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Alphamin Resources Corp (AFM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$1.8B

AR Alphamin Resources Corp AFM · V
PriceC$1.56
Fair ValueC$1.96
Upside+25.6%
Quality87/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 25.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
12.07% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Wide moat 92/100
Evidence: Medium Range C$1.47 – C$3.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +11.4% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 26% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (87/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • A fairly wide model range (C$1.47 to C$3.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$1.58 C$0.3680 Fair Value C$1.96 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.3680 – C$1.58 · fair‑value band C$1.47 – C$3.29 · the C$1.56 price screens below the C$1.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Alphamin Resources Corp (AFM) currently trades at C$1.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.96, implying the stock looks roughly 25.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 87/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Alphamin Resources Corp generated revenue of C$740M at a net margin of 25.5%. Revenue grew 99.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 48.2%. Net debt stands at C$40.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$1.47 (bear case) to C$3.29 (bull case); at C$1.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 26%, AFM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$1.82 C$3.16 C$5.25 80
Residual Income C$0.6200 C$0.7700 C$3.19 76
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.09 C$1.71 C$3.03 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$1.95 C$2.84 C$5.53 38
Owner Earnings C$1.82 C$3.77 C$7.40 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$1.00 C$1.49 C$2.50 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$1.97 C$3.45 C$6.35 41
5Y P/E Exit C$1.64 C$3.45 C$5.89 38
10Y Revenue Exit C$1.30 C$2.31 C$2.78 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$1.97 C$4.21 C$8.07 37
10Y P/E Exit C$1.75 C$3.56 C$6.46 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$0.7800 C$5.47 C$7.67 54
Lynch FV C$2.82 C$4.03 C$5.24 50
PEG = 1.0 C$2.82 C$4.03 C$5.24 46
EPV C$1.48 C$1.69 C$1.85 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM C$0.6100 C$1.11 C$1.52 70
DDM Multi-Stage C$0.6100 C$1.01 C$1.18 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$1.47 C$1.96 C$2.45 63
P/S Multiple C$0.5400 C$0.7300 C$0.9100 58
P/B Multiple C$0.6700 C$0.8900 C$1.11 55
EV/EBIT C$2.25 C$3.01 C$3.76 53
EV/EBITDA C$1.94 C$2.59 C$3.24 54
EV/Revenue C$0.5000 C$0.7200 C$0.9400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1500 C$0.2000 C$0.3000 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$1.82 C$3.16 C$5.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.09 C$1.71 C$3.03 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$0.6200 C$0.7700 C$3.19 76
ROIC Compounder C$1.77 C$2.39 C$3.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$3.47 C$4.96 C$6.45 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$4.96) versus Asset-Based (C$0.2000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$740M
Revenue growth (YoY) +99.3%
Net margin 25.5%
Return on equity 48.2%
Free cash flow C$184M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.8
More key figures
Operating margin 58.8%
EPS (TTM) C$0.2100
Dividend yield 12.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +172%
Net debt C$40.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 87/100

Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 94
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Alphamin Resources Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells tin concentrates. Its principal project is the Bisie tin mine located in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The company was formerly known as La Plata Gold Corporation and changed its name to Alphamin Resources Corp. in October 2008.

Full company description

Alphamin Resources Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells tin concentrates. Its principal project is the Bisie tin mine located in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The company was formerly known as La Plata Gold Corporation and changed its name to Alphamin Resources Corp. in October 2008. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Grand Baie, Mauritius. Alphamin Resources Corp. is a subsidiary of Alpha Mining Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alphamin Resources Corp reported revenue of C$621M in FY2025 versus C$353M in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$148M in FY2025, compounding +32.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$621M
Latest YoY
+17.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+27.1%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+128.4%
Revenue +15.2%/yr
FY21 C$353M
FY22 C$391M
FY23 C$289M
FY24 C$528M
FY25 C$621M
Net income +32.4%/yr
FY21 C$48.2M
FY22 C$101M
FY23 C$47.2M
FY24 C$101M
FY25 C$148M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alphamin Resources Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AFM

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 87 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +26% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 48% · Top 25%
Return on assets 35% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 59% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 99% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 12.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 3.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.77× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 67 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alphamin Resources Corp (AFM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$1.96 versus a price of C$1.56, about +26% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AFM?
Our model-based fair value for Alphamin Resources Corp is C$1.96 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$1.56.
What is the quality score of AFM?
Alphamin Resources Corp has a Quality Score of 87/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFM)?
Alphamin Resources Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$740M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AFM?
The net profit margin of Alphamin Resources Corp is about 25.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Alphamin Resources Corp pay a dividend?
Alphamin Resources Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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