Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS TRY 75.14, price TRY 206, upside -63.4%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.95 TRY – 249.50 TRY · fair‑value band 75.14 TRY – 80.61 TRY · the 205.50 TRY price screens above the 75.14 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Akçansa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement, clinker, ready-mix concrete, and aggregates in Turkey and internationally. The company operates through Cement and Ready-Mix Concrete segments. It offers products under the Akçansa, Agregasa, and Betonsa brand names.
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Akçansa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement, clinker, ready-mix concrete, and aggregates in Turkey and internationally. The company operates through Cement and Ready-Mix Concrete segments. It offers products under the Akçansa, Agregasa, and Betonsa brand names. The company provides port services. Akçansa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS) currently trades at 205.50 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 75.14 TRY, 63.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 221.89 TRY per share, and 9 of the 26 models we run sit above the 205.50 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 64.30 TRY, and 17 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 75.14 TRY (bear) to 80.61 TRY (bull), the price of 205.50 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 24.6B TRL in FY2025 versus 2.9B TRL in FY2021, a compound +71.1%/yr. Reported net income was 726M TRL in FY2025, compounding +24.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 39.3B TRY (≈ $801M) · P/E ratio 73.1 · P/S ratio 2.16 · EPS (TTM) 2.81 TRY · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2,383%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −63%, AKCNS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 75.14 TRYFair Value 75.14 TRYBull 80.61 TRY
Price 205.50 TRY · Upside -63.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+65.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +32.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+48.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+44.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 7%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+19.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.3% a year for the price and +0.5% for the forecasts.
Compare Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 250 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−63.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.1% · Below median
Return on assets2.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−3.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)73.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.57× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.56× · Pricier than median
P/FCF35.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.12× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)47· sector 7
PAST (return on equity)8· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)73· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKCNS
Frequently asked questions
Is Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 75.14 TRY versus a price of 205.50 TRY, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKCNS?
Our model-based fair value for Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 75.14 TRY (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 205.50 TRY.
What is the quality score of AKCNS?
Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 75.14 TRY (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 75.14 TRY, optimistic scenario 80.61 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 75.14 TRY, about −63% upside versus a price of 205.50 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 75.14 TRY, optimistic scenario 80.61 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.3B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS pay a dividend?
Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.63% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS would have to grow free cash flow by +34.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +65.8 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AKCNS use?
Our models discount Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS that is +34.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS grew +65.8 % a year. The price currently implies +34.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (+34.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.78 %: that much free cash flow Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS it is 75.14 TRY per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 205.50 TRY. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, AKCNS trades above its calculated fair value: price 205.50 TRY, fair value 75.14 TRY, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKCNS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (205.50 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (75.14 TRY). For Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS the two are 130.36 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at about 39.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 205.50 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 75.14 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKCNS?
Our models span a range for Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 75.14 TRY, base 75.14 TRY, optimistic 80.61 TRY per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 205.50 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AKCNS?
Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 73.1 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 75.14 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 1.6, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 12.4.
What is the PEG ratio of AKCNS?
The PEG ratio of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 1.12 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 2.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKCNS from its 52-week high?
Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at 205.50 TRY, about 18% below its 52-week high of 249.50 TRY and 68% above the low of 122.33 TRY (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 75.14 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 205.50 TRY, calculated fair value 75.14 TRY (−63%), Quality Score 39/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKCNS calculated?
We run Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 75.14 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 205.50 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 75.14 TRY, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (80.61 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (75.14 TRY to 80.61 TRY), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
The market capitalisation of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 39.3B TRY (≈ $801M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 2.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
Earnings per share at Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are 2.81 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 73.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
The dividend yield of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 3.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
The net margin of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 2,383% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
The operating margin of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
Revenue at Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is growing +9.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +40.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS)?
Earnings per share at Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are growing −26.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (AKCNS) carry?
The net debt of Akcansa Cimento Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 194M TRY (fiscal year 2022, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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