AstroNova, Inc (ALOT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $219M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $13.50 to $5.81 (−57.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($3.13 to $8.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.01 – $28.95 · fair‑value band $3.13 – $8.48 · the $28.94 price screens above the $5.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
AstroNova, Inc (ALOT) currently trades at $28.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.81, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AstroNova, Inc generated revenue of $152M at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Net debt stands at $37.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.13 (bear case) to $8.48 (bull case); at $28.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 316% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -80%, ALOT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($8.36) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AstroNova, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes specialty printers, and data acquisition and analysis systems in the United States, Europe, Canada, Asia, Central and South America, and internationally.
Full company description
AstroNova, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes specialty printers, and data acquisition and analysis systems in the United States, Europe, Canada, Asia, Central and South America, and internationally. The company offers color label tabletop printers and light commercial label printers, direct-to-package printers, high-volume presses, specialty original equipment manufacturer printing systems, label printers, envelope and packaging printing, data acquisition recorders, as well as label, and tag and other supplies, including ink, toner, and thermal transfer ribbons under the QuickLabel, TrojanLabel, GetLabels, Astro Machine, and MTEX brands; and provides on-site and remote service, spare parts, and various service contracts; training and support services; and develops and licenses software programs to design and manage labels, print images, manage and operate printers. It also provides airborne printer products, such as ToughWriter series used in the flight decks of military transport, commercial transport, and business aircraft to print hard copies of data; ToughSwitch, an ethernet switches to connect multiple computers or ethernet devices; TMX and TMX-200, a high-speed data acquisition systems for applications requiring high channel counts and acquisition rates; Daxus DXS-100, a distributed data acquisition platform; SmartCorder DDX-100, a portable all-in-one data acquisition system; and Everest EV-5000 and RC-300 digital strip chart recording systems for aerospace and defense applications. In addition, the company offers networking solutions; aerospace products comprising flight deck printing solutions, networking hardware, and specialized aerospace-grade thermal paper; and data acquisition systems. The company was formerly known as Astro-Med, Inc. and changed its name to AstroNova, Inc. in May 2016. AstroNova, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in West Warwick, Rhode Island.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
AstroNova, Inc reported revenue of $151M in FY2026 versus $117M in FY2022, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.4M in FY2026.
ALOT screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 215 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR | $0.0310 | $0.0276 | -11% |
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $434.97 | $163.87 | -62% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $168.56 | $43.74 | -74% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $513.84 | $74.05 | -86% |
| Wiwynn Corporation 6669 | 4,685 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -67% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥34.12 | ¥30.11 | -12% |
| Quanta Computer Inc 2382 | 373.50 TWD | 297.22 TWD | -20% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥587.60 | ¥60.86 | -90% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$23.16 | HK$3.07 | -87% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥106.13 | ¥28.88 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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