY2021, a compound +32.7%/yr. Reported net income was €24.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA | €26.24 | €28.41 | +8% |
| Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD | 2.44 SGD | 1.25 SGD | -49% |
| Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC | $220.91 | $246.06 | +11% |
| GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA | ₹112.80 | ₹22.29 | -80% |
| Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN | CHF 237.20 | CHF 121.30 | -49% |
| Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 | ¥24.08 | ¥17.09 | -29% |
| Auckland International Airport Limited AIA | A$7.11 | A$2.80 | -61% |
| Fraport AG FRA | €69.35 | €49.83 | -28% |
| Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL | kr 5,660 | kr 1,821 | -68% |
| SATS Ltd S58 | 4.82 SGD | 4.03 SGD | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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