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Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. (ADEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TR · Market cap 7.5B TRY

AK Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. ADEL · IS
Price28.80 TRY
Fair Value5.93 TRY
Upside-79.4%
Quality21/100
Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -10.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 4/100
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Evidence: Low Range 3.77 TRY – 7.37 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

Share price −8.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.37 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (3.77 TRY to 7.37 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

69.72 TRY 1.79 TRY Fair Value 5.93 TRY Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.79 TRY – 69.72 TRY · fair‑value band 3.77 TRY – 7.37 TRY · the 28.80 TRY price screens above the 5.93 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 4, 2026.

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Analysis

Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. (ADEL) currently trades at 28.80 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.93 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 79.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. generated revenue of 2.6B TRY at a net margin of -10.7%. Revenue grew 126.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -20.4%. Net debt stands at 1.2B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.77 TRY (bear case) to 7.37 TRY (bull case); at 28.80 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -79%, ADEL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 5.29 TRY 10.54 TRY 15.96 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 5.29 TRY 9.11 TRY 11.13 TRY 61
NCAV (Graham) 2.34 TRY 3.13 TRY 4.68 TRY 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.29 TRY 10.54 TRY 15.96 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 5.29 TRY 9.11 TRY 11.13 TRY 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.34 TRY 3.13 TRY 4.68 TRY 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (9.11 TRY) versus Asset-Based (3.13 TRY). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.6B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +127%
Net margin -10.7%
Return on equity -20.4%
Free cash flow −354M TRY FY2025
Operating margin -2.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -1.06 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -34.0%
Net debt 1.2B TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. produces and sells stationery products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers school products, such as copying pencils, blacklead pencils, sharpeners, erasers, colour pencils, oil pastels and crayons, watercolor, fibre tip pens, glue, scissors, drawing pad, painting apron, school bag, pencil case, and lunch …

Full company description

Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. produces and sells stationery products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers school products, such as copying pencils, blacklead pencils, sharpeners, erasers, colour pencils, oil pastels and crayons, watercolor, fibre tip pens, glue, scissors, drawing pad, painting apron, school bag, pencil case, and lunch boxes; writing and office products, including mechanical pencils, highlighters, markers and whiteboard markers, scissors, and correction tapes; and hobby items, such as drawing pencils and acrylic paints under the Adel, Faber-Castell, and Graf von Faber-Castell brand names. It also involved in the sale of hygiene products; sale and export of products manufactured in the facilities; and importing, purchasing, and selling of raw, semi-finished, and finished products. Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Ümraniye, Turkey. The company operates as a subsidiary of AG Anadolu Grubu Holding A.S.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. reported revenue of 2.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 486M TRY in FY2021, a compound +44.2%/yr. Reported net income was −502M TRY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.1B TRY
Latest YoY
−40.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+32.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+39.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+20.8%
Revenue +44.2%/yr
FY21 486M TRY
FY22 895M TRY
FY23 3.3B TRY
FY24 3.5B TRY
FY25 2.1B TRY
Net income
FY21 −12.7M TRY
FY22 37.5M TRY
FY23 629M TRY
FY24 24.4M TRY
FY25 −502M TRY

ADEL screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Ricoh Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADEL

Peer Group

Business Equipment & Supplies · 81 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Below median
Revenue growth 127% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 31
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ricoh Company RICO ¥15.33 ¥17.99 +17%
GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 ¥10.08 ¥6.90 -32%
Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 ¥21.45 ¥30.05 +40%
XGD Inc 300130 ¥19.90 ¥15.67 -21%
DOMS Industries Limited DOMS ₹2,260 ₹782.96 -65%
Hengbao Co 002104 ¥9.20 ¥1.66 -82%
Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 ¥6.99 ¥1.75 -75%
Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 ¥7.30 ¥3.11 -57%
Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 ¥6.00 ¥1.73 -71%
Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co 603187 ¥11.92 ¥21.12 +77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. (ADEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.93 TRY versus a price of 28.80 TRY, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ADEL?
Our model-based fair value for Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. is 5.93 TRY (as of Aug 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 28.80 TRY.
What is the quality score of ADEL?
Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. has a Quality Score of 21/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. (ADEL)?
Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.6B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ADEL?
The net profit margin of Adel Kalemcilik Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. is about -10.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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