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AstroNova, Inc (ALOT) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $219M

AI AstroNova, Inc logo AstroNova, Inc ALOT · US
Price$28.94
Fair Value$5.81
Upside-79.9%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range $3.13 – $8.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $13.50 to $5.81 (−57.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($3.13 to $8.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.95 $7.01 Fair Value $5.81 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.01 – $28.95 · fair‑value band $3.13 – $8.48 · the $28.94 price screens above the $5.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

AstroNova, Inc (ALOT) currently trades at $28.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.81, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, AstroNova, Inc generated revenue of $152M at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Net debt stands at $37.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.13 (bear case) to $8.48 (bull case); at $28.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 316% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -80%, ALOT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.2200 to $13.86). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $10.06 $13.52 $17.42 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.38 $5.91 $7.71 74
Gordon GGM $0.1600 $0.2600 $0.3400 70
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.97 $13.86 $18.49 38
Owner Earnings $0.3300 $1.05 $1.90 31
5Y Revenue Exit $4.38 $5.65 $7.02 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.32 $10.94 $14.93 41
10Y Revenue Exit $6.79 $8.36 $10.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.41 $11.44 $15.05 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1600 $0.2600 $0.3400 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1600 $0.2200 $0.2800 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.8900 $1.80 $2.70 53
EV/EBITDA $6.19 $8.87 $11.54 54
EV/Revenue $0.7900 $1.57 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.97 $6.66 $9.95 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.06 $13.52 $17.42 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.38 $5.91 $7.71 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($8.36) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $152M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.4%
Net margin -0.9%
Return on equity -1.8%
Free cash flow $11.4M FY2026
Operating margin 4.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1800
EPS growth (YoY) +65.1%
Net debt $37.9M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AstroNova, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes specialty printers, and data acquisition and analysis systems in the United States, Europe, Canada, Asia, Central and South America, and internationally.

Full company description

AstroNova, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes specialty printers, and data acquisition and analysis systems in the United States, Europe, Canada, Asia, Central and South America, and internationally. The company offers color label tabletop printers and light commercial label printers, direct-to-package printers, high-volume presses, specialty original equipment manufacturer printing systems, label printers, envelope and packaging printing, data acquisition recorders, as well as label, and tag and other supplies, including ink, toner, and thermal transfer ribbons under the QuickLabel, TrojanLabel, GetLabels, Astro Machine, and MTEX brands; and provides on-site and remote service, spare parts, and various service contracts; training and support services; and develops and licenses software programs to design and manage labels, print images, manage and operate printers. It also provides airborne printer products, such as ToughWriter series used in the flight decks of military transport, commercial transport, and business aircraft to print hard copies of data; ToughSwitch, an ethernet switches to connect multiple computers or ethernet devices; TMX and TMX-200, a high-speed data acquisition systems for applications requiring high channel counts and acquisition rates; Daxus DXS-100, a distributed data acquisition platform; SmartCorder DDX-100, a portable all-in-one data acquisition system; and Everest EV-5000 and RC-300 digital strip chart recording systems for aerospace and defense applications. In addition, the company offers networking solutions; aerospace products comprising flight deck printing solutions, networking hardware, and specialized aerospace-grade thermal paper; and data acquisition systems. The company was formerly known as Astro-Med, Inc. and changed its name to AstroNova, Inc. in May 2016. AstroNova, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in West Warwick, Rhode Island.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

AstroNova, Inc reported revenue of $151M in FY2026 versus $117M in FY2022, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.4M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$151M
Latest YoY
−0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Revenue +6.4%/yr
FY22 $117M
FY23 $143M
FY24 $148M
FY25 $151M
FY26 $151M
Net income
FY22 $6.4M
FY23 $2.7M
FY24 $4.7M
FY25 −$14.5M
FY26 −$2.4M

ALOT screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AstroNova, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALOT

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 215 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.85× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.44× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 19.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 22 · sector 57
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 88 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR $0.0310 $0.0276 -11%
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $434.97 $163.87 -62%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $168.56 $43.74 -74%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $513.84 $74.05 -86%
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 4,685 TWD 1,559 TWD -67%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.12 ¥30.11 -12%
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 373.50 TWD 297.22 TWD -20%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥587.60 ¥60.86 -90%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$23.16 HK$3.07 -87%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥106.13 ¥28.88 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AstroNova, Inc (ALOT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.81 versus a price of $28.94, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALOT?
Our model-based fair value for AstroNova, Inc is $5.81 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.94.
What is the quality score of ALOT?
AstroNova, Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AstroNova, Inc (ALOT)?
AstroNova, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $152M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALOT?
The net profit margin of AstroNova, Inc is about -0.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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