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Data-driven stock valuation

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation stock $248, price $180, upside +37.5%, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

FA Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation logo Broad data Nov 6, 2026

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation

AGM · US
Undervalued, in an uptrend

The stock costs 27% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $247.76 · Undervalued (27%)
Highly profitable · 56.0% net margin (TTM)
3.4% dividend yield · Low payout
Broad data
Revenue last quarter +25% vs. a year ago.
Quality 50/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +53.0 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 67/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$240.02 $79.35 Fair Value $247.76 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $79.35 – $240.02 · fair‑value band $143.24 – $309.70 · the $180.20 price screens below the $247.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation provides a secondary market for various loans made to borrowers in the United States. It operates through seven segments: Farm & Ranch, Corporate AgFinance, Power & Utilities, Broadband Infrastructure, Renewable Energy, Funding, and Investments.

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The Farm & Ranch segment includes the USDA Securities portfolio, Farm & Ranch loans, and AgVantage securities secured by Farm & Ranch loans.

The Corporate AgFinance segment includes loans and AgVantage securities to larger and more complex farming operations, agribusinesses focused on food and fiber processing, and other supply chain production.

The Power & Utilities segment includes loans to rural electric generation and transmission cooperatives and distribution cooperatives, as well as AgVantage securities secured by those types of loans.

The Broadband Infrastructure segment includes loans to rural fiber, cable/broadband, tower, wireless, local exchange carrier, and data center projects. The Renewable Energy segment includes rural electric, solar, wind, and gas projects.

The Funding segment includes debt issuance, hedging, asset/liability management, and capital allocation. The Investments segment includes an investment portfolio, which is held for liquidity purposes.

The company is involved in a line of agricultural finance business, including purchasing and retaining eligible loans and securities; guaranteeing the payment of principal and interest on securities that represent interests in, or obligations secured by pools of eligible loans; servicing eligible loans; and issuing long-term standby purchase commitments for designated eligible loans.

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Washington, District Of Columbia.

Stock analysis

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) currently trades at $180.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $247.76, implying the stock looks roughly 27% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $473.77 per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the $180.20 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $97.25, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $143.24 (bear) to $309.70 (bull), the price of $180.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $448M in FY2021, a compound +31.0%/yr. Reported net income was $207M in FY2025, compounding +11.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $2.1B Mid · P/E ratio 10.8 · P/S ratio 5.26 · EPS (TTM) $18.28 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 56.0% · Return on equity 13.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 67 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 37%, AGM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $143.24 Fair Value $247.76 Bull $309.70
Price $180.20 · Upside +37.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($10.33 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $143.24 $164.95 $218.07 75
Growth DCF n/a n/a $129.04 74
Gordon GGM $70.03 $136.36 $201.69 65
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $129.60 $680.54 $941.83 61
Lynch FV $186.90 $267.00 $347.11 58
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $70.03 $136.36 $201.69 65
DDM Multi-Stage $70.03 $119.40 $144.37 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $185.82 $247.76 $309.70 61
P/B Multiple $132.10 $176.13 $220.16 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $72.57 $97.25 $145.15 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a n/a $129.04 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $143.24 $164.95 $218.07 75

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 28
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 42
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 9
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 61
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 40
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 43
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 87
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 18 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.0%
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13.2% vs 12.0%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.66% → 19%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 283 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +37.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 13.5% · Above median
Return on assets 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 56.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 69.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 24.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 12.75× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 10.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.25× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 5.26× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 26.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 90.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.68× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)83 · sector 59
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 57
PAST (return on equity)54 · sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)69 · sector 63

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Synchrony Financial, SYF $73.74 $141.92 +92% vs AGM
PayPal Holdings PYPL $59.24 $107.45 +81% vs AGM
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹961.15 ₹1,309 +36% vs AGM
Affirm Holdings AFRM $68.11 $76.63 +13% vs AGM
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,088 ₹1,055 −3% vs AGM
American Express Company AXP $320.99 $210.02 −35% vs AGM
Visa Inc V $422.65 $242.87 −43% vs AGM
Mastercard Incorporated MA $652.70 $360.13 −45% vs AGM
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $201.87 $106.81 −47% vs AGM
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $16.21 $5.51 −66% vs AGM

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Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGM

Frequently asked questions

Is Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $247.76 versus a price of $180.20, about +37% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AGM?
Our model-based fair value for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is $247.76 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $180.20.
What is the quality score of AGM?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $247.76 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $143.24, optimistic scenario $309.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $247.76, about +37% upside versus a price of $180.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $143.24, optimistic scenario $309.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation pay a dividend?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 3.44% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation pays a dividend of $6.20 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 15, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2004. The payout ratio is 33.9% of earnings. Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation it is $247.76 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $180.20. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, AGM trades below its calculated fair value: price $180.20, fair value $247.76, a gap of about +37% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($180.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($247.76). For Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation the two are $67.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation worth?
The market values Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation at about $2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $180.20; our models calculate a fair value of $247.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGM?
Our models span a range for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation: cautious scenario $143.24, base $247.76, optimistic $309.70 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $180.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AGM?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.8 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $247.76 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 8.8. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.3, P/S 5.3, EV/EBITDA 90.5.
What is the PEG ratio of AGM?
The PEG ratio of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is 0.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 13.5%, debt of 12.75 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGM from its 52-week high?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation trades at $180.20, about 25% below its 52-week high of $240.02 and 32% above the low of $136.80 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $247.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $180.20, calculated fair value $247.76 (+37%), Quality Score 50/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGM calculated?
We run Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation through 9 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $247.76 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation currently trades 27% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $180.20. Our model-based fair value is $247.76, about +37% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation right now?
Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($143.24 to $309.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) come from?
Earnings per share at Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation grew +13.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +30.2 %, EBIT margin −23.0 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +11.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
The market capitalisation of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is $2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is 5.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
Earnings per share at Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation are $18.28 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
The dividend yield of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is 3.4% (payout 33.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
The net margin of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is 56.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
The operating margin of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is 69.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
Revenue at Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is growing +24.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM)?
Earnings per share at Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation are growing +20.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) generate?
The free cash flow of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is $80.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) carry?
The net debt of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation is $29.9B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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