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Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · TR · ISIN TRAAFYON91F6

AC Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS

AFYON · IS

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 11.38 TRY · Overvalued (−9%)
!Quality 43/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +70.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 21 out of 100
!Weak on future: 16 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

16.42 TRY 2.28 TRY Fair Value 11.38 TRY May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.28 TRY – 16.42 TRY · fair‑value band 11.38 TRY – 12.80 TRY · the 12.52 TRY price screens above the 11.38 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Afyon Çimento Sanayi Türk Anonim Sirketi engages in the production and selling of cement in Turkey. It offers cement products, such as Çimsa Master power, Çimsa Izo Power 42.5, Çimsa Resistant LA, and Çimsa Rapid 42.5. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

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Afyon Çimento Sanayi Türk Anonim Sirketi engages in the production and selling of cement in Turkey. It offers cement products, such as Çimsa Master power, Çimsa Izo Power 42.5, Çimsa Resistant LA, and Çimsa Rapid 42.5. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. Afyon Çimento Sanayi Türk Anonim Sirketi is a subsidiary of Cimsa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi.

Stock analysis

Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON) currently trades at 12.52 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.38 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 19.64 TRY per share, and 13 of the 17 models we run sit above the 12.52 TRY price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 4.95 TRY, and 4 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 11.38 TRY (bear) to 12.80 TRY (bull), the price of 12.52 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS reported revenue of 3.9B TRL in FY2025 versus 413M TRL in FY2021, a compound +74.9%/yr. Reported net income was 241M TRL in FY2025, compounding +33.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 5.0B TRY (≈ $103M) · P/E ratio 20.9 · P/S ratio 1.30 · EPS (TTM) 0.6000 TRY · Dividend yield 9.8% · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at −9%, AFYON screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 11.38 TRY Fair Value 11.38 TRY Bull 12.80 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4225 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 3.70 TRY 4.95 TRY 7.49 TRY 76
Residual Income 13.72 TRY 13.50 TRY 11.54 TRY 76
EPV 14.86 TRY 16.79 TRY 18.45 TRY 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 3.70 TRY 4.95 TRY 7.49 TRY 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4.10 TRY 28.57 TRY 40.09 TRY 63
Lynch FV 11.88 TRY 16.97 TRY 22.06 TRY 61
PEG = 1.0 11.88 TRY 16.97 TRY 22.06 TRY 57
EPV 14.86 TRY 16.79 TRY 18.45 TRY 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 10.44 TRY 20.81 TRY 31.52 TRY 67
DDM Multi-Stage 10.44 TRY 17.99 TRY 21.97 TRY 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 7.68 TRY 10.24 TRY 12.80 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 7.68 TRY 10.24 TRY 12.80 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 7.68 TRY 10.24 TRY 12.80 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 18.32 TRY 23.53 TRY 28.75 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 22.18 TRY 28.69 TRY 35.19 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 12.82 TRY 17.17 TRY 21.52 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.47 TRY 12.69 TRY 18.94 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13.72 TRY 13.50 TRY 11.54 TRY 76
ROIC Compounder 14.86 TRY 16.79 TRY 18.45 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 13.75 TRY 19.64 TRY 25.54 TRY 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 6
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.9%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+70.3%
Revenue growth 23 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+89.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+79.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 15%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.25× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)21 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)16 · sector 2
PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 45

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $88.55 $69.69 −21%
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 70.44 CHF 33.05 −53%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $252.74 $114.48 −55%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,000 ₹4,718 −57%
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $509.96 $215.31 −58%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥44.66 ¥29.22 −35%
Amrize AG AMRZ $40.52 $31.93 −21%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,282 ₹1,126 −66%
CEMEX, S.A. CX $10.69 $20.77 +94%
James Hardie Industries plc JHX A$39.01 A$9.64 −75%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AFYON

Frequently asked questions

Is Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.38 TRY versus a price of 12.52 TRY, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AFYON?
Our model-based fair value for Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is 11.38 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.52 TRY.
What is the quality score of AFYON?
Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11.38 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.38 TRY, optimistic scenario 12.80 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11.38 TRY, about −9% upside versus a price of 12.52 TRY (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 11.38 TRY, optimistic scenario 12.80 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS pay a dividend?
Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.77% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS it is 11.38 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 12.52 TRY. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AFYON trades above its calculated fair value: price 12.52 TRY, fair value 11.38 TRY, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AFYON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.52 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11.38 TRY). For Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS the two are 1.14 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS worth?
The market values Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS at about 5.0B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 12.52 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 11.38 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AFYON?
Our models span a range for Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS: cautious scenario 11.38 TRY, base 11.38 TRY, optimistic 12.80 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 12.52 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AFYON?
Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 11.38 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 0.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AFYON from its 52-week high?
Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS trades at 12.52 TRY, about 25% below its 52-week high of 16.59 TRY and 13% above the low of 11.11 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11.38 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 12.52 TRY, calculated fair value 11.38 TRY (−9%), Quality Score 43/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AFYON calculated?
We run Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11.38 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band (11.38 TRY to 12.80 TRY), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS

How large is the market capitalisation of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
The market capitalisation of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is 5.0B TRY (≈ $103M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is 1.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
Earnings per share at Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS are 0.6000 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
The dividend yield of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is 9.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
The net margin of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is 6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is 13.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
The operating margin of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
Revenue at Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is growing +3.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON)?
Earnings per share at Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS are growing −47.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON) generate?
The free cash flow of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is −44.2M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS (AFYON) carry?
The net debt of Afyon Cimento Sanayi TAS is 76.6M TRY (fiscal year 2021). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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