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Virtualware 2007 S.A (ALVIR) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · FR · Market cap €22.1M

V2 Virtualware 2007 S.A ALVIR · PA
Price€4.12
Fair Value€0.6400
Upside-84.5%
Quality27/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/9)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Low Range €0.6400 – €0.9400 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from €2.17 to €0.6400 (−70.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −15.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.9400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

€8.75 €4.00 Fair Value €0.6400 May 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range €4.00 – €8.75 · fair‑value band €0.6400 – €0.9400 · the €4.12 price screens above the €0.6400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Virtualware 2007 S.A (ALVIR) currently trades at €4.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.6400, implying the stock looks roughly 84.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Net debt stands at €2.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.6400 (bear case) to €0.9400 (bull case); at €4.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -84%, ALVIR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (€0.2600 to €2.67). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder €0.2300 €0.2600 €0.2900 72
EPV €0.2300 €0.2600 €0.2900 59
EV/EBITDA €1.99 €2.67 €3.35 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV €0.2300 €0.2600 €0.2900 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT €0.8400 €1.14 €1.44 53
EV/EBITDA €1.99 €2.67 €3.35 54
EV/Revenue €0.4000 €0.5900 €0.7900 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.2400 €0.3300 €0.4900 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €0.2300 €0.2600 €0.2900 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (€1.14) versus Earnings-Based (€0.2600). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow −€1.8M FY2025
EPS (TTM) €-0.0600
Net debt €2.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 9
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Virtualware 2007 S.A. develops industrial virtual reality platforms for nuclear, medical, educational, and defense industries in Spain and internationally. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Basauri, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Virtualware 2007 S.A reported revenue of €4.3M in FY2025 versus €2.8M in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€265K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.3M
Latest YoY
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Revenue +11.3%/yr
FY21 €2.8M
FY22 €3.2M
FY23 €4.6M
FY24 €4.2M
FY25 €4.3M
Net income
FY21 −€423K
FY22 €351K
FY23 −€5.6K
FY24 €292K
FY25 −€265K

ALVIR screens 84% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Virtualware 2007 S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALVIR

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 11.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 83 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Virtualware 2007 S.A (ALVIR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.6400 versus a price of €4.12, about −84% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALVIR?
Our model-based fair value for Virtualware 2007 S.A is €0.6400 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €4.12.
What is the quality score of ALVIR?
Virtualware 2007 S.A has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of ALVIR?
The net profit margin of Virtualware 2007 S.A is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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