Arsenal Digital Holdings (ADHI) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $3.9M
Arsenal Digital Holdings
ADHI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price +54.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0510). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.0255 to $0.0510) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0215 – $4.80 · fair‑value band $0.0255 – $0.0510 · the $0.1700 price screens above the $0.0425 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
Analysis
Arsenal Digital Holdings (ADHI) currently trades at $0.1700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0425, implying the stock looks roughly 75.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Our scenario range runs from $0.0255 (bear case) to $0.0510 (bull case); at $0.1700, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 189% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -75%, ADHI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Arsenal Digital Holdings, Inc. is a diversified holding company with a primary base in oil and gas operations. It is also involved in investment the conversion and capture of biogas from waste; oil and gas production; and provides specialized financing and merger and acquisition services for oil and gas service companies operating across North America's …
Full company description
Arsenal Digital Holdings, Inc. is a diversified holding company with a primary base in oil and gas operations. It is also involved in investment the conversion and capture of biogas from waste; oil and gas production; and provides specialized financing and merger and acquisition services for oil and gas service companies operating across North America's primary energy basins. Arsenal Digital Holdings, Inc. was formerly known as Global Green Solutions Inc. and changed its name to Arsenal Digital Holdings, Inc. in January 2022. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Arsenal Digital Holdings reported revenue of $63.6M in FY2025 versus $54.7M in FY2023, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$913K in FY2025.
ADHI screens 75% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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