AIXTRON SE (AIXA) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · DE · Market cap €4.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €15.11 to €13.44 (−11.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −6.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€16.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €9.07 – €60.42 · fair‑value band €10.30 – €16.57 · the €40.11 price screens above the €13.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
AIXTRON SE (AIXA) currently trades at €40.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €13.44, implying the stock looks roughly 66.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AIXTRON SE generated revenue of €503M at a net margin of 11.6%. Revenue declined 47.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €101M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €10.30 (bear case) to €16.57 (bull case); at €40.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 245% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -66%, AIXA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€18.80) versus Dividend Discount (€2.17). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AIXTRON SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells deposition equipment to the semiconductor industry in Asia, Europe, and the United States. The company offers G10-SiC, G10-GaN, G10-AsP, AIX G5+ C, Closed Coupled Showerhead systems for research and development, AIX 2800G4-TM, and AIX G5 WW C.
Full company description
AIXTRON SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells deposition equipment to the semiconductor industry in Asia, Europe, and the United States. The company offers G10-SiC, G10-GaN, G10-AsP, AIX G5+ C, Closed Coupled Showerhead systems for research and development, AIX 2800G4-TM, and AIX G5 WW C. It also develops, produces, and installs equipment for the deposition of semiconductor materials; and offers deposition processes, consulting, training, customer support, and other related services, as well as peripheral equipment and services to support the operation of its systems. In addition, the company engages in supplying deposition equipment for volume production; and research and development and pre-series production activities. Its products are used in laser, LED, display technologies, optical data transmission, SiC and GaN power electronics, and other applications. AIXTRON SE was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Herzogenrath, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AIXTRON SE reported revenue of €557M in FY2025 versus €429M in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was €85.2M in FY2025, compounding −2.8%/yr from FY2021.
AIXA screens 66% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Aixtron Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- There May Be Reason For Hope In AIXTRON's (ETR:AIXA) Disappointing Earnings
- Is It Too Late To Consider AIXTRON (XTRA:AIXA) After A 320% One-Year Surge?
- Aixtron Shares Jump 17% As AI Demand Lifts Revenue Outlook
Peer Group
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 211 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Holding ASML | C$50.50 | C$15.57 | -69% |
| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $579.43 | $143.08 | -75% |
| Lam Research Corporation LRCX | $346.10 | $67.57 | -80% |
| KLA Corporation KLAC | $212.75 | $53.01 | -75% |
| NAURA Technology Group 002371 | ¥774.20 | ¥151.43 | -80% |
| Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 | ¥350.69 | ¥41.79 | -88% |
| Piotech Inc 688072 | ¥832.00 | ¥431.44 | -48% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 6,005 TWD | 1,804 TWD | -70% |
| Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 | ¥325.24 | ¥33.33 | -90% |
| MPI Corporation 6223 | 5,600 TWD | 609.44 TWD | -89% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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