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Addtech AB (ADDHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Addtech AB $17.72, price $17.15, upside +3.3%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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AA
Some data
Sep 23, 2026
Some data
Sep 23, 2026
Addtech AB
ADDHY · USNeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $17.72 · Fairly valued (+3.3%)
✓Quality 66/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +14.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.0% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 68/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range $8.49 – $19.62 · fair‑value band $11.98 – $29.50 · the $17.15 price screens below the $17.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
Addtech AB (publ.) provides high-tech products and solutions in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Automation, Electrification, Energy, Industrial Solutions, and Process Technology segments.
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Addtech AB (publ.) provides high-tech products and solutions in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Automation, Electrification, Energy, Industrial Solutions, and Process Technology segments. It produces and sells automation products and solutions, subsystems, and components for medical technology, industrial automation, and infrastructure, including solutions for industrial communications, built-in-data control systems, sensors, and cyber security solutions. The company also offers battery, energy-efficient power supply solutions, and power transmission; components and subsystems for electric driveline solutions; products for electric power transmission, electrical installation, and safety products for transport; solutions and systems primarily for the forest, special vehicles, and waste/recycling industries; and solutions for measuring, controlling, and streamlining industrial flows. Addtech AB (publ.) was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Addtech AB (ADDHY) currently trades at $17.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.72, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.15 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $17.15 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.53, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $11.98 (bear) to $29.50 (bull), the price of $17.15 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Addtech AB reported revenue of 22.7B SEK in FY2026 versus 14.0B SEK in FY2022, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B SEK in FY2026, compounding +18.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $9.5B · P/E ratio 41.7 · P/S ratio 3.95 · EPS (TTM) $0.4200 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 9.5% · Return on equity 28.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 3%, ADDHY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $11.98
Fair Value $17.72
Bull $29.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2140 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$6.78
$11.76
$19.73
78
Growth DCF
$6.77
$11.43
$18.67
76
5Y EBITDA Exit
$6.49
$11.39
$17.36
74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$6.78
$11.76
$19.73
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$5.43
$9.29
$14.37
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$6.49
$11.39
$17.36
74
5Y P/E Exit
$5.86
$10.15
$14.88
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$5.67
$9.38
$14.73
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$6.52
$10.86
$17.10
67
10Y P/E Exit
$6.12
$9.99
$15.14
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$2.83
$11.61
$15.81
64
Lynch FV
$2.92
$4.17
$5.42
61
PEG = 1.0
$2.92
$4.17
$5.42
57
EPV
$4.31
$5.08
$5.75
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$1.47
$2.93
$4.43
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$1.47
$2.53
$3.09
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$6.55
$8.73
$10.91
63
P/S Multiple
$5.30
$7.07
$8.84
58
P/B Multiple
$5.10
$6.80
$8.50
55
EV/EBIT
$7.05
$9.59
$12.13
66
EV/EBITDA
$7.03
$9.56
$12.09
67
EV/Revenue
$4.87
$7.20
$9.53
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.7600
$1.01
$1.51
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$6.77
$11.43
$18.67
76
Rev-Margin DCF
$5.43
$9.26
$14.03
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$2.41
$3.23
$6.00
72
ROIC Compounder
$4.83
$6.40
$8.28
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$5.04
$7.20
$9.35
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
66/100
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Profitability
69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+20.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 14%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.1% a year for the price and +5.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+9.5%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+7.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+6.1%
Projected 2031 (sales)+5.4%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 105 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,256 | $623.81 | −50% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $50.23 | $41.28 | −18% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $222.74 | $32.49 | −85% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $367.44 | $151.88 | −59% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$226.98 | C$127.90 | −44% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $317.23 | $250.18 | −21% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $332.29 | $205.13 | −38% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$106.19 | C$74.26 | −30% |
| Indutrade AB INDT | kr 258.60 | kr 284.46 | +10% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $42.64 | $50.21 | +18% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Addtech AB (ADDHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.72 versus a price of $17.15, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ADDHY?
Our model-based fair value for Addtech AB is $17.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.15.
What is the quality score of ADDHY?
Addtech AB has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.98, optimistic scenario $29.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Addtech AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.72, about +3% upside versus a price of $17.15 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $11.98, optimistic scenario $29.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
Addtech AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.5B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Addtech AB pay a dividend?
Addtech AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.97% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Addtech AB would have to grow free cash flow by +7.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ADDHY use?
Our models discount Addtech AB at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.13, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Addtech AB that is +7.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Addtech AB (ADDHY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Addtech AB grew +14.9 % a year. The price currently implies +7.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Addtech AB (ADDHY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Addtech AB (+7.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.44 %: that much free cash flow Addtech AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Addtech AB it is $17.72 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $17.15. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Addtech AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ADDHY trades below its calculated fair value: price $17.15, fair value $17.72, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ADDHY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.72). For Addtech AB the two are $0.5700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Addtech AB worth?
The market values Addtech AB at about $9.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $17.15; our models calculate a fair value of $17.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ADDHY?
Our models span a range for Addtech AB: cautious scenario $11.98, base $17.72, optimistic $29.50 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $17.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ADDHY?
Addtech AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.72 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Addtech AB (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 28.6%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ADDHY from its 52-week high?
Addtech AB trades at $17.15, about 13% below its 52-week high of $19.62 and 10% above the low of $15.53 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Addtech AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Addtech AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $17.15, calculated fair value $17.72 (+3%), Quality Score 66/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ADDHY calculated?
We run Addtech AB through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Addtech AB currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $17.15. Our model-based fair value is $17.72, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Addtech AB right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($11.98 to $29.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Addtech AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
The market capitalisation of Addtech AB is $9.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Addtech AB is 3.95 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
Earnings per share at Addtech AB are $0.4200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
The dividend yield of Addtech AB is 1.0% (payout 39.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
The net margin of Addtech AB is 9.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Addtech AB is 28.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Addtech AB is 14.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
Revenue at Addtech AB is growing +1.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Addtech AB (ADDHY)?
Earnings per share at Addtech AB are growing +13.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Addtech AB (ADDHY) carry?
The net debt of Addtech AB is 4.2B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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