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Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Allot Communications Ltd $1.76, price $8.47, upside -79.2%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · Home Israel · ISIN IL0010996549

AC Allot Communications Ltd logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Allot Communications Ltd

ALLT · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $1.76 · Strongly overvalued (−79%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 29 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$20.02 $1.29 Fair Value $1.76 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.29 – $20.02 · fair‑value band $1.35 – $2.14 · the $8.47 price screens above the $1.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Allot Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, sells, and markets network intelligence and security solutions in Israel, Europe, Asia, Oceania, the Americas, the Middle East, and Africa.

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Allot Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, sells, and markets network intelligence and security solutions in Israel, Europe, Asia, Oceania, the Americas, the Middle East, and Africa. The company's Allot Secure Management platform, which provides end-to-end security management infrastructure that comprises Allot NetworkSecure, Allot HomeSecure, Allot DNSecure, Allot IoTSecure, Allot EndpointSecure, and Allot BusinessSecure, as well as Allot Secure Cloud and Allot Network Protection as a Service. It also provides DDoS Secure, a solution that provides attack detection and mitigation services; NetProtect that offers protection from multi-vector attacks against network infrastructure, subscribers, and applications; 5GNetProtect, a solution for 5G SA architecture; AllotSmart solutions, which include Smart5G, SmartVisibility, SmartTraffic QoE, SmartPCC, and SmartSentinel that enables telecommunication providers to comply with a range of regulatory requirements targeted to assist governments with securing the public; and Allot NetXplorer, which provides a central access point for network-wide monitoring, reporting, analytics, troubleshooting, accounting, and quality of service policy provisioning. The company markets its products through direct sales, distributors, resellers, original equipment manufacturers, and system integrators to mobile and fixed broadband service providers, cable operators, satellite service providers, private networks, data centers, governments, and financial and educational institutions. Allot Ltd. was formerly known as Allot Communications Ltd. and changed its name to Allot Ltd. in October 2018. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Hod Hasharon, Israel.

Stock analysis

Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT) currently trades at $8.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.76, implying the stock looks roughly 381.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.59 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $8.47 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.5700, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.35 (bear) to $2.14 (bull), the price of $8.47 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Allot Communications Ltd reported revenue of $102M in FY2025 versus $146M in FY2021, a compound −8.5%/yr. Reported net income was $3.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $391M · P/E ratio 65.2 · P/S ratio 2.37 · EPS (TTM) $0.1300 · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −14.2% · Operating margin 5.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −79%, ALLT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0500 to $4.13). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $1.35 Fair Value $1.76 Bull $2.14
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0955 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $2.65 $4.13 $6.14 80
Growth DCF $2.66 $3.92 $5.52 79
Owner Earnings $0.6900 $1.21 $1.92 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.65 $4.13 $6.14 80
Owner Earnings $0.6900 $1.21 $1.92 75
5Y Revenue Exit $1.20 $1.70 $2.29 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.95 $3.12 $4.48 75
5Y P/E Exit $1.66 $2.59 $3.55 71
10Y Revenue Exit $1.74 $2.33 $3.05 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.20 $3.24 $4.60 68
10Y P/E Exit $2.04 $2.90 $3.94 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.5100 $1.74 $2.34 64
Lynch FV $0.4000 $0.5700 $0.7400 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.4000 $0.5700 $0.7400 57
EPV n/a $0.0500 $0.0900 68
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.59 $2.12 $2.65 63
P/S Multiple $0.9700 $1.29 $1.61 58
P/B Multiple $0.9700 $1.29 $1.61 55
EV/EBIT $0.9300 $1.37 $1.82 65
EV/EBITDA $1.72 $2.42 $3.12 67
EV/Revenue $0.2800 $0.5600 $0.8500 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.16 $1.55 $2.32 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.66 $3.92 $5.52 79
Rev-Margin DCF $1.20 $1.75 $2.42 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.59 $1.51 $1.20 71
ROIC Compounder n/a $0.0500 $0.0900 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.31 $1.88 $2.44 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.2% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6.6% (2020) → 3.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.1% a year for the price and +8.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+13.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+12.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+11.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.5%

ALLT screens 381% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Compare Allot Communications Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 383 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.35× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 65.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.45× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.72× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 25.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 44.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.83× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)71 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)29 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)82 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $500.59 $550.65 +10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $192.59 $42.16 −78%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $139.54 $112.26 −20%
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $374.57 $114.50 −69%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $262.49 $35.15 −87%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $178.74 $164.92 −8%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $413.06 $250.04 −39%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.68 $101.29 +36%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $86.90 $71.79 −17%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $192.91 $157.18 −19%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.76 versus a price of $8.47, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALLT?
Our model-based fair value for Allot Communications Ltd is $1.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.47.
What is the quality score of ALLT?
Allot Communications Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.76 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.35, optimistic scenario $2.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Allot Communications Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.76, about −79% upside versus a price of $8.47 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.35, optimistic scenario $2.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
Allot Communications Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $105M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Allot Communications Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +18.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ALLT use?
Our models discount Allot Communications Ltd at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.49, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Allot Communications Ltd that is +18.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Allot Communications Ltd grew -5.6 % a year. The price currently implies +18.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Allot Communications Ltd (+18.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.96 %: that much free cash flow Allot Communications Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Allot Communications Ltd it is $1.76 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $8.47. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Allot Communications Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ALLT trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.47, fair value $1.76, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALLT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.76). For Allot Communications Ltd the two are $6.71 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Allot Communications Ltd worth?
The market values Allot Communications Ltd at about $391M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $8.47; our models calculate a fair value of $1.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALLT?
Our models span a range for Allot Communications Ltd: cautious scenario $1.35, base $1.76, optimistic $2.14 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $8.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALLT?
Allot Communications Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 65.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 3.5, P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 44.7.
What is the PEG ratio of ALLT?
The PEG ratio of Allot Communications Ltd is 0.83 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Allot Communications Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.2%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALLT from its 52-week high?
Allot Communications Ltd trades at $8.47, about 26% below its 52-week high of $11.50 and 36% above the low of $6.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Allot Communications Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Allot Communications Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $8.47, calculated fair value $1.76 (−79%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALLT calculated?
We run Allot Communications Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Allot Communications Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $8.47. Our model-based fair value is $1.76, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Allot Communications Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Allot Communications Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
The market capitalisation of Allot Communications Ltd is $391M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Allot Communications Ltd is 2.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
Earnings per share at Allot Communications Ltd are $0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 65.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
The net margin of Allot Communications Ltd is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Allot Communications Ltd is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Allot Communications Ltd is −14.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
The operating margin of Allot Communications Ltd is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
Revenue at Allot Communications Ltd is growing +14.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT)?
Earnings per share at Allot Communications Ltd are growing +817% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Allot Communications Ltd (ALLT) hold?
Allot Communications Ltd holds more cash than debt, $14.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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