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Roctool (ALROC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Roctool €0.48, price €1.20, upside -60.3%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · FR · ISIN FR0010523167

R Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Roctool

ALROC · PA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €0.4760 · Strongly overvalued (−60%)
!Quality 25/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -60.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/11)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€5.60 €0.0978 Fair Value €0.4760 Aug 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.0978 – €5.60 · fair‑value band €0.3825 – €0.5865 · the €1.20 price screens above the €0.4760 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

RocTool S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides heat and cool molding technology solutions in France, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and the United Arab Emirates.

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RocTool S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides heat and cool molding technology solutions in France, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, Japan, rest of Asia, and the United Arab Emirates. The company offers induction generators, interfaces, and closed and performance cooling units; HD Plastics material database, which measures quality and process improvement per material; and feasibility study, engineering and flow analysis, tool design, tool components, installation, commissioning, training, process start-up, onsite support, and after sales services. It also provides light induction tooling, a turnkey solution, which eliminates the need for autoclaves and compression molding presses; induction dual heating, a technology for composites processing and plastic injection; and 3iTech Heat and Cool integration technology for fast and localized heating. In addition, the company engages in the rental of generator kits; testing; and equipment transportation activities. It serves the automotive, electronics, consumer goods, aerospace and defense, medical, and beauty industries. RocTool S.A. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Le Bourget-du-Lac, France.

Stock analysis

Roctool (ALROC) currently trades at €1.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.4760, implying the stock looks roughly 152.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €0.5900 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the €1.20 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.0600, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €0.3825 (bear) to €0.5865 (bull), the price of €1.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Roctool reported revenue of €4.5M in FY2025 versus €8.2M in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€2.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €14.9M · P/S ratio 2.88 · EPS (TTM) €−0.2200 · Net margin −62.3% · Return on equity −148% · Return on assets (EBIT) −16.5% · Operating margin −60.1% · Revenue (TTM) €4.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 1,127% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −60%, ALROC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.3825 Fair Value €0.4760 Bull €0.5865
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €0.5900 €0.8100 €1.11 81
Growth DCF €0.6000 €0.8000 €1.06 80
5Y Revenue Exit €0.4100 €0.5400 €0.6900 74
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.5900 €0.8100 €1.11 81
5Y Revenue Exit €0.4100 €0.5400 €0.6900 74
10Y Revenue Exit €0.4700 €0.5900 €0.7400 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue €0.3200 €0.4200 €0.5100 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.0400 €0.0600 €0.0900 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.6000 €0.8000 €1.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.4100 €0.5400 €0.6900 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 10/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−28.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.7% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−35.9% (2020) → −57.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.9% a year for the price.

ALROC screens 152% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 653 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −62% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −20% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −60% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −60% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −38% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.93× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 16.57× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 3.81× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 58.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)54 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $82.84 $91.12 +10%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,910 TWD 519.57 TWD −73%
Corning Incorporated GLW $159.69 $34.01 −79%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 250.50 TWD 293.80 TWD +17%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥54.84 ¥18.55 −66%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,507,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −89%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥198.12 ¥21.19 −89%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $213.48 $140.75 −34%
Elite Material Co 2383 5,050 TWD 800.51 TWD −84%
Yageo Corporation 2327 580.00 TWD 527.64 TWD −9%

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Roctool · Fair Value
€0.4760 −152%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Roctool Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALROC

Frequently asked questions

Is Roctool (ALROC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.4760 versus a price of €1.20, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALROC?
Our model-based fair value for Roctool is €0.4760 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.20.
What is the quality score of ALROC?
Roctool has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Roctool (ALROC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.4760 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.3825, optimistic scenario €0.5865. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Roctool stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.4760, about −60% upside versus a price of €1.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.3825, optimistic scenario €0.5865. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Roctool (ALROC)?
Roctool reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Roctool (ALROC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Roctool would have to grow free cash flow by +28.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ALROC use?
Our models discount Roctool at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.16, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Roctool that is +28.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Roctool (ALROC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Roctool grew -7.2 % a year. The price currently implies +28.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Roctool (ALROC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Roctool (+28.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Roctool (ALROC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.03 %: that much free cash flow Roctool produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Roctool (ALROC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Roctool it is €0.4760 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €1.20. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Roctool stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ALROC trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.20, fair value €0.4760, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALROC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.4760). For Roctool the two are €0.7240 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Roctool worth?
The market values Roctool at about €14.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €1.20; our models calculate a fair value of €0.4760 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALROC?
Our models span a range for Roctool: cautious scenario €0.3825, base €0.4760, optimistic €0.5865 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €1.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Roctool (ALROC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Roctool (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −148.5%, debt of 0.93 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALROC from its 52-week high?
Roctool trades at €1.20, about 41% below its 52-week high of €2.04 and 1,127% above the low of €0.0978 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.4760 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Roctool?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Roctool stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €1.20, calculated fair value €0.4760 (−60%), Quality Score 25/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALROC calculated?
We run Roctool through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.4760, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Roctool itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Roctool (ALROC)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €1.20. Our model-based fair value is €0.4760, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Roctool right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.5865). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Roctool

How large is the market capitalisation of Roctool (ALROC)?
The market capitalisation of Roctool is €14.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Roctool (ALROC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Roctool is 2.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Roctool (ALROC)?
Earnings per share at Roctool are €−0.2200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Roctool (ALROC)?
The net margin of Roctool is −62.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Roctool (ALROC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Roctool is −148% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Roctool (ALROC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Roctool is −16.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Roctool (ALROC)?
The operating margin of Roctool is −60.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Roctool (ALROC)?
Revenue at Roctool is growing −37.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Roctool (ALROC) hold?
Roctool holds more cash than debt, €689K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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