Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd $21.52, price $10.04, upside +114.3%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.58 – $23.15 · fair‑value band $12.78 – $22.98 · the $10.04 price screens below the $21.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, sells, and trades in clinker and cement products in China and internationally.
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Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, sells, and trades in clinker and cement products in China and internationally. The company provides construction and installation services for industrial purposes; logistic transportation agency and warehouse logistics services; financial supporting services; road freight transport; and mining and related services. It also manufactures and sells cement packaging products, concrete products, refractory materials, construction materials, nonmetallic mineral products, new materials, and chemical fibres; develops and sells profile and related products; exports clinker and cement products; processes and sells construction stones, and manufactured sand; sells aggregates; and constructs industrial and civil buildings, and highways. In addition, it is involved in investment and trading; machinery installation and maintenance; product testing and environmental inspection; technical services, development, and consulting; industrial product design; industrial waste storage and disposal; photovoltaic and wind power generation, and energy storage system development; renewable resources sales and renewable resource processing; research, development, and manufacture of automation machinery; and research and experimental development. Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Wuhu, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY) currently trades at $10.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.52, implying the stock looks roughly 53.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $20.94 per share, and 24 of the 26 models we run sit above the $10.04 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $8.54, and 2 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $12.78 (bear) to $22.98 (bull), the price of $10.04 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd reported revenue of 80.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 168B CNY in FY2021, a compound −16.9%/yr. Reported net income was 8.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding −29.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $12.1B · P/E ratio 10.6 · P/S ratio 1.09 · EPS (TTM) $1.09 · Dividend yield 8.5% · Net margin 10.3% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 114%, AHCHY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $12.78Fair Value $21.52Bull $22.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1815 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.6% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−24.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−24.4% vs −0.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 11%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (16 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 249 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.7% · Below median
Return on assets2.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)9.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)9.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)8.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AHCHY
Frequently asked questions
Is Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.52 versus a price of $10.04, about +114% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AHCHY?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is $21.52 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.04.
What is the quality score of AHCHY?
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.52 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.78, optimistic scenario $22.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.52, about +114% upside versus a price of $10.04 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $12.78, optimistic scenario $22.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 80.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.47% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd it is $21.52 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $10.04. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, AHCHY trades below its calculated fair value: price $10.04, fair value $21.52, a gap of about +114% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AHCHY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.52). For Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd the two are $11.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd worth?
The market values Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd at about $12.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $10.04; our models calculate a fair value of $21.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AHCHY?
Our models span a range for Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd: cautious scenario $12.78, base $21.52, optimistic $22.98 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $10.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AHCHY?
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $21.52 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.6, P/B 0.4, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
What is the PEG ratio of AHCHY?
The PEG ratio of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is 2.61 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 3.7%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AHCHY from its 52-week high?
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd trades at $10.04, about 38% below its 52-week high of $16.18 and 1% above the low of $9.94 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $10.04, calculated fair value $21.52 (+114%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AHCHY calculated?
We run Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $21.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $10.04. Our model-based fair value is $21.52, about +114% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.78). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY) come from?
Earnings per share at Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd grew −0.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.2 %, EBIT margin −7.2 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
The market capitalisation of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is $12.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is 1.09 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd are $1.09 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
The dividend yield of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is 8.5% (payout 78.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
The net margin of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is 10.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
The operating margin of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
Revenue at Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is growing −10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY)?
Earnings per share at Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd are growing −17.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY) generate?
The free cash flow of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is $7.0B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY) carry?
The net debt of Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd is $16.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 2, 2026